I look into my masteel holding. Was asking myself should i hold or pare down my holding while still in profit. But then again, seeing the mega-project that recently announced and coming in this 1 or 2 years, i become very optimistic on steel counter. I know masteel won't get all the project but can't be denied that the demand will be higher compared to last 5 yrs and this will rise all steel counter project. So, i decided to continue to hold loh and will add more if on weakness....
also, i'm reading robert kuok memoir. A very good book. He says when he trade sugar, he don't look at chart. He look at what presence offer and what is upcoming. Hope the same logic still holds......hehe
@titus yup very good book.. but to be fair "what is upcoming"<--- would really help if you have "helpfull" info.. for example if trading sugar and somehow someone told you a certain big country is running out of sugar then wouldn't this information make your prediction better ;p
Hi Joe, indeed true if we have the helpful info. Actually, we do. As for construction, it is printed all over. Look at the youtube link where one of the members shared. I guess the difference is the sugar tradng is more fluid because is it consumables while steel is not. But i guess the demand for steel for the on going and up coming projects should bring steel to a good price. So, now just ride with the trend loh. On the question whether the property is oversupply or not, i consider it to be not so relevent. What is important is now project is booming and steel is needed. 5 yrs later?...i might have let go masteel long before that.
I noticed that most people focus only on the demand side of the equation and totally forget about the supply side. On the demand side, some argue that demand remains healthy due to a slew of mega and rail projects while others argue that property is slowing down with less residential and commercial buildings built.
While both could be true and the effects may offset each other, the optimism on the supply side does not change. Cheap steels imported from China which once killed our local steel manufacturers were long gone since the implementation of duties and tariffs. Steel price has risen to healthy and profitable level in recent times. The duties and tariffs are here to stay for at least several more years.
For the steel industry, the supply factor is way more important than the demand factor. If China's cheap steel is still lying around, it will be pointless no matter how high the demand for steel is because our construction companies will just use cheap China steel. You can have all the mega projects, rail projects, hundreds and thousands of buildings, residential condo etc built but it does not mean anything to our steel manufacturers if the construction companies don't buy from them.
This is just my assumption with no proof, but I believe the management is issuing bonus issue because they are expecting a stellar result. As you know, bonus issue increases the number of shares and consequently lowers the EPS. However, this negative effect can be mitigated if they are reporting a high profit in the coming quarter, therefore offsetting the lowering of EPS. This is merely my belief and opinion, but it could happen.
no worries about China steel...anti dumping duties are in place for the next 3 years. So our steel industries will be profitable till then...just like last 3 years all export companies were making tons of money due to the favourable foreign exchange rate of their sale in US dollars. Now it is game over for them. It's steel companies' turn.
with this month going to announce Q4 results, it will only enchance the confident of Masteel investers which most of us estimate Masteel can earn good profit, hope so this round can announce dividends, should be the "highest" over the 10 years...
After Ex bonus total share 427mil, if Masteel give 5 cents div, cash paid out 21.35mil. Hope it can be realized.
DJ already sold down, only those punters want it further down so that they can collect cheap shares with all sort of conflicting news spread by analyst and economist.
Posted by Tom > Feb 8, 2018 05:09 PM | Report Abuse 你怎么不在三个月前买呢?现在才说会drop a lot....让我来告诉你为什么,因为你不可能会买,涨了你说涨太多了fully valued 了,跌的时候你会说downtrend会被套牢.....lol
Stock Market Investment In Malaysia And Singapore by Soon Kean Neoh
this is an excellent book for fundamental analysis...v detailed explanation of basic concepts in stock like:
(1) what drives a mania/ speculation (2) how to value a stock - earning yield or dividend yield ( the author prefers a dividend valuation approach) (3) why bonus issue/ right issue/ stock split should be (and treated as) a non event
Relax la all bros and sists.... Bonus issue it nothing news, it not surprise either, so ple*ase do not expect a SURPRISE UP, it wont happens, be it ex date or what... Just relax and hold the share to maximise your profit...
The Company Owner like to said Reward Shareholder with Bonus issue. Actually, what is the reward, end up the share price is divided, and there is a delay few days to become available in shareholders account. They use no use REWARD this keyword , really LPPL.
If I am a boss, I will reward my employee with money change, which they give me Rm 100 note, I split it into Rm 10 note x 10 pieces, and give them Rm 10 x 5 the same days another Rm 10 x 5 will reward them after 3 days. IT IS CALL REWARD ?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
SuperPanda
11,431 posts
Posted by SuperPanda > 2018-02-08 09:00 | Report Abuse
end year esp nov dec construction slow down, i dont expect it can beat prev qtr. >25m good enough