To u subsidising nvr work, no doubt there will be leakages here and there… thts the job of royal customs n borders control to keep it to minimum… like it or not, thts how gov control inflation as well as to help exporting industries in a developing country like Malaysia and Indonesia… whn gov consider removing price cap for Ron 95, some dumbdumb supports coz it will stop those T20 from enjoying cheap Ron 95… So 100% to suffer just to punish the 20%?
Indonesia { Jokowi } said he might reconsider lifting the partial ban on palm products if the domestic price of cooking oil falls back to 14,000 rupiah for the 1 litre subsidised pack of oil { they call it base price}. The investigation on Musim Mas, Wilmar, Golden Agri, PT Salim, Permata Hijau on irregularities and withholding of oil initiated the ban which was supported by the people { not the congolemerates } the price of cooking oil has eased from the high of 42,000 rupiah to 18,000 to 23,000 rupiah for the 1 litre cooking oil pack { depends which part & areas of Indonesia} in Jakarta gradually the crowds have eased but outlying areas still faced logistics and access to the supply. We must remember Jokowi comes from Java he isn't exactly a ally of the congolemerate{s} which is itself legacy of the past regimes. Jokomi compounded their licence { suspect of falsifying the company export permits} and the AG was instructed to charge a senior Director of the export Ministry and several high profile individuals link to the congolemerate{s}. The companies have denied and filed their defence against the misused of the permits and failing to fulfill the then DMO quota. By filing their defence and not seeking a compound. Indirectly prolonging the saga. Bear in mind the companies are indirectly link in public listed Singapore which the Finance Minister {Sri Mulyani Indrawati} is a trusted ally of Jokowi question why the companies need to be listed elsewhere} In addition a Singapore based palm analyst claims Jokowi need to lift the ban in May { which is indirectly or effectively disputing Jokowi stand} After the G20 meeting { Jokowi is holding the chair} never touch on the issue. I suspect the ban may prolong longer than anticipated. Just my 2*rupiah worth
Back to back calculation BPlant revenue for the 4qtr result {Oct, Nov, Dec} reported at 1,050 billion. Nett Profit attributed to SH at $241 Million. Coming 1Qtr result {Jan, Feb, Mar} estimated revenue at $1.45 Billion and Nett profit attributed to SH at $ 620 - 630 Million. Just an estimate guess calculated based on higher CPO average traded price of $6,000 per tonne { Jan, Feb & Mar}. Not a buy call. just my own guess estimate for BPlant coming qtr announcement. Please do your own research before investing
Planterman..... Agree with your Comments about Indonesia Cooking Oil saga. There is more to it than " Taxing and Then Buying Cooking Oil from Big Corp. How is the Sales and Distribution of these Cooking Oil ? Via who ? Syndicates ?
Future will up or will down ? Few more days will know since we always claim say wait good good good QR announce .At that time we will know who is God and who is ghost. Hahahahahaha
It's difficult to make earning estimate based on Q4,21 CPO price. It was RM3000-4000 range. For Q1,22, it was between 6000-7000. Now, we can see how great the earnings.
The whole world is facing food shortage including cooking oils (including palm oil) and why worry as long as FCPO is in excess of RM6K/ton, and all individual oil palm smallholders & oil palm listed companies are reaping tons of profits which go directly into their pockets/banks, why worry about the movement of the share prices.
Dow Jone drops like bombs affecting tech. companies, cryptocurrencies and "Growth" companies where else oil palm list cos. are "Value" companies are holding very well and stable.
Palm oil 6k many month already is truth, shortage also is truth. But share price can't up also is truth. FCPO 6k can bring how much earnings for plantation company? No body know, cost for palm oil is how much also no people know. If only see the palm oil price is not enough support the share price, otherwise bplant was RM 2 to 3 long time ago. Market fracture, becareful before buy even though the share look like OK.... I'm waiting QR announce then just make decisions continue keep or sell.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
brianklc
1,624 posts
Posted by brianklc > 2022-05-16 00:19 | Report Abuse
To u subsidising nvr work, no doubt there will be leakages here and there… thts the job of royal customs n borders control to keep it to minimum… like it or not, thts how gov control inflation as well as to help exporting industries in a developing country like Malaysia and Indonesia… whn gov consider removing price cap for Ron 95, some dumbdumb supports coz it will stop those T20 from enjoying cheap Ron 95… So 100% to suffer just to punish the 20%?