CAIRO/DUBAI (Oct 26): Saudi Aramco said oil-output capacity across the world is dropping quickly and companies need to invest more in production.
It’s a “huge concern,” Chief Executive Officer Amin Nasser said in an interview in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia’s capital. “The spare capacity is shrinking.”
His comments come with crude prices having soared 70% this year to around US$85 a barrel. Many major consumers, including the US, Japan and India, have called on producers to pump more.
The supply deficit in oil markets could worsen in 2022 if the coronavirus pandemic eases and more people fly, he said.
Declining rapidly “If there’s aviation pick up next year, that spare capacity will be depleted,” he said. “It’s now getting to a situation where there’s limited supply — whatever is left that’s spare is declining rapidly.”
Several oil and gas traders have criticized governments and climate activists for calling on companies to stop investing in fossil fuels, saying that will cause shortages of energy in the coming decade.
Aramco, the world’s biggest oil company, is investing billions of dollars to raise its daily capacity to 13 million barrels from 12 million. It expects to complete the project by 2027.
Many Wall Street banks and OPEC+ members doubt there will be supply shortages next year. JPMorgan Chase & Co has said oil markets will shift to a supply surplus of 1 million barrels by March from a deficit of around 1.5 million barrels now.
Saudi Arabia’s energy minister told Bloomberg on Saturday there could be a “huge uplift” in crude inventories in 2022.
“We still have Covid,” Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said, justifying OPEC+’s refusal to ease deep supply cuts it began last year any faster. “We still have jet fuel limited in terms of growth. If you do more now, you’re accelerating the problem.”
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners are increasing daily output by 400,000 barrels each month. The 23-nation group, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, next meets on Nov 4 to decide whether to change strategy.
With the amount of work they have won and current oil price / supply demand imbalance share price should go up, people just looking a current debt levels, which will resolve.
Gas price is soaring now, breaking USD6.2, Brent and WTI remain supported above USD 80++... High oil price held stable above USD 80 is very important to trigger more investments in E&P, exploration and drilling, this will certainly benefit upstream O&G counters including Sapura.
We are seeing more contracts winning, projects won, etc, lets eyeing on next Quarter report...last Quarter in September most losses (foreseeable) are already factored in...there are more new line up in management since Oct21...So I am anticipating huge breakthrough in coming quarter results...
Just my personal thought, not a buy call or sell call...
Next quarter earning should be better if no more cost overruns for India/ Taiwan E&C and other jobs.. Sapura is good in replenishment the new contracts, but most of the contracts are low profit margin, underestimated, risky and could cause very huge loss.. should more selective and look for higher margin contracts...
Wow Shahril buying millions of shares. I think spare cash only for him to wallop even more. As a middle finger to ex ceo PNB for ousting him, buy at 1/100 the price PNB came in BAHAHA
King Shahril bot 20mil shares kah. how to fight back with PNB own 40% leh. Still need PNB to give approval leh. See he still got bullet to buy more or not lah. If really want to fight back need to buy everyday 20mil lah. Dont just buy one time want the price to go up lah. Many still waiting to redeem kfc leh. Correct?
IronShirt wow...Shahril is Back....Buying Sap, maybe One Day kick current management Out and reclaim his CEO position 28/10/2021 7:22 PM
Refining margins, the Nymex gasoline crack spread, traded above $16 per barrel on Thursday—the highest it's been since 2017, Bloomberg said on Thursday.
It slowly back to glory days for O&G counters...remembering glorious moment for OnG companies 2016+
just my opinion, the Exploration and Production, E&P O&G stocks would lag the Oil price trend...Investors would need to wait to confirm the stability of the Oil price surge, a longer demand outlook and longer term high oil price would prompt those investors to invest more...
there it comes opportunties for E&P company winning more and more profitable big projects and contracts...
Just my opnion, not sure this will materialize or not, just my thoughts and hope, not a buy call or sell call....
Lets hope the glorious moment for O&G counters in 2015-2016 would return soon...
Agreed. Institutional investors are observing the macro risks on persistent. COVID cases, ESG movement and demand growth.
One thing is certain, human population doesn’t cease to grow and demand for energy will continue to grow post pandemic / endemic. Question is how fast would renewable energy would satisfy the energy hunger globally, till then O&G will still triumph.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
plaxo 88
153 posts
Posted by plaxo 88 > 2021-10-25 10:04 | Report Abuse
bet alam and sapura, which is a better bet to survive. any advice, pls