Be careful.....the land is just newly planted with oil palm....I believe the owner will keep the land for quite some time....After all, their current business are doing fine, not in hurry to develop this pcs. of land....Apparently, the longer they keep it, more money they will make in the future.. SAB got holding power, keep for another 10 years, is fine to them....
thats why u collect at RM5 when it's still cheap, after 2 or 3 years the land price will up until mummy daddy cant recognize...That time SAB will be RM15...... Come on IJM's Rimbayu, Sime Darby's Kota Kemuning,Tropicana and ECO WORLD all there inflating the land price. It's ECO WORLD, man !!! Golden piece of land, their most valuable assets.... Pump in RM100,000 now withdraw 2 years later RM300,000. Worth or not calculate urself lorr..... What business can generate 300% in 2 years...LAND LAND LAND :)))))))
the co dun even hv to sell the land,all they need to do is revalue it....nta will be more than RM10 per share...and later if issue bonus shares 5 for 1 or even more.....wat a golden goose.
if they revalue 5.70 will be bye bye n history.....not yet revalue because they want those who believe in them have a chance to buy...after that revalue say hello to NTA rm10..........
if the land is worth RM1 billion and the share price remain at this level,this co will be the target of a hostile takeover bid,the takeover party could offer up to RM10.00 per share.
The price has gone up quite a bit since I talked about this a few months back. Right now many would wonder if it is getting too pricey now?
Let us do a rough breakdown of the company.
(1) The company has net cash of 90 M (cash of 156M - total liability of 66 M). It is RM 0.65/= per share. (2) 10800 acre of land planted with palm oil in Indonesia. Let us conservatively assume RM10k per acre. It is worth 108 M, or RM0.78/= per share. (3) Olechemical industry: It is making 23M PBT in 2013. Assume Tax of 25%, PE = 5.0. It is worth 23 x 0.75 x 5 = 86 M, or RM 0.63/= per share. (4) Health Care, 3.8M PBT in 2013. Again, Tax of 25%, but PE should be higher at 10. It is worth 3.8 x 0.75 x 10 = 28.5M, or RM 0.20/= per share. (5) About 5% of Paramount.
If we sum up item 1 to 4 (ignore #5, which is rather small), it works out to be ~RM2.2
With the current share price at RM5.5/=, one is actually paying RM3.3/= for the land in Kota Kemuning. One lot of SAB owns ~200 sf. Based on current price, it works out to be RM 17/= psf. Eco World paid RM35/= psf for a piece of leasehold land next to it. Compare these numbers and judge for yourself. Another key point to keep in mind: SAB's land is freehold.
I visited the 644 acre site recently. Part of the land has been replanted with palm oil (my estimate is not more than 1 year). However, on March 25, the company injected ~137M into a subsidiary called Pembinaan Gejati Sdn Bhd. Later I found out that Pembinaan Gejati is actually the registered land owner. I still have trouble to figure out why the company injected so much money into the subsidiary. To fully plant a 644 acre land with plam oil only needs about 10% of 137M. A more logical guess is the company going to develop the land by itself.
Hi kltan, with regard to your query on Pembinaan Gejati...the transaction were just a transfer of inter-coy balance with no cash involved i.e left-hand to right-hand from SAB group's perspective. It is done for t........ purposes if you are familiar with corporate finance and group corporate structure design. Hope the above explanation helps, my upfront apologies for not spelling 't..'word in full.
Hi KLTAN, you really don't believe me meh..when I made this statement previously " I have to watch oil palm grow"? Hahaha! Anyway guys, I've re-bought back my position currently below RM5, on the grounds that SAB is a decently managed oleochemical product company with a relatively small plantation hectarage. But having said that, I'm also not sure la wether or when the directors/owners will go into property development. Does anyone here knows if any of the SAB directors is a property developer? That would be a good indicator for all of us, if the full value can come soon enough! I do believe though, SAB can rise but not so fast one lah...
Bro kltan, you've been buying into SAB for quite sometime now. It must have been quite an exhilarating run! By the way, what does Cipta means by SAB's related legal dispute to the tune of RM60 millions? I'm abit scared leh...
I don't too worry about it as 60M is insignificant compared to the safety margin of this company offered. My brother is living in Kota Kemuning (one developed by Paramount). According to him, currently a 2D linked house (Land area of 20x70, gated) is asking for not less than RM600k. If you look around, how much does a link house by IJM land cost (Rimbayu)? It is above 800k! I cannot afford to buy a house in that area, at least not now. However, with SAB, I am able to invest in the freehold land in that area with a much cheaper price tag of RM28/= psf if we ignore everything else in the company. RM28/= psf is still cheaper than what Eco-world is paying for. It is perfectly ok with me if the company wants to plant palm oil in there for the next 10 years as the price of land can only go up with time. By the time IJM Land, Eco-world, Tropicana exhaust all their land, how much will they be willing to pay for the land by SAB?
