Posted by anbz > 2013-06-07 16:33 | Report Abuse

not pushing the price but the force selling has pass

Posted by anbz > 2013-06-07 16:36 | Report Abuse

a lot for RM 1.00

Posted by Retired > 2013-06-07 23:13 | Report Abuse

guys,its too risky to buy stocks based on speculation. So far, the acquisition talk is purely speculation. Please look at the 5 years share value history and so far none of the financial institution recommended this counter, i guess all the fund managers are dumb;)or i might be wrong;)i wonder why EPF also dont know this news else for sure they will buy or increase their stake...i think EPF also dumb;)hmmmmm

Posted by anbz > 2013-06-10 14:23 | Report Abuse

san miguel , mother of petron is eyeing valuable company and mtd forays into Philippines and with PE just 2.8,were known to them, so this mtdacpi is to be bought by them to expand their biz in Malaysia , mtd to be privatized at RM 1.00 !!!

Posted by Frank Tan > 2013-06-14 09:40 | Report Abuse

ZZZZZZZ....still sleeping in greeny day zzzzzz............

Posted by jaafar daud > 2013-06-17 11:16 | Report Abuse

Volume still very small. Only 23% share floated. With strong fundamental reported most major holders will keep their shares. As such, the direction is bias upward.

Posted by kjk85 > 2013-06-19 11:50 | Report Abuse

how you know there are only 23% of share floating ?

Posted by jaafar daud > 2013-06-19 14:45 | Report Abuse

Substantial Shareholders
Share Holders Holding Date Shares Held Held (%)
· MTD Capital Bhd 31/07/2012 117,269,410 50.77
Alloy Consolidated Sdn. Bhd. 39,295,999 17.01
Lembaga Tabung Haji 21,799,300 9.44

https://secure8.itradecimb.com.my/gcCIMB/tclite/index.jsp?lang=en&mode=0&Exchange=KL&t=1371623687540

Posted by jaafar daud > 2013-06-24 13:06 | Report Abuse

At morning closing price RM0.48, PE is 3.0. Fantastic. Good for collection

Posted by jaafar daud > 2013-06-28 12:18 | Report Abuse

Any news on phillippine project, LRT and township?

Posted by jaafar daud > 2013-06-29 23:29 | Report Abuse

Last November, the DOTC’s special bids and awards committee cleared the participation of the Light Rail Manila Consortium, MTD-Samsung Group, San Miguel Infrastructure Resources Inc., and DMCI Holdings Inc. after beating the Oct. 22 deadline.

The Light Rail Manila consortium is led by First Pacific’s Metro Pacific Investments Corp. (MPIC) with 33 percent, followed by diversified conglomerate Ayala Corp., while the MTD-Samsung group is composed of MTD Capital Bhd. and Samsung C&T Corp.

Diversified conglomerate San Miguel Corp., through San Miguel Infra Resources Inc., lead the group composed of GS Engineering and Construction Corp. and POSCO Engineering and Construction Co Ltd, while DMCI has tied up with Marubeni Corp. and Sistema Tranporte Collectivo Metrorey.

Of the total project cost, the government is spending P30 billion for the acquisition of 39 new light rail vehicles (LRVs) for the project through an official development assistance (ODA) loan from the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA).

Posted by Frank Tan > 2013-07-08 09:20 | Report Abuse

Black horse running...huhuhhh

Posted by jaafar daud > 2013-07-08 10:21 | Report Abuse

Technically and fundamentally. look interesting. Stoch and CCI indicating turning point while golden cross is brewing.

Posted by jaafar daud > 2013-07-08 11:56 | Report Abuse

Turning point and golden cross confirmed. Trend upward. Don't be wrong when it pays to be right.

Posted by jaafar daud > 2013-07-08 22:36 | Report Abuse

Oop market closed off high. Golden cross still brewing.

Posted by lofan73 > 2013-07-09 14:00 | Report Abuse

jaafar ..u nailed it down again..congrats to u

Posted by jaafar daud > 2013-07-09 20:17 | Report Abuse

Thanks Lofan73. Hope you make good money too. Be carefull of the general market. It may drag most counters down.

Posted by Frank Tan > 2013-07-10 09:46 | Report Abuse

yes yes yes..hope it fly like myeg,alam....

Posted by jaafar daud > 2013-07-10 13:04 | Report Abuse

Golden crossed at this price, 56 sen.

Posted by anbz > 2013-07-10 22:29 | Report Abuse

i told u so

Posted by anbz > 2013-07-10 22:30 | Report Abuse

this one and kimlun and nova msc

Posted by learner > 2013-07-11 09:33 | Report Abuse

why the lembaga tabung haji keep on selling the sahre?

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2013-07-12 11:11 | Report Abuse

Dear valued members,

It is not a recommendation to buy, I just want to show you the Intrinsic value of this stock (MTDACPI). This analysis was done when the price was at 0.545.

