@VSLSB Actually trade war is positive to Magni. China is a big market for NIKE but sales growth of NIKE in China is Robust. On the other hand, some garment orders are moving out of China, so positive to Magni. COVID-19 however, caused a large quantity of China city on lockdown and income of people affected. Sales in China will be slow for at least first half of this year. I will come back to Magni later.
Covid-19 and politician unstable make economy slown down fundamental company metamorphism ,expect local and foreign funds money would not flow in big cap and mid cap stock because everybody scare buy high losses money . In this few month expect Funds manager money would flow out in bigcap and midcap stocks and will short selling midcap stocks for make money so now no prospects cannot buy and hold . market stock RM5.00 drop to RM 2.00 ,followed RM2.00 drop RM1.00,followed RM1.00 drop to 50 cent,followed 50 cent drop to 20cent ,followed 20 cent drop to 10cent ,followed 10cent drop to bottom. This is a opportunity markets money no longer will flows in cheaper stocks sharks will goreng lows price stock at bottom..
Covid 19, all NBA basketball matches suspended... no one buy Nike clothes... inventory piles up and facing wear and tear issue... workers quarantine at home, no one working in factory, production on hold, no profit...
Those got bullets shd take this golden opportunity to buy cheap quality stock. Two wks ago selling ard Rm 2.50 now below Rm 1.30 .Fire sales. Closed eyes buy, u won't be wrong
MAGNI initially a beneficiary from two important sports events in 2020 (2020 Olympic Games and European Cup). However, due to the outbreak of covid19 pandemic, these two major events have been delayed, and the demand for clothing is inevitably decreasing. Apart from that, Nike sales are expected to go down as unable to open stores due to the covid19 outbreak! It’s turnover will certainly be affected and will definitely affect MAGNI, because Nike will reduce clothing orders!
Based on the latest research report by Public bank for MAGNI, I am not too sure how they come out with target price RM2.50, based on 8x CY20F earnings.. If I interpret correctly, their estimated CY20F earning is RM0.3125 per share.. Walao, it is way higher than CY19 le.. mana mungkin :-)
I come up with similar valuation using my DCF model with conservative 10% growth, and 15% discount rate. This kind of valuation is for long term beyond 3-5 years. If you're a trader, this doesn't mean anything for you.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
apple168
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Posted by apple168 > 2020-02-28 16:24 | Report Abuse
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