The main reason for CPO to move up significantly are mainly due to Malaysia Gov policy and Indonesia policy change in which Malaysia to implement biodiesel from blending 7% to 20%, a massively 200% increment in use of palm oil blending.
On the other hand, Indonesia gov will mandatory implement biodiesel 20% in 2020 and to further increase to biodissel 30% in 2022
I'm holding only because the rebounds tend to be quicker than the falls...yet...the CPO is still bleeding out. articulation of the eventual profits is of course a logical debate that has merits regardless of tax or actual numbers since the crude oil was not shunned and only the refined oils. YET, traders are traders and CNY the chinese tend to sell out to fund their CNY. And hence the stocks' performance. The concern is closer to why the CPO is at a complete freefall atm and not finding any footing I reckon. 2.5% down today? and down yesterday and down the day before...etc?
saying that the CFO is within acceptable range is pointless...since traders correlate it direct to price. If we're already having such drops and still above 3000 then reaching 2500 we'd be an additional 50% down? haha...seems odd,no? it is a general seasonal selloff of stocks prior to CNY,no?
Menteri nafi India boikot sawit Malaysia 13 Jan 2020, 9:34 malam (Dikemaskini 13 Jan 2020, 9:34 malam) Bernama | Berita
A A Menteri Industri Utama Teresa Kok menafikan wujudnya usaha pihak di India untuk memboikot minyak sawit keluaran Malaysia.
Sebaliknya kata beliau, menerusi beberapa perbincangan dilakukan, pembeli minyak sawit di negara berkenaan mahu kerajaan Malaysia meningkatkan eksport minyak sawit mentah (MSM) dan mengurangkan pengeksportan bekalan berkenaan yang telah diproses.
“Mana ada boikot. Mereka cuma minta kita (Malaysia) lebihkan eksport MSM ke sana dan kurangkan minyak yang telah diproses. Apa pun, mereka perlu bersedia untuk membayar duti eksport sebanyak lima peratus yang dikenakan oleh kerajaan Malaysia ke atas MSM,” katanya kepada pemberita selepas program taklimat Pensijilan Minyak Sawit Mampan Malaysia (MSPO) dan sesi dialog bersama penanam sawit Selangor di Kuala Selangor, hari ini.
Turut hadir, Ketua Pengarah Lembaga Minyak Sawit Malaysia (MPOB) Dr Ahmad Parveez Ghulam Kadir dan Ketua Pegawai Eksekutif Majlis Pensijilan Minyak Sawit Malaysia (MPOCC), Chiew Jit Seng.
Teresa Kok Beliau berkata demikian bagi mengulas laporan akhbar baru-baru ini mengenai dakwaan ada pihak di India mahu memboikot minyak sawit dari Malaysia.
Dalam pada itu juga, Kok turut menyeru supaya lebih banyak pekebun kecil sawit di Selangor mendapatkan pensijilan MSPO bagi tanaman mereka.
Ini kerana menurutnya, hanya 4.5 peratus daripada 45,000 hektar kawasan tanaman kelapa sawit milik pekebun kecil di negeri ini mempunyai sijil berkenaan dan angkanya disifatkan sebagai amat rendah.
Sementara itu, Ahmad Parveez berkata pihaknya sedang mengeluarkan surat amaran kepada mana-mana kilang memproses buah sawit dan ladang-ladang kelapa sawit yang belum memulakan proses pensijilan MSPO.
“Mulai bulan ini, kita akan keluarkan surat amaran kepada kilang dan ladang sawit. Jika mereka ingkar, mulai Julai nanti kita akan mula mengenakan kompaun.
“Dan bermula awal tahun depan, jika pihak berkenaan masih lagi tidak melakukan gerak kerja untuk memperoleh MSPO, MPOB tidak akan teragak-agak untuk menggantung atau menarik lesen mereka," katanya.
Sehingga Jumaat lepas, sebanyak 76.3 peratus atau 345 kilang buah sawit di seluruh negara telah memperoleh sijil MSPO manakala sebanyak 3.67 juta hektar daripada 5.85 juta hektar kawasan tanaman sawit mempunyai pensijilan berkenaan.
With clarification from Indian minister of commerce and reinstate by our Minister of primary industry Kok dismissed reports that India has called for a boycott of Malaysian palm oil. She said it was learned from several discussions that Indian palm oil buyers wanted Malaysia to increase its export of crude palm oil and reduce the export of refined palm oil
My personal opinion only: India will not be substituting import of palm oil from Malaysia as it will be more expensive importing from other country.The rumors was spread intentionally to generate cost savings of hundreds of millions. Malaysia is exporting almost 50% of India needs so malaysia's price is already cost competitive due to the large scale of production. The price dip in CPO will only be very temporary and price will climb back towards RM3000 very soon.
PRICE WILL BE UPP... RSAWIT doesnt have to follow the sentiment of TDM. TDM dropped because the CHAIRMAN sell large... RSAWIT i hardly seen any significant figure or company selling... why DROP by mere sentiment...??? BUYx33333!!!!!
No lah. The export price will adjust upwards so that net will more or less equal the domestic price. Therefore if export price is too low after deducting 6%, then local mills will just sell to domestic buyers like the oil refiners.
And China had said that the trade deal with the US will not e at the expense of their other suppliers. In fact it will be good. The rice in soya bean oil as a result of China buying will allow CPO price to rise further since the two are substitutes for each other.
hmm...rise in soy oil price= palm oil price rise...hmm...i do see the logic...but the whole reduction of soy oil use was what caused the rise of palm oil price.no? Hence,although you're right in an infinite demand environment but this isn't such an inelastic environment. As soy oil needs was previously substituted for palm oil and now it only goes to say that the reverse would be true with soy oil being increased again? I would agree soy oil rise = palm oil rise only if it was an inelastic demand. But it isn't?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Sin2099
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Posted by Sin2099 > 2020-01-15 12:22 | Report Abuse
CPO is down again. Lol, not higher and no reason to be higher