-------------------------------- (note 1 - explanation by management) The decline in FFB production in Q3 2020 was primarily due to the lagged impact of the drought in Indonesia in Q3 2019. We anticipate the production to normalise in Q4 2020.
TSH also announced September qtr results today. I would like to make comparisons between the 2 : TSH : Sept qtr EPS 3.27 sen Ytd EPS. 7.65 sen Sept qtr dividend Nil Ytd dividend Nil NA per share $1.14 (land in Indonesia ) Share price $1.17
Bplant Sept qtr EPS. 4.27 sen Ytd eps. 6.97 sen Sept qtr dividend 1.75 sen Ytd dividend 4.35 sen Na per share $1.19 ( land in Malaysia) Share price $0.715
From long experience when Insider Boss buying non stop with no apparent reason there must be Hidden Value only he knows
Eg. Tomypak
This one many years ago Boss buying at 40 sen. He kept buying at 40 sen very consistently with no apparent news. He just kept buying at 40 sen After a very long time he bought enough Tomypak shares he suddenly announced a 4 sen dividend to the surprise of all. 4 sen means 10% dividend at 40 sen cost. From there it went up from 40 sen to Rm4.00 (Up 1,000%) & split by bonus
So don't look at the surface. Just follow Insider Boss of Tsh buy and hold. They must have some hidden knowledge unknown to all since there is little news about Ekowood & others
One more thing
TSH every time when it disposes an Asset it always showed a New Value at least 70% more. And 1st Qtr of 2022 TSH will complete a Sale of 2 plots land in Sabah
price up the fans come n bash the haters...price down haters come n bash the fans...its normal for price go up n down ...no need bashing liao....just maturedly discuss enuff d
@calvin, With due respect, I would like to correct your understanding on Biological Assets . Your statement that TSH which has double the value in Biological assets means TSH "plant the most trees (both palm &timber)" is grossly inaccurate. TSH has 42,000 ha oil palm planted and 30,168 ha rehabilitated forest (total 72,168 ha) SDarby has 603,145 ha oil palm + some rubber, sugar cane and livestock. It is impossible that TSH planted more tress on 72,168 ha of land than SDarby >603,145 ha of oil palm alone! I think it is very important to know what is registered as biological assets in the account. For plantations companies in Malaysia , biological assets registered in the book consist of the following : Mature FFB ready for harvest (but still on the trees), tree in commercial forestry, livestocks, other crops/produce that can be harvest with commercial value. In the case of TSH : the biological assets are mostly the trees in the rehabilitated forest and some mature FFB on tress. in the case of sime darby : the biological assets are mature FFB on the tress, cane and livestock (cattle). As the composition of the business are different, the amount of biological assets in each company varies considerably. The quantum DOES NOT tell the financial prospect of the company.
Biological assets are revalued at fair value qtrly. As the trees in the commercial forest grow older , they should fetch higher value provided the market price is favourable. Same apply to sugar cane, livestock etc. Any gain in fair value (thru valuation) is recognised as profit in P&L on one side of the account and increase of Biological asset value on the other side (debit/credit). When the biological assets are "harvested" and sold , there is no or little contribution to P& L as its commercial value/fair value is already captured qtrly in P&L. Therefore, the accounting trial will simply be conversion of Biological asset to other current assets like cash/account receivable.
Sustainable Forestry In 1997, we were awarded with a 100-year concession to carry out forest rehabilitation, environmental conservation and industrial tree planting on 123,385 ha of forestry land in Ulu Tungud, Sabah, also known as Forest Management Unit 4 (FMU 4). The Group is committed to safeguarding the environment as part of our way of doing business
TSH has 123,385 Hectares of Forest Concession lands
Once hectare is 2.471 acres
So 123,385 x 2.471
= 306,000 ACRES
TSH Has Total 306,000 ACRES OF FOREST CONCESSION FOR 100 YEARS
So these are now part of the Rm400 Millions in Biological Assets
Calvin, TSH is awarded the concession to rehabilitate about 123,000 ha forest land . So far only about 30,000 ha has been rehabilitated up to end of last year. The biological assets value are the fair value of all tree planted on these 30,000 ha which can be harvested when they mature one day . Once the assets already reflecting current fair value (thru fair value changes on qtrly basis) , there is no gain when they are harvested and sold . You must understand that biological assets is simply just another class of asset.
