On this I think I beg to differ. There is a difference between investing with calculated risk and gambling.
The NTA of Masteel is over RM2.40. Its foundries are real unlike Megan Media which are fictitious.
The Directors of Megan Media Sold & Absconded. Masteel Directors chose to exercise 2 million warrants.
The Building Needs of Developing need real steel for many more years to come. Bullet Train to Thailand? East Coast Bullet Train? Future East Malaysia MRT & Bullet Train? All States Future MRT & LRT?
There is no end to Steel Demand.
We Invest with calculated risk. Even if we put money in FD we are also risking it to creeping inflation.
Of course I think not all can or should follow me. Anyway, through the many years I have made lots from Masteel. Buying it with a portion of my profits is a calculated risk. I always invest with a long term view. Whether I will lose all or stand to gain is yet to be seen.
I have always advocated diversification. Buy a basket of prospective stocks.
Say out of 10 one or two might under perform or even delisted but if out of 10 stocks I can get 3 or 4 five to ten baggers why not.
For Masteel I think the positives are far more than the negatives over a longer period.
For short term punting and gambling I cannot tell.
Over a longer term it should rise up out of its present woes with increasingly bright prospects.
i believe its experiencing just one minor hiccups, the management, to me are made up of fine ppl, dun believe they cook up some false acc that brought up this panic share movement, everyone pushing everyone panic button. it will come back shortly kikikikikikiki
I just read the final quarter report end 31 Dec 2014. I wonder is the audited report need more info could be related to reduce inventory by around 50 mil and increased in debtor or receivable by 90 mil in Q4 2014. After checking with Annjoo q4 2013, similar increase of 100 mil debtor or receivable. Is this normal for steel industry has sudden increase of receiveable to clear stock. By comparing inventory of annjoo with more than 1 bil and masteel with around 200mil, it is quite well managed inventory control by Masteel..IMO.
To get NET NET you have to get the Sum Total of ALL ASSETS Minus ALL LIABILITIES.
Let's say Mr. Alex own a house worth RM1,000,000. A Merc Benz worth RM250,000 & Other Cash Plus Alll Stuff Worth Another RM250,000
So the Net Assets is RM1.5 millions. Now he has a loan of RM500,000 on the house and also a car loan on the Mercedes for RM100,000
So his Net Net is RM1.5 millions - RM600,000 = RM900,000
That means that Mr. Alex has a Net Net of RM900,000 if the house & car are sold & converted to Cash after paying off all debt.
During the Asian Financial Crisis when house price crashed by 50% & car prices crashed by 70% many are left with Assets below Debt. That means they are under water.
All the Assets if disposed at collapsed value cannot cover debt. That means insolvency & bankruptcy
Question is. Has Masteel any valuable Assets. We will come to that later.
2) net TANGIBLE assets.
The Emphasis here is on the word TANGIBLE. Something you can see with your eyes, touch with your hands. Something visible & Tangible (or touchable). These are REAL STUFF LIKE LANDS, BUILDINGS, MACHINERY OR MOTOR VEHICLES.
3) net tangible ASSETS
Assets are positive. Not liabilities. Assets like Houses & Cars are Real Cash.
Real Cash?
Yes! Cash SOLIDIFICATION.
How?
All of us start in life with a good paying job. Then we buy the first tangible asset like a Perodua Myvi. And after working for some years we buy a house by paying a down payment. (Unless you inherit it) After a period of many years we finally pay off the loan.
The Cash we used to pay for Car & Housing Loan has NOW TURNED INTO "CASH IN SOLIDIFICATION"
There are convertible to CASH By Selling
The Car is a depreciating asset while the house is an appreciating Asset!
I also read about comment for prospect for the following quarter (Q1"2015) at Q4 2014 financial report, they are quite optimistic that following quarter will perform well and 2015 will perform better than 2014 due to capacity increase and infrastructure mrt and government major construction project on track.
Masteel was awarded the “BestBrands Award 2012-2013 in Manufacturing – Steel”, “BestBrands Signature Award 2013-2014 in Manufacturing – Steel”, and Masteel’s MD/CEO Dato’ Sri Tai Hean Leng was awarded the “Brand Personality Awards 2012- 2013” by The BrandLaureate. In 2014, Masteel was ranked number 75 in the list of Malaysia’s Top 100 brands compiled by Brand Finance Plc U.K, valuing the Masteel brand at USD26 million (RM 92.3 million).
Masteel brand value at usd 26 mil, intangible asset but not recorded in balance sheet.
There are 6 properties listed there - 3 factories, 2 offices & 1 bungalow.
From the addresses given you can then trace it.
How?
Best is to get a map & drive there yourself. SEE WITH YOUR OWN EYES.
Next is pick up the phone & call Masteel Office. Every one of them. Are they fake?
Or else get a friend who live nearest to these assets & ask him to take photos & MMS to you.
NTA is Easy to Verify. They Are Tangible & Visible.
Now you will notice that the properties are leasehold & freehold. All were bought between year 2005 to 2009. The Property Boom Started in Earnest from Year 2010 to now.
So by now these properties would have appreciated by 200% to 400% if revalued.