Hi kltan, to be honest..I'm not that scared of the RM60 million case. My fear is more on the possibilities of shareholders dispute as per what Cipta refers to as a related party legal dispute. It could be the tip of an iceberg. As you know, any internal dispute is damaging to the company. SAB has a history of shareholders dispute. Somehow, rich people likes to fight over money! Hahaha! Anyway, they have earlier sometime in early 2000 tried developing this land (kemuning jaya, according to a friend of mine) but somehow dropped the idea and change direction. Subsequently, oil palm was replanted on this land.
Actually, SAB seems like a good buy at any price below RM5.30.
Next soar should be able to reach RM6.50, and then consolidate and sustain at RM6.00.
It will never drop back below RM5 anymore.
Philip Capital target price is RM12++ Public Bank target price is RM9.90.. CIMB will start initial coverage soon..
I think, now the biggest problem is the dividend yield. This company have a lot of cash reserved, but seldom declare dividend. Even declare, it declare very little (5 sen).
Technically, it a company is making 30 sen EPS per year, and the company does not required a lot of cash for re-investment, it should declared at least 70% dividend to its shareholder.
If let said SAB willing to payout RM0.20 as a dividend, then i believe its share price will stable at RM6.00.
Anyway, I think SAB reserve the cash is for property development purpose (that why it injected RM130mil cash into this company).
Albukhary, 1. SAB did not inject RM130 mil into the company. Please refer Chabalang's comment on 28 Jun 2014.
2. SAB land in Kemuning is just planted with oil palm. thus they are not in hurry to develop it. Being a cash rich company, I don't see why they need to sell the land at this moment. They can just keep it and develop themselves when timing is right.
Chinese managed company will not simply sell their land, especially freehold land at strategic location. The longer they keep, higher the land value. Thus, SAB is a counter for long term investor, not for speculator.
aatzer, thank for your comment. However, I don't really agreed with Chabalang's comment, if we refer to the financial report, it did mentioned that:-
A11. Changes in Composition of the Group
There were no change in the composition of the Group during the current quarter under review and financial year-to-date other that those disclosed as follow: The company had on 25 March 2014 subscribed 136,900,000 new ordinary shares of RM1.00 each in Pembinaan Gejati Sdn Bhd (“PGSB”), an indirect 100% owned subsidiary for a total consideration of RM136,900,000.00 which was settled via combination of cash consideration and intercompany set-offs. With the completion of the subscription of new shares, PGSB is now a direct 99% owned subsidiary of SAB whereas the new paid up capital of PGSB is RM137,000.00.00 comprising 137,000,000 ordinary shares of RM1.00 each.
it did mentioned that it is settled via combination of cash consideration and intercompany set-offs.
Initially, Pembinaan Gejati is an 100% owned subsidiary of SAB Property Development Co Sdn Bhd (SPDC), and SPDC is a 100% owned subsidiary of SAB.
Pembinaan Gejati is just a small company with 100,000 paid up capital.
Subsequently, Pembinaan Gejati issue 136,900,000 new share directly to SAB. To subscribe for this new share, SAB has to inject RM136,900,000 cash into Pembinaan Gejati.
So now, Pembinaan become a direct subsidiary of SAB (99%), and balance of 1% is owned b SPDC.
I'm not a corporate finance expert, can anyone tell me why Pembinaan Gejati want to issue 136,900,000 directly to SAB? What is the purpose of enlarge it paid up capital?
Appreciate if we can have more expert come to contribute their opinion.
Albukhary, 137m injection to develop land does not make any sense to me. The logical reason to me why SAB injected 137m into its subsidiary Pembinaan Gejati sdn bhd is to repay the loan for the original purchase of the 644ac as RM5 x 43,560 = 140m, which is close enough to the 137m that was capitalised.
Judging current property market conditions, they will just wait until IJM, Ekoworld and Tropicana have fully launched their projects at Kemuning area. If they all develop and launch at the same time, may be over supply in the same area. Thus, the best strategy is to hold on and plant oil palm. The land will generate reasonable profit from oil palm and land price will keep appreciating. Anyway, the current team are still very much oil palm man, will take time to organize a "fresh" property development team.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
刘健仁
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Posted by 刘健仁 > 2014-06-23 14:15 | Report Abuse
股價嚴重被低估,是重估雪兰莪地庫股價应该在7令吉到8令吉之间看这几天的反弹好消息将要公佈了。