@VF Trader - Not that CMY didn't want to invest in Alibaba but because it was not his core expertise investing in companies like Alibaba. Khazanah has a big team evaluating many corporate proposals for startups / tech companies at the same time. Khazanah invested at later stage because they finally saw the traction and profitability from the Alibaba's business model.
But OCK is not Alibaba, Amazon or Google. Investors willing to throw money to these founders these companies even is just ideas. Just ask any investors outside and u will know.
@sosfinance - When u consider the repayments of the borrowings in the future basically the current EBITDA is not sufficient. The repayments will come later depends on how the terms negotiated in their loan facilities. EBITDA of RM100-RM120 mill for now is merely a projection but it will change from time to time. We need to take account of rising staff cost (incl. high directors packages in relative to the profitability). In summary, we need to consider few factors (i) whether they can achieve the profitability and cashflow that they projected (ii) future repayments of the loans (iii) how they can contain the rising staff cost. So far, these cause some worries. Hopefully, they can do something about these
IMO, OCK is pursuing expansion at too fast a pace. Too fast that expenses are gradually increasing at a rate more than revenue. Will the company find a balance to eventually see cash flow coming in and staying in their books? Or will the company's vision of regional expansion eventually cause its expenses to be unsustainable?
OCK cash flow appears ok, based on yearly operating cash flow (RM120m and growing) + net receivables less payables (RM180m). Total operating cf + net receivables + cash = RM400m.
And short term borrowings is about RM280m (of which about RM100m is revolving credit + BA, can be replenished). Interest is about RM20m.
Cash flow is not a major issue, as its operating cash flow is growing in double digits.
this company only can go up not because of expansion in number of towers. the only way this share price to go up is showing good growth in results. high profitability. that's the only way !
I believe SOS will understand how the share price of OCK will move. not on no. of towers, not on JV, not on revenue but growth in profitability. All those no. of tower, JV, partnerships or revenue are vanity but profits are sanity. We need to show good growth in profitability
For Information Only: Director Low Hock Keong's timing appears good (vs MD Sam). He sold 1.25m @ 63 sen (Jan 16) and sold 2.0m @ 89 sen (Jan 18) and about 220k @ 64 sen (16 Aug 18).
i admitted i lost in OCK-wa. my cost is 26 cents but i learned to move on. so far i don't see the need to top-up cause profitability growth is not there.
guys be mature in investments. don't be afraid to admit mistakes. that's how we learn. not by finding 101 ways to justify that we didn't make a mistake ! Warrent Buffet also admitted that he made a mistake in his investment in Tesco. Hence, no need to be shameful that all of us actually did some mistakes in OCK. to me, so far OCK is more of the MD's glorified trophy
Look at the towers asset owned by OCK now. Debt is high but will provide a very strong cashflow. Phillipines is the next target to be aim. Big potential for OCK if they able to grab TOWERCO businesss there.
Total invested by Sam: [a] OCK = 2018 Feb till now = RM3.3mil. [b] OCK-w= Based on 2017AR =16,765,600 unit (assume @RM0.25/unit)=RM4.19mil TTL=RM7.49mil
EPF OCK =2018 Feb till now RM10.26mil OCK = 2016FY (2.845%=24,802,580 share) till 5% in 2018Feb = increase almost 18.78mil share. assume RM0.88/share, so RM16.52mil invested. TTL invested = RM26.78mil.
The KEY POINT is who keep selling to EPF and they are happly collecting the share at such a cheap price. This is call 炒底。
Sabar, let us sell in better price first then only you sell, ok.. all sell together the price will free fall. bad result with increase USD rate in term loan.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
warchest
1,818 posts
Posted by warchest > 2018-07-27 10:51 | Report Abuse
@VF Trader - Not that CMY didn't want to invest in Alibaba but because it was not his core expertise investing in companies like Alibaba. Khazanah has a big team evaluating many corporate proposals for startups / tech companies at the same time. Khazanah invested at later stage because they finally saw the traction and profitability from the Alibaba's business model.