MTDACPI IV Calculation

Total Net Profit Years 2/10

Total Positive Operating Cash flow Years 5/10

Total Dividend Payout Years 10/10

Total Positive free Cash flow Year 5/10
22/40
Growth%
10 Years Average Turn Over 511281
Latest 4 quarters 258241 -49.49%

10 Years Average Net Profit -33273
Latest 4 quarters 36705

2011 2012 2013 Growth%
EPS -7 -14.00 15.85
PER -7.79 -3.89 3.44
ROE 0 0 18.17
NTA 0.84 0.73 0.87 19.18%
D'dend 1 1

2011 2012 2013
Net Profit -15024 -31797 36705
Total equity 183710 155078 201982
ROE -8.18% -20.50% 18.17%

Price CAGR % (Buy and Hold)
Average Return History -6.72%
3 yrs Return 6.96%

Method 1
EPS 0.16
g 10.00
Y 7.0
IV= (EPS*(8.5+1.5g)*4.4)/Y 2.34
Current price 0.545
Margin of Safety 76.72%
Potential gain 329.59%

Method 2
Discounted Cash Flows Calculator
Discount rate 12.00%
EPS 0.16
Earning expected to grow (annually) 10.0
for the next (? Years) 3.0
before leveling off to an annual growth 3.00
Calculate Stock Value per share 2.20
Current price 0.545
Margin of Safety 75.23%
Potential gain 303.67%

Method 3
ROE 18.17%
Rr 8.00%
NTA 0.87
IV= ROE/ Rr*NTA 1.98
Current Price 0.545
Margin of Safety 72.42%
Potential gain 262.57%

Method 4
(22.5*EPS*Book value per share)^0.5
EPS 0.16
Total equity 201982
Number of shares 231633
(22.5*EPS*Total Equity/share)^0.5 1.76
Current price 0.545
Margin of Safety 69.09%
Potential gain 223.57%

Conclusion
If the price of MTDACPI is 1.76, potential gain is 224%

Thank you.
Ooi

Posted by crawler > 2013-07-12 11:17 | Report Abuse

this is a rubbish stock...don't be con

Posted by gordan85 > 2013-07-12 11:49 | Report Abuse

seph, what is ur tp?

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2013-07-12 11:57 | Report Abuse

When diamond is not polished, it is a rubbish.

Please check Q4 financial result. Anbz said that the next quarter result , good Q4 result will repeat.

Anbz, am I right ?

Thank you.
Ooi

Posted by gordan85 > 2013-07-12 12:02 | Report Abuse

thx seph and ooi

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2013-07-12 14:44 | Report Abuse

FA + TA = success formula

Thank you.

Posted by Frank Tan > 2013-07-12 15:39 | Report Abuse

0.585 cabutttttttt.byeeeeee

Posted by gordan85 > 2013-07-12 16:01 | Report Abuse

pls cabut more and down back to 0.555 thx

Posted by gordan85 > 2013-07-12 16:24 | Report Abuse

lth disposed alot today lor, jz disposed 0.575

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2013-07-12 17:22 | Report Abuse

Next Quarter result will be key to this stock. If the Q4 result can be repeated in Q1 (out around 29/8/2013), the stock price will fly sky high.

Please be patience to wait for 1.5 months.

Thank you.
Ooi

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2013-07-12 22:07 | Report Abuse

Dear sephiroth,

Please advise the amount of LAD write back in Q4.

Thank you.
Ooi

Posted by Harvard57 > 2013-07-13 01:09 | Report Abuse

go for trading play

Posted by Steve Jub > 2013-07-13 17:44 | Report Abuse

mr ooi, thx for the valuation. i check its debt equity ratio is 2.03. is it ok?

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2013-07-13 18:15 | Report Abuse

Dear Steve Jub,

According to accounting standard, debt to equity should be < 1.00.

Please note that MTDACPI is a turnaround company, this company had been losing money for last few years, hence debt ratio is high. If the growth can be sustained for next few years, this debt ratio will come down.

I select it because it is a turnaround company, growth is very high.

I am not expert in FA, please check with Kcchongnz.

Thank you.
Ooi

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2013-07-13 18:56 | Report Abuse

It is not a recommendation to buy.

KHSB is also a loss making stock, you also said lap sap stock.

Please recommend a good one to buy since you do not con people.

Posted by Steve Jub > 2013-07-13 19:20 | Report Abuse

thanks mr ooi, think i will go for those 5 years strong and consistent financial quarterly result first..

Posted by fatinvest > 2013-07-13 19:36 | Report Abuse

If good quarterly result is due to write back of LAD, then I believe we have reason to be cautious!
Write back of LAD is just like write back of bad debts, it would not happen everyday, and it's one off thing like extraordinary gains!
I think the next quarter's result would not be that great any more!

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2013-07-13 21:28 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by CityTrader > 2013-07-14 09:31 | Report Abuse

Mr Ooi, i m the first one who wont blame u, no worry.

Posted by inwest88 > 2013-07-14 09:58 | Report Abuse

As Ooi says, his input is just for our information. It's up to the people who wants decide. We should appreciate his effort to come out with the stock analysis. And we should be thankful to people like him and kcchongnz.

Posted by taiong59 > 2013-07-14 11:33 | Report Abuse

Ur rite...invest88...everyone shd have been mature enough to judge....cheers

Posted by ykinvestor > 2013-07-14 12:30 | Report Abuse

Yes. We should be thankful to people like ooi and kcchongnz or anyone who have put effort to come out with the stock analysis. One can then use one's own decision to decide to buy or not.

Posted by ankimchuah > 2013-07-14 12:36 | Report Abuse

Buy at our own risk. Tq for the info.

Posted by tonylim > 2013-07-14 12:57 | Report Abuse

Otb how's mtd toll highway doing in PP

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2013-07-14 13:00 | Report Abuse

MTD toll at Genting is under MTD Capital, no relationship with MTDACPI except MTD is a major share holder of MTDACPI.

Posted by tonylim > 2013-07-14 13:03 | Report Abuse

One of the mtd owns an expressway in Philippines. That's all I know.

Posted by wm83 > 2013-07-14 20:52 | Report Abuse

@sephiroth, what's your take?

Posted by Frank Tan > 2013-07-15 09:15 | Report Abuse

aiyaa..no chance to buy back,congrat who still hold it :)