Calvin, I don’t think there is any commercial value to the un-rehabilitated forest land . I am not privy to the concession agreement and can’t confirm if the concession is even transferable. But I seriously doubt it is transferable! The concession is only the rights to cultivate timber tree for later harvest. The concession land , which I believe is non transferable, is NOT an asset to the company. Consequently, we don’t see it being reported in the list of assets in the annual report . Sarawak government has cancelled quite some forestry concession and threaten to withdraw more if the awarded companies fail to comply to the rate of forest rehabilitation. The right of use assets in the book are for all the leasehold oil palm lands in Indonesia . Domestic and foreign company can only hold leasehold or right to use property in Indonesia. The lease in Indonesia is always very short , 20-40 years only. In the case of TSH, the lease is for 35 years and all leases are expiring in 2040-2046 ie 20 years time . Consequently, the value of the land will continue to depreciate as the renaming lease get shorter. Extension of lease to foreign company in Indonesia is a big question mark! Don’t expect land appreciation for TSH!
@Johnzhang, Thanks for your clear explanations stated above. Also agree with you that it is more accurate to evaluate the performance of the company based on PE rather than EPS. There are certainly many plantation companies with better PE based on 3rd Quarter results. And prospective PE based on the full year results.
I evaluate TSH solely for its oil palm business. If you include the timber business in the equation, there are a lot more issues such as state policy , long term timber products price , cost of production , gestation period , etc to be looked into , which entails very different discussion.
Johnzhang Calvin, I don’t think there is any commercial value to the un-rehabilitated forest land . I am not privy to the concession agreement and can’t confirm if the concession is even transferable. But I seriously doubt it is transferable!
No. These lands are not transferable but only the remaining years of "Rights" could be sold
The company has to register these lands under different sub entities that got the Rights
So they can be sold as sub companies
This was how many Bumi and non bumi entities get Govt allocated "concession lands at nominal sums and do nothing themselves. They either "rent out these lands for a yearly fee for others or out right sale of these separate companies if price is right
The reason for share price of plantation counters to be stagnant could be due to ESGi isues which Malaysia has a reputation for. Why is our Malaysian govt not doing anything to address this concern with the foreign countries like US n UK. So far our govt is not doing anything but only know how to collect tax n more tax from the corporate sector. It's high time govt do something about this ESG issues before more companies are affected. The latest one affected is ATA a supplier to the world famous giañt electrical item company DYSON.
Nowadays foreign funds are also looking at the background of malaysian companies especially plantation sector before they invest. Too many of our companies have ESG issues.
Ya, Indonesia government squeezes plantation companies harder to cross subsidize domestic usage for cooking oil and the ambitious B30 biodiesel programs. Plantation companies in Indonesia are also subject to forex risk , policy and regulations changes . 100% upstream Malaysian CPO producers are better choices.
try check commodities price all drop everyday... but palm oil price still able to sustain... if the palm oil price remain same till year end... I bet the outcome will be very Fabolous
and palm oil normally will remain high price at year end due to cold weather. certain place production very low.mm so price will be remain high for the time being
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
moneySIFU
5,852 posts
Posted by moneySIFU > 2021-11-23 16:16 | Report Abuse
QUARTERLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER)
31-Oct-21: 71,807 (note 2)
30-Sep-21: 239,222 (YOY: +61,746MT / +34.8%)
30-Jun-21: 255,151 (YOY: +36,069MT / +16.5%)
31-Mar-21: 228,187 (YOY: +20,460MT / +9.8%)
31-Dec-20 180,963 (average= 60,321MT/month)
30-Sep-20 177,476 (note 1)
30-Jun-20 219,082
31-Mar-20 207,727
--------------------------------
(note 1 - explanation by management)
The decline in FFB production in Q3 2020 was primarily due to the lagged impact of the drought in Indonesia in Q3 2019. We anticipate the production to normalise in Q4 2020.
note 2
https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3210325