Let's take the most simple one for a case study
There's a freehold bungalow in Port Dickson
Freehold land of 5,403 sq ft (Please refer to 2013 Annual Report)
Land was purchased for only RM65,000 on Sept 30, 2005
How much per sq ft? Divide RM65,000 by 5403 = RM12 psf
That's cheap for a bungalow land near the beach?
Masteel Bosses are Clever!
That's empty land. On further notice you will see that a building is erected on the land.
The cost? Only RM17,000
Wow! that's very cheap!
The steel is made by Masteel & labour cost, cement & others are also very cheap. In some cases Directors siphon money by inflating invoices to cheat money.
Here we SEE great carefulness in spending company money.
3 Cheers to Masteel Directors! Clap! Clap! Clap!
So Bungalow land of 5,403 (Freehold) & Building only cost us RM82,000
That is still carried at Old Book Value since year 2005.
How much is its worth today?
Can someone from Seremban or PD find out?
Now could someone please help to check on the Value of the Other 5 Masteel Assets? And all other Assets like Machinery & Motor Vehicles, raw material and finished goods to get a clearer picture?
Just serve as a reminder. Remember Transmile? The one with Robert Kuok as major shareholder. What happened to the stock now? Many ppl got severely burnt because they trusted Robert Kuok cannot be wrong, and yet forgot that his associates can cheat.
Account for Enron can cheat, so any qualified account should be treated with utmost caution.
I will still buy (punt) on this stock, but only if cumulative volume exceed 45m and start to buy at 55 sen and below. If cannot get, just bad luck. I choose not to lose money on this stock.
I drove all the way to Subang & viewed Transmile 4 rusty planes there.
When Hwa Tai was traded at RM200 in the GoGo Years before Asian Financial Crisis I drove to Batu Pahat & saw Hwa Thai dilapidated factory which I think is not worth more than 3 lots of Hwa Thai shares then. Each 1,000 shares was a crazy RM200,000
Now can someone verify the assets of Masteel near where you live?
Last time I bought IQ Group at only 35 cents because I saw the bright future of LED Lights. Then one day The IQ Boss went to China and started a factory there. And he kept on sending money and more money to China.
So I was filled with doubts. I suspect that he wanted to siphon money in faraway China.
I cleared my IQ for a profit around 50 cents. And cabut?
Then I was proven wrong. IQ rose up a spectacular 800% from its low.
thanks seniors your insight is valuable there will always be "crooks" that slip through the cracks for masteel case, it seems like a good punt, with favourable fundamentals. have never managed to buy at the low or sell at the high myself. as long as quite close, happy already
A good management team will plan for future and growth of the company like expansion and new project. if the management want the company in bad shape they wont waste so much time doing all this work instead plan how to dig money out from there. Exercised of the warrants mean also pump in money to the company and increase their holding of the company too and show confident to the company future and prospects. IMO
Let suppose you have 1m cash asset (Share, FD, Bonds, Treasury bills, SA etc excluding EPF). How much risk you can take?
Some people can stand up to 50% loses (if they are still young <35 yr old) Some people can only stand up to 20% loses. (may be for 40 -50 yr old) Some may be 10%, or 5%. (Retired or near to retirement >50 yr old) It is really depends on your degree of tolerance.
Some may be young, but they have low degree of tolerance. Their temper will fluctuate with market performance. Market good, they got excited. Market down, they will not be able to sleep. This will affect their job performance.
My advice is, if you invest up to 500k, you find that your temper already being jeopardized, reduce to 400k. If still find hard to sleep, reduce further to 300k, 200k,100k etc. There should come to a level whether market up or down doesn't affect performance of your main career anymore. That is your tolerance level.
Some may have 1m cash asset, but not able to stand a 5k loses. These people are not risk taker, share market is definitely not suitable for them. REITs may be most suitable for them as it is low risk with medium gain. Otherwise will be FD or MGS.
Again a word of caution. Don't commit 100% of your cash asset in share market. Always keep some for rainy days. Worse still if you try to buy on margin in this coming turbulence market.
Think safe, play safe, invest safe. If want to punt, punt safe. 18/03/2015 23:19
great advice ks55! always bring what u can afford into a casino... leave credit card, bank card at home... dun think u can beat the market... just go with the flow of the market. if u have holding power, lagi better
Normally, when the December quarter results are announced in Feb, 2015, the audited accounts for the year ended December 31,2014 would have been substantially finalised and normally no variations with the unaudited results. Though variations less than 10% are allowable, such things rarely happen as it reflects badly on management and its competency. The very fact that more than 2 months after the last quarter results were released and yet the audited accounts cannot be finalised point to a material disagreement. Other companies with similar year end are already sending out notices holding their AGMs and yet Masteel cant even finalise their accounts. If there are institutional funds holding shares, they will surely unload and move on.
I think in there will be another selldown in the 2nd session today and maybe the final before the long holidays. Next week there maybe a technical rebound. Just my guts feeling. Fundamental rebound may not happen yet till the audited reports materialise.. but depends on the actual results. Monitor and trade with care. Gudluck everyone.
Hmm.. I did asked a professional query to an accountant from Kpmg who is doing some tasks at my company. She said.. according to her experience.. when an audited account is delayed.. usually it will be bad. Just sharing only..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Alex Chan
3,915 posts
Posted by Alex Chan > 2015-04-29 20:50 | Report Abuse
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