Probability, when I look at results, I always look at the core, and exclude non recurring items. If u take out 11m of forex loss, core eps is around 6 cents.
jinhou, for importer who buy oversea and sell local like Masteel (vs those import & export), taking core earning you think appropriate? your opinion pls.
I'm taking a closer look at Masteel's report. The unrealized forex loss of 4,622 is most likely the same item as other expenses 4,622. Since it is not part of revenue and cost of sales, it is definitely non-recurring.
market too high expectation..knee-jerk effect...should not take more than a week for the true effects of the results to surface.
My only concerns is the raw material cost they had used in relative to their product selling price..are they reflective of the future (or just old cheap stocks)..
If they can maintain half of the core operating margin it will be superb already.
Agree with moneysifu, timing of releasing QR is really terrible! From the earning , although the profit not up to expectation, but dont think the market price suppose to drop that much. Afterall, it still come out with better QoQ and YoY. Price will rebound soon...market reacted due to panic selling @@
Billet production capacity: 700,000MT/annum Rolling mill, ~ : 550,000 MT/annum.
Total throughput: 1,250,000MT/annum
If we assume RM150 per ton of steel processed as an average "value addition' per ton of througput of both (this at 5% gross margin on steel price), The Gross profit is = 46 Million per qtr
Since they are taking right from the basic raw material of Scrap - the Safeguard Duty of 13.5% should be theoretically the rock bottom gross margin.
The latest qtr results seem to indicate that they are running at a approximately 40% of max throughput with a gross margin of 10.5%.
"So the current gross profit margin or at the least the absolute gross profit should be sustainable with a better throughput"
They produce the Billets via EAF method which mainly uses Scrap Steel (90%). As mentioned in SS forum earlier, the EAF users will have advantage compared to BOF users who are dependent on Iron Ore and Coking Coal. This will be the competitive advantage factor.
Some reference below ( to prove my message on Scrap Steel users advantage):
Masteel’s improved earnings in 3QFY13 was in stark contrast to the other local steelmakers, all of which reported losses for the period.
We attribute this, in part, to the company’s relatively smaller size and agility in managing its production and stock levels. Its electric arc furnace uses scrap steel as raw material. Scrap steel prices are generally less volatile compared with that of iron ore and coking coal, the main raw materials for larger blast furnaces. Case in point, iron ore prices rose more than scrap steel prices in 3QFY13 due to increased demand from Chinese steelmakers.
anyone who wants to have a clear understanding on the basic fundamentals of steel processing, you only need to go through the 'single page' on the link below:
its especially important and easier to understand by going through the process diagram shown in the middle of the page. It shows the basic two routes of processing BOF and EAF.
Better don't let your people come out and attack other's stock please got one people call CALVINTANENG better call him to shutup stfu and sto attacking GADANG while promoting his super MASTEEL in his blog thank you
Posted by culbertlim > Mar 13, 2017 08:44 PM | Report Abuse
Better don't let your people come out and attack other's stock please got one people call CALVINTANENG better call him to shutup stfu and sto attacking GADANG while promoting his super MASTEEL in his blog thank you
hopefully the import duties will remain election coming..sweet for steel co. rather than construction co. loh..since they dy gave so much big contract n project to construction co.
Government know better what is the consequence of fully removing of safeguard import duty. If not maintain the current rate of safeguard import duty, some sort of protection must in place to protect local steel industry. This is government resonsibility to ensure survival of local steel industry to continue support local infrastructure building and development of property.
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Posted by soojinhou > 2017-02-22 15:35 | Report Abuse
Probability, when I look at results, I always look at the core, and exclude non recurring items. If u take out 11m of forex loss, core eps is around 6 cents.