i think government no pay the tipping fee and testing fee..because they collect the rubbish for produce energy.the plant no start produce energy,goverment also don wan pay first
Currently trending within a positive sloping channel, CYPARK’s share price is expected to climb further to test our resistance thresholds of RM1.15 (R1) and RM1.25 (R2). This represents potential upsides of 14% and 24%, respectively.
Our stop loss level is pegged at RM0.92 (or 9% downside risk).
@Karlos: I agree with your view. Unfortunately people will continue to ignore the pointers that you've mentioned, because what the only metric that they're programmed to see is the profits only.
with PE merely 4.83...It seem a good entry at this price....Those goreng stocks without earning and lossing big money, people fry to sky high...This undervalue one should fly above RM1 anytime!
Cypark relatively high gearing is not something to worry about as it invests in high Capex projects that will generate steady and robust contracted incomes for 21 years or even longer and the debts are ring-fenced and non recourse. The company core biz are in the green energy and environment related space which are fast growing. The negative cash flow from operation is not an issue as the counter party risk is low and Cypark will get the cash going forward. What probably kept the price down perhaps due to heavy sell down by the top management and the reissue of very cheap share via ESOS. Otherwise this company is highly undervalued at the current price level.
lets start of with their cash flow. According to AR2019, the remaining maturities of the loans and borrowings at the reporting date are as follows: - 184.8 million - On demand or within 1 year - 53.2 million - More than 1 year and less than 2 years - 220.2 million - More than 2 years and less than 5 years - 715 million - 5 years or more
I think 184.8 + 53.2 is not an issue for the company to pay back because they have issued RM550.0 million Sukuk. In the AGM, Cypark mentioned they are looking to restructure RM500 million of existing loans through potential future Sukuk with longer maturity date and lower interest rate.
Hence, we don't need to worry on their cash flow, as long as Cypark keep securing more projects in future which will contribute positively to their incurring revenue for 21 years. According to AR2019, the Sukuk has a tenure of up to 22 years, this will be backed by the projects’ anticipated long-term concessionaire income for the next 21 years starting from 2021.
You may google the difference between Sukuk and bank loan, and you will find out the reason of issuing Sukuk is a perfect strategy.
Cypark's revenue comes from four segments as follow: - Environmental engineering - Renewable energy & green technology - Landscaping and infrastructure - Maintenance works Today, I am keen to find out more about "Renewable energy & green technology" recurring revenue.
Here are the list of On-Going project, once completed, will be Secured/Owned/Operate & Managed by Cypark:
*LSS2 - 30MWac Cypark expect to complete all three projects by the targeted Commercial Operation Date (“COD”) of 31 December 2020 - Above is taken from AR2019 (which is released before MCO) - Not sure if this will be delay or not - According to Daud (CEO), he estimated RM25 million of revenue annually for 21 years
*WTE - 20MWac the SMART WTE project will be contributing positively to the group’s revenue by 2021 - Above is taken from AR2019 (which is released before MCO) - however, due to MCO. Cypark has yet to announce the official completion date ( Before MCO, the targeted completion date was at Q2 2020 ) - Lets assume no more MCO and Gov allow technician from japan/korea to enter Malaysia for testing and commissioning, maybe Q1 2021 can complete? - According to Daud (CEO), he estimated RM80 million of revenue annually for 21 years
*LSS3 - 100MWac KUALA LUMPUR (June 24): Utility giant Tenaga Nasional Bhd (TNB) today inked three large-scale solar (LSS) Photovoltaic Power Purchase Agreements. All three projects’ commercial operation is scheduled to be from Dec 31, 2021. - Cypark secured 100 MWAC - According to Daud (CEO), he estimates a 100MW plant could generate an annual revenue of between RM50 million and RM60 million. - This will contribute to FYE2022
* and biogas and biomass
So, i went to check their 'Renewable energy' Segment from AR2014 to AR2019 and it seems the revenue is increasing steadily:
with the above facts, i can have an estimation of their future revenue: FY2020 - 59 million - maintain, as there is no new plant to generate extra electricity FY2021 - 59+(25/12*10)+(80/12*9) = 139 million FY2022 - 59+25+80+(50/12*10) = 205 million FY2023 -59+25+80+50+ LSS4??? FY2024 - 214 million + LSS4 + future project??? The above is just an estimation, and the recurring revenue seems promising.
