Business related : “Masteel has seen steady income because about 33% of its steel sales is for the development of the mass rapid transit (MRT) project.”
Chong notes that Masteel’s plant in Petaling Jaya gives it a cost advantage for the MRT works that are carried out within the area.
I checked the Total long term loan and short term (related to bank loan) from Dec' 2009 till Dec' 2013 (audited account) it only increased from 264 mil to 289 mil which is not significant and gearing remained consistent around 0.5 from '09 till '13 audited accounted. Asset expansion is mainly used the profit generated from operation and with low dividend distribution. Look like the Balance sheet and Asset quality is look healthy based on previous audited account till 2013.
Based solely on the 4Q14 results announcement.. r°Moi think the two most likely shits would be....
1. Bad debts not accounted for...
How 1MDB's cash flow problem messed with the goverment pocket is well known.... It is well known too properties sales have slowed.... and these will cause contractors and developers alike to face with tight cash flow problem. This will in turn work its way up to the suppliers of materials.....
In MASteel... its customers in fact have actually slowed down in paying up...
Got bad debts or not??
2. Plant and machinery overstated...
This.. if true.. will involve the making of police report and possibly MACC too. Very very very messy.
Bills ok or not?? Some tangible parts are like not so tangible leh??
It would be brilliant but totally ruthless... totally ruthless... if part of that money had been used to convert the warrant recently.
These are just guesses not allegations.
Let's the auditors... who thus far have done a great job... to do their jobs.
Have faith in auditors...
Hey just think.. the auditors could have easily signed off the accounts as OK and beautiful if they wanted to.... and you would be none the wiser.
It has got to do with Recoverables. I think bad debts from contractors and developers the most probable cause.
Masteel is unlike other steel companies as it raise cash through private placement and NOT From short term borrowings. So it will have less gearing. So Masteel stands a good fighting chance if the problem is at corporate level. If governance is good Masteel is a bargain on weakness.
If I am in KL I would have gone to check up on All Masteel factories by now. Since I am in faraway Singapore I will wait for other supporting news and evidence before passing judgment.
Note: If Masteel is affected by Developers cash flow problem then the next to be hit will be ifca as it derives 80% of its sales from real estate developers
There is a risk for trading this stock at this moment, As i know Bursa so far never approve the extension of release of annual report without suspension. if it can't release it by 11 May'15, it will be suspended for trading till audited report release. IMO.
The price has dropped about 30%... ought to be save.. for now
Anyway just a word of caution..
It is more than bad debts... more
Among the technical and common sense reasons that say so... this would be the most easy to understand..
Because..... Because..... Because..... you simply just do not need a 2nd independent auditors to tell you if a debt is bad or not
And... take note the 2nd independent auditors have asked for 6 weeks to prepare their report... you simply just do not need 6 weeks to decide if a debt is bad or not..
Long time is required for other matters....
This is not an alarm just a caution... Do not hold me responsible what so ever
The management and their audit committee should have a good relationship with their auditors to avoid such unnecessary fiasco if contentious item is indeed not too serious.
Fact that they brought up these issues of classification & recover-ability only at the last minute, days before deadline for announcement. Shows that both management and auditors have not communicated or acted in good faith to avoid this incident...
There will always be rebound and even a recovery later, but the integrity of the insiders are in great doubt.
Despite the solid fundamental story and potential prospect mentioned, have decided to err on the side of caution. Liquidated all vested interests today.... almost 1 mil units collected since 1.07
I believed many masteel shareholders " stuck" with this unexpected issue. How the management going to handle and resolve this issue? or this is the management strategies to give good surprise to their shareholders. Ho liao.
i also have this feeling as well, could this event be intended by the company? Ever wonder with such huge volume transacted over the past few days, i really doubt any ikan bilis like us dare to catch the falling knife(I assume yes but definitely not big portion). Could it be insiders are the ones buying at waiting queue? Then realease the result before deadline or after deadline without any issues. And the price goes back to 0.90...
Just my simple imagination on the positive side. No buying or selling call.
yes, where got so much money to absorb these day selling volume... Sure is someone purposely intend to push down but queitly to absorb it. Time to buy in now !
Tomorrow T3/T2. What happen for those contra players who really want to keep until last day? Day traders on 2804 cannot sell without incur losses. If they sold on 2904, it appear that they may be committing suicide. Again how many manage to escape on 3004? Not to forget many who bought on 2904 was able to sell on 3004 with 10% profit.
I really felt sympathy for those bought on 2804. They cannot escape without incurring substantial losses. Pray that they can withstand this tragedy.....
Want to catch a falling knife? It really test your trading skill. When is the best time to do it, how you do it will definitely determine the winners from the losers.
Think safe, play safe, invest safe, if want to punt, punt safe.........
It's easy to siphon off all the cash from a company. Just set up a trading company & channel all sales through that company. Then let that company go insolvent & the mother company will not be able to collect all debts due!
PROPOSED RENEWAL OF SHAREHOLDERS' MANDATE FOR RECURRENT RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS OF A REVENUE OR TRADING NATURE
A bit uncomfortable always saw this RRPT keep renew every year and most of the Directors have interested in this company. Not sure the intention of renew RRPT since no transaction going on.
I read the prospects and comments about the capacity expansion for this company for the past quarterly results and i still cant conclusively understand the expected capacity plan in future.
At 3Q'13 report press release, it stated will expand the capacity of Petaling roll mill plan to 550,000 MT /pa by 2015.
Masteel is in the midst of expanding its rolling mill in Petaling Jaya, which now sees an annual production capacity of 400,000 metric tonnes (MT), up from 350,000 MT previously. The enlarged mill is expected to reach an annual production capacity of 550,000 MT upon completion in 2015.
If major shareholder dare to exercise warrant at 67sen in Apr'15 sure he know nothing in wrong in Masteel. Those buying now is buying cheaper than him.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
weng77
412 posts
Posted by weng77 > 2015-05-03 21:26 | Report Abuse
http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/02/21/Steel-mill-boon-for-Masteel/?style=biz
Business related :
“Masteel has seen steady income because about 33% of its steel sales is for the development of the mass rapid transit (MRT) project.”
Chong notes that Masteel’s plant in Petaling Jaya gives it a cost advantage for the MRT works that are carried out within the area.