Someone must be bought at 1.5 1.6 then cut loss at 1.1 1.0,then now price at 2 already he feel not balance, heart pain, become hatred to this stock, see drop 2 cents already very happy
In 2021 Public Bank wrote that management targeted Mexico to breakeven by year end. Breakeven utilization set at 30%. Latest report shows utilization is 35%-40%. However, there have been 2 continuous quarters of share of loss for JV as shown in the P&L. The results over the past 15 quarters have been inconsistent. Given the company's fortune depends on commodity prices, and with the run up in share price since the last few months, IMO the risk reward is no longer appealing.
Good point. Can you share how you deduce that JV was making profit but peso depreciation turned it into a loss? I couldn't find those info. When I checked the Mexican Peso to Ringgit chart, it shows Mexican Peso has been strengthening against Ringgit from 2019 to mid 2024. The recent peso depreciation happened after mid 2024. But the quarter report is up to Jun 2024 only. In other words, the recent peso depreciation hasn't started during the reported quarter (worse to come in next quarter?) Rightfully during the period when Peso was strengthening, it took fewer Peso profit to translate into each Ringgit profit. I wonder how the company turned a favourable forex condition (until mid 2024) into an unfavourable result.
You may refer to Public Bank analyst report issued on 29th Aug.
Mexico operations. On the other hand, AGB’s Mexico operations slipped into a loss of RM0.4m, mainly due to unfavourable currency fluctuations. We gather that exports from its Mexico operations have been increasing steadily and is currently running at a higher utilization rate of 35-40% (previously 25-30%) as the group has started to export full range of products (full cream and filled milk) to US.
Thanks for sharing the source. I missed the Public Bank report that “Mexico operations slipped into a loss of RM0.4m, mainly due to unfavourable currency fluctuations” So it means the operation was close to breakeven during Q2.
If I look back past 15 quarters since they started reporting the JV results, not only the Mexican progress was behind time, but the performance was also erratic. For example, loss in 3Q23, profitable in 4Q23, then loss again in 1Q24.
about 65% export market, import raw mat in USD, impact due to weakening USD should be minimum, anyone can shed some lights? Expect better performance by JV as Mexico Peso against USD rebounds.
The boiling water consists of solid earning each year and good prospects of growth. It is about the investor’s financial capability to stay long enough for the final win with consistent Div yield higher than FD.
Exporters esp tech jump due to USD strengthening, about 65% revenue of Ableglob is export, no benefit? Current share price weakness due to DT will hike 25% of Mexico goods? Mex JV reported 1.8mil in Q4 2023, only quarter reported profit in past 1 year.
Trump is to impose 25% tariff on products from Canada and Mexico, this will affect sales of AbleGlob Mexico to US. Since this is a quiet counter, I guess there will not be an obvious knee jerk on share price. However I opine this will inevitably affect the growth trajectory of AbleGlob.
Should the new tariff(25%) on Mexico be implemented, we believe the impact on the group's earnings will remain minimal, as we understand that exports to the US from Mexico account for 10-15% of its sales.
No more steam, all FOMOs kena trapped at high prices yet again. this counter will give you maximum pain for holding its stock. 2.20, not selling, 2.1, 2.0, 1.9... down down down, pain pain and more pain.☠️⚰️🪦
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
emc2garylow
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Posted by emc2garylow > 2024-08-05 10:02 | Report Abuse
Some people comments without brain, 99% of bursa share are drop, they thought only this share drop. 小丑连世界局势都不知道