Profit of RM143.7 million all gone to pay Felda first. This is what happen when the new CEO is ex Felda..From 3 Consecutive Quarterly profits to immediate losses despite fantastic CPO Prices. Leaderships is really important to steer any companies. FGV just change it's fate from being an upcoming star to the only bad apple in Mabel's collection...
I encourage you all to read the Quarterly Q1'21 and Q4'20 Result Briefing Pg 9 and Pg 8 respectively and deduce your analysis.
From what I see, FGV has always been paying out LLA in the past, with the exception of Q4'20, where a $98m LLA fair value gain was recorded. Therefore deducing Q1'21 result being bad, I don't see so, especially if you compared how FGV fared in Q1 of past years.
Now, if you go to Pg 8 of Q4'20 of the same report, see the 2016 quarterly trend and you will notice these:
1. EBIT increase in tandem to CPO price movement. 2. Q4 LLA turned net gain, just like what happened in Q4'20. 3. Q4 impairment the highest, just like what happened in Q4'20.
in summary, if CPO prices in the coming quarters will remain high, the trend you see in 2016 will repeat. I am not sure what was the dividend paid in that year, if you know, multiply that by 2 as CPO price this year, is almost doubled to that of 2016.
See Pg23 of Q1'21 result - it wrote this :
"CPO price will remain volatile and expected to hovering within the range of RM3,700 – RM4,200 in 3Q FY2021."
I think by historical trend, it seemed Q1 is always a lousy quarter for FGV business.
#Sunshine I encourage you all to read the Quarterly Q1'21 and Q4'20 Result Briefing Pg 9 and Pg 8 respectively and deduce your analysis.
From what I see, FGV has always been paying out LLA in the past, with the exception of Q4'20, where a $98m LLA fair value gain was recorded. Therefore deducing Q1'21 result being bad, I don't see so, especially if you compared how FGV fared in Q1 of past years.
Now, if you go to Pg 8 of Q4'20 of the same report, see the 2016 quarterly trend and you will notice these:
1. EBIT increase in tandem to CPO price movement. 2. Q4 LLA turned net gain, just like what happened in Q4'20. 3. Q4 impairment the highest, just like what happened in Q4'20.
in summary, if CPO prices in the coming quarters will remain high, the trend you see in 2016 will repeat. I am not sure what was the dividend paid in that year, if you know, multiply that by 2 as CPO price this year, is almost doubled to that of 2016.
See Pg23 of Q1'21 result - it wrote this :
"CPO price will remain volatile and expected to hovering within the range of RM3,700 – RM4,200 in 3Q FY2021."
I think by historical trend, it seemed Q1 is always a lousy quarter for FGV business. 30/05/2021 10:02 PM
Meow sunshine...
FGV paid 2 sen dividen in 2016. This year they already paid 3 sen dividend..
#calvintaneng For cpo if it just stay above Rm3500 per ton will be very good for Fgv and all palm oil shares as a whole 30/05/2021 10:19 PM
Meow Calvin
RM 3500 is definitely great, As long as CPO prices remain above RM3,000 per tonne, plantation stocks will continue to make windfall profits.
Calvin - FGV report says this - "CPO price will remain volatile and expected to hovering within the range of RM3,700 – RM4,200 in 3Q FY2021"...CPO price is expected to remain high this year...
PB: Issues responded to, further suspension unlikely. We are of the view that management has addressed and responded to every single issue in detail to the auditor and the regulatory bodies. Nevertheless, review by the third-party independent auditor is crucial before making any conclusions. The issues undoubtedly will dampen investor sentiment nonetheless, with integrity of the company’s financial statements, transactions and any formal announcements relating to the company’s operations becoming uncertain. At this juncture, we foresee upside for the stock capped until these issues are resolved. Management indicated that it has not submitted any request for further suspension, hence trading of its share will continue later today, with knee-jerk reaction to its share price is expected. We foresee share price could fall to as low as RM1.00 based on 6x PE multiple (taking cue from 2020 oil price war) before bouncing to 7x – 8x PER, translating to RM1.16 – RM1.32 range
Now my battered Serba is about same price as fgv..
Looks like santa clause come very early this year...
KUALA LUMPUR: Crude palm oil (CPO) price will stay above RM3,000 level in the fist half (1H) of 2021, MIDF Research said.
MIDF Research said this would be supported by the anticipated supply tightness as well as the attractiveness of CPO price compared to other edible oils.
"However, we presume CPO price will ease in 2H 2021 due to better production level as a result of rainfall which will should boost palm oil fruit yields," MIDF Research said today.
The research house said in April, the average CPO spot price increased by 4.8 per cent month-on-mont (M-o-M) to RM4,263.11 per tonne from RM4,067.17 per tonne in the previous month.
The highest CPO price recorded in April was on April 23 at RM4,428.50 per tonne.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
shortinvestor77
5,487 posts
Posted by shortinvestor77 > 2021-05-28 23:36 | Report Abuse
I see. TQ.