AVALAND BERHAD

KLSE (MYR): AVALAND (5182)

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Last Price

0.355

Today's Change

0.00 (0.00%)

Day's Change

0.35 - 0.365

Trading Volume

3,592,000


4 people like this.

3,142 comment(s). Last comment by Jonathan Keung 14 hours ago

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-04 10:28 | Report Abuse

MCT has a big landbank in CyberSouth there, that's still pending development... the HSR project revival will be a gold mine to MCT, assuming 16.5c long term support, vs 25, 30cent target price, risk to reward ratio is good.

fofo

126 posts

Posted by fofo > 2020-12-06 16:33 | Report Abuse

Covid-19: CMCO in Negeri Sembilan to end Dec 6 except for Seremban and Port Dickson, where it's extended until Dec 20 — Ismail Sabri

Teleboy

32 posts

Posted by Teleboy > 2020-12-06 23:41 | Report Abuse

QR improving. Good time to buy.

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-09 17:30 | Report Abuse

still too much ppl like moneyking543, raise 3-4 bid take profit, drop 1-2 bid cut loss... lol
Hard to escape this cycle if got 'investors' keep willing to cut loss and sell it back to 17, 17.5 after buying it for a few days...

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-09 17:40 | Report Abuse

I believe MCT will be a great beneficiary from the HSR project, it's really like durian runtuh, as even without the HSR, they're relatively OK.
The HSR if it's progressing, will certainly drive up the land values in cyberjaya, as long term wise it will encourage more MNCs to setup office in KL South/Cyber area all along the track.

Low downside risk, due to the long term support at 16 cent. you'll lose 3 bids of paper loss, with very good upside potential, as it can easily go back to 25-35 cents.

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-15 17:35 | Report Abuse

https://focusmalaysia.my/mainstream/property-market-ripe-for-rebound-in-2021/

Maybank IB rerating property sector to Buy.. hope more to come.

Posted by PresidentRotiCanai > 2020-12-16 17:06 | Report Abuse

Mct nice chart

Posted by PresidentRotiCanai > 2020-12-16 17:06 | Report Abuse

MCT will be beneficial from HSR and property

Posted by PresidentRotiCanai > 2020-12-16 18:06 | Report Abuse

Volume suddenly come

Posted by PresidentRotiCanai > 2020-12-17 10:48 | Report Abuse

Volume come?

mikeann

810 posts

Posted by mikeann > 2020-12-17 22:05 | Report Abuse

Based on the present price of 0.185, the stock is grossly undervalued fundamentally.

Technically, based on volume and charts analysis, this stock is trending up.

Breakout will likely occur if the 0.205 resistance is broken soon.

Posted by PresidentRotiCanai > 2020-12-18 11:46 | Report Abuse

Volume come, no worry. One day 2 bids enough

fruitcake

766 posts

Posted by fruitcake > 2020-12-18 12:24 | Report Abuse

APA HAL. MASUK VACCINE BUSINESS TOO KAH?

Mar2083

780 posts

Posted by Mar2083 > 2020-12-18 13:48 | Report Abuse

Coming soon 25sen

chesslim

890 posts

Posted by chesslim > 2020-12-18 16:11 | Report Abuse

0.25 next weeks not problem.

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-18 16:36 | Report Abuse

All so confident of the 25c?
Mmm not sure how to interpret today's action.

1) MCT historically, have a lot of 'traders' that'll easily take profit 1-2 bids, or cut loss 1-2 bids, that's why it's very very hard to escape the 17.5 - 18.5 range.... go up from 16.5 to 17.5, the 17.5 buyers will cut loss down to 16.5 etc etc..

2) The volume in 19.5 and 20 cent is a very very good sign, over 20 million traded in each of these prices. IF these 40+ million shares is bought by someone with good holding power/long term view, it's a game changer for MCT, as the stocks supply in the hands of flippers will be significantly reduced...

I guess we will know in 2 days time, if the profit takers/cut losers will show their hand.

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-18 16:42 | Report Abuse

Is there another 'sifu' do buy call on MCT yesterday ar.. lol.. those stock sifus and their followers... @@

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-18 17:01 | Report Abuse

The question now is... will the 50m+ 19.5/20 cents buyers cut loss, or do they at least have the 2 months holding power until the Q result comes out. Fundamentally, I believe MCT will have a good chance to have a good QR, but I'm really not sure of the quality of shareholders that came in this round..

