JF Apex has produced a great research paper, but be patient. Come back at the end of October/early November. Or if there is a sudden plunge in the coming 2 months.
Cash proceeds from warrants - Engtex has 133m warrants which will expire in October 2017. Conversion of the warrants could raise RM110m to reduce borrowing, expand production and fund upcoming property development.
Now with steel price so high, it will impact Engtex, since they are downstream player, not upstream. As downstream their procurement price will be increased, which is a negative. Prepare for some heavy selling as the upstream steel counters jump up.
They can likely pass through cost, but not so fast. Immediate quarters will suffer a margin compression before the cost is fully passed through. Might present some buying opportunity in 2-3 months time (compounded with the warrants thing).
Base on history of profits every year for 10 consecutive years and comparing to steel counters should have a PE 10x. Price should be 1.80. with conversion of warrants should have more cash to expand business and cut down borrowings. Further more awaiting splash deal to conclude and start to replace old pipes.Positive sentiments.
Despite the decline in 2Q17 earnings, Engtex’s performance is within expectation as we project 2017 net profit growth to slow to 5.3% from 47% in 2016 in view of cautious sentiment in the property, construction and infrastructure industries, before growing 18.7% in 2018.
Target price of RM1.60 based on FY18F EPS with forward PER of 10.2 times, based on industry peer average. This translates into a potential upside of 26% against its current share price.
Patience my friends, let the warrants get converted. No hurry. Current price is good entry point, but as an investor your job is to look for large discounts, not minor discounts or fair value, or worst still, pay a premium.
The price of steel has been moving up lately due to higher cost of iron ore and coking coal. If the increasing price trend is sustainable, this will bode well for the Engtex as whole sales metal distributor in the coming quarter.
In previous Q2 result, Engtex track other metal stock, report lower profit due to lower selling price and lower demand. In the next coming quarter, Engtex will also track other metal stock on earning recovery
Key word: Air Selangor will also allocate a budget of RM1.3bil for building two additional water treatment plants and for pipe replacement throughout Selangor.
Salcon is constructor to replace pipes. Which company going to supplies pipes?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
nikicheong
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Posted by nikicheong > 2017-08-07 19:53 | Report Abuse
JF Apex has produced a great research paper, but be patient. Come back at the end of October/early November. Or if there is a sudden plunge in the coming 2 months.