From their latest QR, Cypark owns approximately 47 MWdc of solar plants In 2020. This capacity is expected to increase to approximately 200 MWdc with the expected completion of LSS2 and several NEM Projects by early 2021.
With only 47 MWdc, Cypark can already generate 59 million revenue. Whats more after the completion of LSS2, WTE, LSS3 & biogas and biomass? This will contribute positively to Cypark revenue with an estimation of increasing 250 - 300% within the next 1.5 - 2 years !!
Lets not forget other segment of their business, especially 'Environmental Engineering' segment will bring in more revenue to Cypark as Malaysia announced that target of the country is to achieve 20% renewable energy by 2025, which implied RM33 billion of investment in renewable energy sector.
FYI.. When asked about the effect of consecutive rainy days in Malaysia, Daud explained that Cypark calculates its solar generation by annual sun hours not daily. With the long historical weather data, Daud noted that the daily rainy versus sunny days variable does not affect its annual projections.
Director cum major shareholder keep on selling, the company continues to buy back shares to support the price and then director/major share holder buying back very cheap shares at only 59.5 sen shares. This behavior is not positive for the company at the expense of minority outside shareholders. Sadly no body raise this issue, not even the so called Minority Shareholders Watchdog Group.
look at the company pattern,the price will not drop so much already..because when drop company will buy back to support director.director sold because margin call .the price drop more.director will sell more.
Very unlikely Director sold due to margin call but to buy back at the guarantied cheap price of 50.5 sen to make good gain but at expense of other shareholders especially the outside minority shareholders.
Today Cypark announced another 4,177,000 new shares issued at the cost of only 59.5 sen, way below even at the current depressed market price, via share option exercised by the management. This cheap new issue will be listed for trading on 17 August 2020.
@Karlos, how does the ESOS works? Management issues 4,177,000 @ 59.5 sen... meaning these 4,177,000 will be added automatically into their Treasury Share? and Staff can purchase it @ 59.5 sen?
Eligible Directors and employées can purchase new shares issued by the company at the price of 59.5 sen and these shares can then be sold by them at market price.
The core business of this company is all about ESOS, share buy back and director disposing share. I've given up on this company long ago, although it's showing high NTA and so on. However it will plunge below 90cents after ESOS.
ISSUANCE OF UNRATED PERPETUAL ISLAMIC MEDIUM TERM NOTES ("PERPETUAL SUKUK MUSHARAKAH") OF UP TO RM500.0 MILLION IN NOMINAL VALUE BASED ON THE SHARIAH PRINCIPLE OF MUSHARAKAH ("PERPETUAL SUKUK MUSHARAKAH PROGRAMME") PURSUANT TO A PERPETUAL ISLAMIC MEDIUM TERM NOTES PROGRAMME BY CYPARK RENEWABLE ENERGY SDN. BHD.
We refer to our earlier announcement dated 4 June 2020 in relation to the Perpetual Sukuk Musharakah Programme.
Cypark Resources Berhad (“CRB”) wishes to announce that Cypark Renewable Energy Sdn. Bhd. (“CRE”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of CRB, has on 4 September 2020 issued the first tranche of Perpetual Sukuk Musharakah of RM97.25 million under the Perpetual Sukuk Musharakah Programme.
RHB Investment Bank Berhad is the Principal Adviser, Lead Arranger and Lead Manager for the Perpetual Sukuk Musharakah Programme.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Papayashot
382 posts
Posted by Papayashot > 2020-07-02 11:33 | Report Abuse
solarvest is indeed a "strong" goreng stock. So scary...