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-18 17:12 | Report Abuse

A bit of background on MCT's fundamentals.
1) They have very little completed / unsold stocks. About 16m as per their last q result. At average of 400k per resident, that's just 40 units of unsold inventory.

2) Their last few QR is impacted from the interest payment on their outstanding loan, however in their latest Q result, their balance sheet has improved (increase of cash & cash equivalent) and decrease in debt, and with the sales of more units for their 'under construction' project, the balance sheet improvement will materialize in the PnL next Q.

3) After selling out their final active large project (which is their lakefront homes) condo, MCT has no minimal active project at all. Alira and Aetas is in 'soft launch' stage. You can look at this both as a positive and negative, positive in the sense that, they're in control if they want to formally launch the next project, after getting a good % of buyers with LO approved. If the project has low acceptance rate, they can delay the launch, and still able to wait until end of 2021 to launch.
Negative in the sense that, they will not have new sales to replenish or maintain a high revenue in 3rd/4th quarters. Overall I feel point 3 is a positive, I'd rather save the cash and not launch a project, vs having a lot of unsold under construction in this period.

4) They literally just need a QR with net profit and the technicals/fundamentals will be a perfect combo to send it on a run..

Posted by PresidentRotiCanai > 2020-12-21 11:31 | Report Abuse

Price steady boom bibi, no people willing to sell. Hold tigh

FiQ888

1 posts

Posted by FiQ888 > 2020-12-21 11:56 | Report Abuse

really president?? im Q sell @ 0.205.. no one eager to eat it..

fruitcake

766 posts

Posted by fruitcake > 2020-12-21 14:40 | Report Abuse

hahaha

chesslim

890 posts

Posted by chesslim > 2020-12-21 17:45 | Report Abuse

记住,当别人恐惧时你要贪婪。

Michael Kwok

6,184 posts

Posted by Michael Kwok > 2020-12-29 11:12 | Report Abuse

I bought MCT rm 10k. 20.5 cents.Tp 30 cents range.Potential company Will make profit soon probably last quarter or both quarter in a row(increasing profit).

Wonderful

42 posts

Posted by Wonderful > 2020-12-29 11:25 | Report Abuse

only went in now? The price was below 0.18 for a very long period of time and you didn't buy any?

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-29 11:40 | Report Abuse

no prb buy at 20.5 if your investment plan is sound... in his case, he targets 30cent TP, which is possible in 6-12 months duration. as i mentioned before, they have minimum overhang, and their current projects is almost fully sold (which will be reflected in the coming q result in Feb) we'll then see the performance of their Alira and Aetas sales which is soft launched now...

Overall, for property counters that have minimal overhang units and healthy balance sheet, it's a very good time to buy them earlier, vs later... as the low interest environment, + minimal new launches recently, will make it very possible that this coming year is a recovery year for properties, and next year is the beginning of a new property bull run.

He will make money if he can hold 1 year, but the problem is, can everyone hold? Or will they cut loss.... a lot of ppl is trading and cutting loss, making the share price volatile, and against its fundamentals....

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-29 11:47 | Report Abuse

Actually, if u look into their latest QR, if not for the higher tax reversal (from previous tax credit when the co is making losses) MCT already break even/small profit. Assuming that things are only going to get better from now on, this is really the bottom for the company in terms of fundamentals. This is especially true for companies that have minimal overhang and cash rich. When the property overhang reduces/another bull run happens, you'll easily double your profit from MCT, or even triple it if you can hold long enough. But again, this depends on your investment time frame, and if you're want to earn 'fast money' or slow and steady type...

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-29 11:50 | Report Abuse

compared with their current project which shld be a lower margin, alira and aetas and also their casa bayu is gonna be higher margin projects too... if they're able to execute, their next 2 years profit will be stellar, and after which, it's almost certainly the sector will go into the next property bull run d. 300 - 400% gain is really possible in this scenario.. at 60-70c price of MCT, the 20.5c paid is gonna be so cheap..

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-29 15:02 | Report Abuse

very good volume today, but is it the buy and hold volume or pump and dump volume...

