Think some investors are responding to the news that some aluminium smelters might resume their operations in light of the meteoric rise in aluminium prices (see link below)
What people still need to remember is that it was always inevitable that the people within the industry will look to respond so such rising prices (i.e. look to fill the supply deficit if it is economically feasible)
That said, the article also mentioned that some of the bigger players still won't begin operations till LME prices reach above USD2,500-2,700 per tonne (Rusal & Alcoa). If prices do touch that level, PMetal should expect that to be translated to much better financial performance for the coming period.
Most important part of that article stated the following "Despite possible restarts, Rusal forecasts a global market deficit of 1.2 million to 1.3 million tonnes next year, down from a deficit of 1.5 million this year, First Deputy Chief Executive Vladislav Soloviev said on Tuesday".
The expected resumption in some of the smelters will not be enough to swing the deficit position back into a surplus.
Investor's are overreacting and some are in a healthy position to cash out some of their profits (given PMetal's rally year-to-date). Don't lose track of the bigger picture (aluminium prices are still strong and healthy at the moment!). Stay invested.
These analysts all come out and support PMetal openly only 3rd day after the melt down...may be they have collected enough and it is time to release the good news so that everyone will buy again..hmmmm..
Adrian123, same can be argued about all the these people that are appearing now with negative comments about the stock, citing it to be currently expensive and overvalued? Maybe they are scaring you further so they can accumulate on the cheap? Best if you look at the fundamentals and decide for yourself. Their business is relatively straightforward as its financial performance essentially rides on aluminium prices.
As my previous post quotes, the industry players themselves (not any local analysts/fund managers) believe the supply deficits will persist next year despite the recent massive rise in aluminium prices. The final call is for each investor to make on their own. Just base it on facts and not fear.
Stock is under heavy selling pressure after breaching the MYR7.00 level. Next support is at MYR6.00 followed by minor one at MYR5.75, and MYR5.20. One way to look at this is that the correction is potentially healthy, given how much the stock has ran up and it’s still above the 50-day MAV line. Just the speed of selling is a bit worrisome. If the stock can hold and stabalise above MYR6.00 support for a while, would be a good thing. Conservative investors may wish to see that happening before making an entry.
Note that aluminium prices has been correcting the past month, but it has always been volatile. The general trend this year is still upward.
Monday will be T+3 for those buy on Wed, average price 6.67-7.05 (1.135M), T+4/buy on Tuesday 6.98-7.13 (0.813M),hoping they already sold out just now, if not, monday morning will drop somemore. Based on today transaction nearly 9M, I think most of them already cut loss just now.
Bursa normally takes about 10 working days (maximum) to process a bonus issue application (assuming all the information required are provided in full and is in order). Therefore, we should expect the news by end of next week I reckon.
This should boost trading liquidity for the counter I suppose.
PMetal I start go in since 3.80, out from market 6.34. After it went up to 7.xx, I just watch, yesterday go in on 6.36, luckily this morning average down and buy again in 5.42. SOLD all at 5.90 just now. Will go in again if price below 5.75 (depends on the momentum, if selling pressure high, will wait till below 5.35)
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Adrian123
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Posted by Adrian123 > 2014-09-26 11:35 | Report Abuse
Recovering mode....not sure is temporary....but this morning is really overdone.