Net profit might be over RM150mil, but on a core basis, should be between RM120mil to RM140mil. Disappointing if core net profit below RM100mil. Impairment is unknown, hopefully none.
Rm6.8mil from asset disposal, Rm5.7mil from reversal of impairment, and RM1.7mil from gain in FX. Therefore total one off gains is Rm14.2mil. Meaning which, core net profit is around Rm148mil. Finance cost has lowered further. Exceptional!
Plus there are new projects coming on stream next year (FPSO) and the year after (FSRU). So the company is growing the top line, as well as reducing costs such as finance costs (as they repay large chunks of borrowings) and depreciation charges (as the OMS vessels are sold off).
There is other operating income and no impairment this quarter compare to other quarters which causing this quarter result figure is high. Otherwise this quarter result is not good as you think.
Total borrowing in Q121 stands at RM8.14B vs Q420 RM8.30B. An improvement of RM0.16B reduction of total borrowing Q2Q. This will further pair down the gearing which most investors is looking at. Solid result lets see how the market responds.
@VincentTang, other operating income exists normally (provision of engineering services to subsidiaries/joint ventures etc). The asset disposal contributed only a small amount to the other operating income (RM6.8mil). Meanwhile, impairment is NOT normal. That it has ended is a good thing, not a bad thing. There should be no further impairments as a normal course of action here on out.
I already stripped out the one-off exceptional items and got to a net profit of RM148mil. Whichever way you look at it, RM148mil is a superb result!
Other income from management fee (if you treat it as once off) can be similarly offset by a decline in JV and associate earnings which was in the current quarter increased due to vessel upgrading costs pursuant to the 15 year Armada D1 extension, so let's treat it as that both effects equal each other. Furthermore there was a loss of approximately 6-8 million in earnings due to 3 days of maintenance for Kraken.
I am just going to point out, that consensus earnings is about RM450 million. However you want to look at it, with this quarterly results, the street is severely underestimating their forecasts and by tomorrow i do expect a series of upgrades, across the board.
Take note that the reduction in the rate of paring down the debt is mainly due to higher USDMYR rates (March 31 2021 RM4.15/USD vs Dec 31 2020 of RM4.02/USD).
@Jojobaa, that's a good point. The profit from JV is slightly lower as well, at only RM12mil for Q1 2021 for the FPSO segment. The more "normal" profit would be around RM30mil to RM50mil per quarter (no including the new FPSO/FSRU projects).
However, where did you find that the JV profit was lower due to vessel upgrading cost for the Armada D1 (i.e. Armada Sterling I)? I don't see this information in the quarterly report. As far as I'm aware, this was already expensed off last year.
This was in the analyst reports. It mentioned that there will be various quarters in which cost will be expensed for certain items for vessel enhancement in view of a long term extension. I would say 25-30 mil a quarter minimum should be the norm for the JV earnings share.
U can wait till tomorrow for all the analyst reports. Consensus is RM400 million + earnings. If doing a RM150 million quarterly or an implied annualized earnings of RM600 million does not warrant an upgrade, then I honestly don't know what does.
And that is before factoring in around RM100mil per year for the new ONGC FPSO from next year onwards, and around another RM20mil per year for the FSRU from 2023 onwards. And those are conservative estimates. Which means there is A LOT of upside here!!
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bullmarket1628
3,711 posts
Posted by bullmarket1628 > 2021-05-25 07:10 |
Post removed.Why?