Mar2083

780 posts

Posted by Mar2083 > 2020-12-29 15:07 | Report Abuse

25sen coming soon

Posted by CYCHANG155 > 2020-12-29 15:23 | Report Abuse

Few times pump and dump, hopefully this time will fly for real......

mikeann

810 posts

Posted by mikeann > 2020-12-29 15:24 | Report Abuse

Resistance at 0.215 broken.

Next resistance is at 0.28

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2020-12-29 15:42 | Report Abuse

I rather we have a solid holder accumulating 10m shares from the traders to reduce share supply, than 80m volume of traders who will go away the next few days after the party is over, and leaving behind garbage for the home owner to clean up

chesslim

890 posts

Posted by chesslim > 2020-12-29 16:38 | Report Abuse

If up to 0.235, 0.28 is no problem !

Michael Kwok

6,184 posts

Posted by Michael Kwok > 2020-12-29 20:06 | Report Abuse

Usually,I come it will up in near futures.No more begging,no more 10 times writing on other blog, and other.Ong had mari.


Michael Kwok
2872 posts
Posted by Michael Kwok > Dec 29, 2020 11:12 AM | Report Abuse X

I bought MCT rm 10k. 20.5 cents.Tp 30 cents range.Potential company Will make profit soon probably last quarter or both quarter in a row(increasing profit).

Posted by OneSmallStep > 2020-12-29 22:16 | Report Abuse

Sound positive. I hv no problem to hold one year or even few years.

Posted by Titan Trading Channel > 2021-01-03 21:21 |

Post removed.Why?

dmksn

686 posts

Posted by dmksn > 2021-01-05 17:55 | Report Abuse

Bot 0.18-0.185 to avg down my entry 0.215, what a attractive price and thanks for who panic sell.

Posted by rocketboy91 > 2021-01-14 09:42 | Report Abuse

No news from this counter?

Posted by Fantaghiro123 > 2021-01-17 06:51 | Report Abuse

Below Fair Value: MCT (MYR0.185) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MYR1.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MCT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Short Term Liabilities: MCT's short term assets (MYR1.2B) exceed its short term liabilities (MYR539.1M).

Long Term Liabilities: MCT's short term assets (MYR1.2B) exceed its long term liabilities (MYR550.5M).

Debt Level: MCT's debt to equity ratio (3.6%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: MCT's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 32.5% to 3.6% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: MCT's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (441%).

Michael Kwok

6,184 posts

Posted by Michael Kwok > 2021-01-26 21:25 | Report Abuse

If u all can wait like James the blogger, u win handsomely.James the blogger wait 1-3 years for it if there bottom fishing bargain.Mine is 2 weeks-4 months(more on months).I believe James the millionaire investor.

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2021-01-27 08:19 | Report Abuse

who is james the blogger

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2021-01-27 08:23 | Report Abuse

personally, i'm targeting 100% gain from this.... once MCT hits a good result in this next two quarters, it's very likely that upcoming quarters will get even better, so it could potentially be the start of a new bull run.

Val-Elta

680 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2021-01-27 08:24 | Report Abuse

potentially 200-400% gain is even possible, 400% in potentially, 3 years time assuming that's the timeframe for the next 'bull phase' of property sector.

actura

93 posts

Posted by actura > 2021-02-06 23:28 | Report Abuse

Abok pun tarak...

super99

60 posts

Posted by super99 > 2021-02-09 09:45 | Report Abuse

Buy for next property bill run since all material price increase

nemesis

3,932 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2021-02-13 14:05 | Report Abuse

MCT is deeply undervalued supported by Ayala Land which is holding up to 70% of MCT... Very likely to be take over and privatisation target by major shareholder...Cash per Share stood at 0.32 per share which is higher than its share price...if taken private, at least 0.32 must be offered to minority shareholders and could be higher after taking consideration of its 11 billion total GDV...Reiterate BUY with greater upside ahead

nemesis

3,932 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2021-02-13 14:08 | Report Abuse

Furthermore 2.2 bil GDV worth of new properties will be launched this year that wil surely spark renewed interest on this undervalued gem...

nemesis

3,932 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2021-02-17 09:13 | Report Abuse

MCT staging full Rebound after MCO eased...2.2 bil GDV new launching on track with further recovery

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