LTAT to take over BHIC, end of story. Even if this doesn’t happen, subsi will have to pump more dividend to BSTEAD. The gov will find ways to make BSTEAD got the dividend, such as finding buyer for bplant Sarawak land.
A special purpose vehicle will be formed by the government to take over BNS relieving Bstead holdings and LTAT from the burden. In the end , rakyat food the bills.
BNS was incorporated to take over the dockyard owned and managed by PSC { Penang shipbuilding corporation} owned by Amin Shah { once touted as Malaysian Onassis { the renowed Greek shipping tycoon}. Amin Shah took over the RMN mainteance dockyard} thru PSC { privatisation initiated by the Government of the day in the 90's} to built OPV vessel for the RMN. The OPV vessel was never delivered and LTAT took over the troubled PSC thru BHIC owned by Bstead and LTAT. No one was charged and Amin Shah was forced out of PSC. If we remember correctly prior to GE14. LTAT was involved with the takeover of the infamous AES traffic system at an astounding high price. Everything done is thru a Web of complexity and unseen hands
The spread between crude SBO and CPO has widened to USD 400 - 420 per tonne {a historical high} with CPO now trading at a steep discount vs SBO. Price sensitive countries eg. India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, China and other Middle East countries would be tempted to switch from SBO to CPO. Traditionally India and Pakistan sourced Crude palm oil from Indonesia and refined RBD from Malaysia. The lifting of Indonesia export ban and the DMO exemption and the issuance of the so called "flush out" export permits in Indonesia has seen prices fallen more than 30% from thier June high. Producers would be tempted to withhold thier stock sales once thier inventory is less critical. Marginal shipments of grain exports vessels { wheat } have shipped thru the Black Sea from Ukraine but the difficulties and risks of the ongoing conflict has not subside. Export{s} of sunflower oil is still stalled. In addition, POGO spread between gasoil vs Biodiesel is positive between USD 40 - USD 45 per tonne { making it financially feasible without subsidies} Nevertheless the key to commodities play is demand from China and India. China import has been curtailed because of the on- off lockdown. Last but not the least "extreme weather play" drought and heat wave in US while Indonesia and Malaysia may get a earlier Monsoon call in September - October months { instead of Year end } not a buy call but just to counter the negatively issues. Please do your own research before you buy or sell
Proposed Land Disposal On 22 July 2022, CIMB Islamic Trustee Berhad, acting solely as trustee for Boustead Plantations Berhad (“BPB”) entered into a sale and purchase agreement with Nur Solar Sdn Bhd for the disposal of land held under Geran Mukim 577, Lot 15 and Geran 39039, Lot 1314 and partial of land under Geran 32397, Lot 277 Mukim Padang China, Daerah Kulim, Kedah measuring 300 acres for a total cash consideration of RM98.0 million. BPB had received 10% deposit amounting to RM9.8 million upon signing of the agreement. The disposal is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of 2022
Common sense will tell us at 80sen per share Bplant paying out quarterly dividend's is a steal. Even average out normalized earnings without taking in any extra ordinary gain on land sale. FY 22 & FY 23 pay out ratio estimated at between 8sen-10sen is a real bargain vs current FD rates at 3% per annum
2Q EPS is 3.27 sen (2Q dividend of 2.75sen , 84% payout) 1H EPS is 22.70 sen (1H interim dividend is 10.05sen, payout of 44% only) 2H profit from operations only may be 6-7 sen/share. Bear in mind, the gain from Sarawak estates disposal which is targeted to complete in this financial year can be quite substantial .
Cash generated from operation in 1H is +$251 mil Cash generated from investing/asset monetisation in 1H is +361 mil Total cash generated in 1H is a whopping $612 mil.
As such, there is room to pay generous dividend for the next many qtrs . And, its parent company, Bstead holdings and the ultimate parent ,LTAT , are very hungry for more dividends.
Heatwave and serious draught all over the places is damaging food crops/yield . CPO price shall improve from today's $4,300 to $5,000+ soon . The almost USD600 price gap between CPO and SBO and shortage of fuels in Europe are some of the reasons for CPO price hike as soon as inventory buildup in Indonesia from export ban has eased. Just my view.
Yes.. John in definitely right on the serious drought across the globe. The problem not only affects agriculture but also severely affects livestock... Not sure if there are any concerns that will trigger a domino effect or not due to the bad weather.
Chicago soybean futures rose past $16 per bushel in late August, the highest in over two months, amid concerns of poor growing conditions in the US and higher import demand from major consumer China. Heatwaves in the American Midwest hampered the supply outlook on the current crop, as weather forecasts still do not favor clear indications of rain for the coming days. In the meantime, record-setting heatwaves for multiple Chinese regions damaged the incoming crop, driving grain traders to enter international soybean markets.
As at 25/8/22, CPO fob Malaysia was usd1,069/mt. SBO ex Rotterdam was usd1,655/mt. CPO was ridiculously cheaper by usd586/mt ! When CPO stock pressure ease in Indonesia soon , the price gap should narrow to usd200/mt with CPO price potentially increase by usd386/mt or RM1,700/mt. This shall bring CPO back to around RM6,000/mt. SBO price has little chance to go down with weather havoc in Europe, China and U.S.
(Aug 27): Europe’s fertiliser crunch is deepening with more than two-thirds of production capacity halted by soaring gas costs, threatening farmers and consumers far beyond the region’s borders.
Russia’s squeeze on gas shipments in the wake of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine is hurting industries across Europe. But fertiliser companies are being especially affected because gas is both a key feedstock and a source of power for the sector.
Wholesale fertiliser prices, which fell back after climbing to multiyear highs following Russia’s assault, are rising again as European Union producers curb capacity. Ammonia prices in Western Europe have surged over the last two years, according to data by Bloomberg’s crop nutrient analysis company Green Markets. Dwindling supplies will keep prices elevated, threatening productivity as farmers are forced to scale back their use of the key nutrient. That in turn will hit consumers as food inflation accelerates. —————————- That means lower production of edible oil crops too.
Yes buy more bcos every qtr pays min div at least 2 sen....4 qtr at least 8 sen mah! That means 10% return base on div alone.....very attractive mah!
Plus plantation land is a good hedge agst div loh! Whats more ? Bplant land alot in good location & can be monetize & convert to Commercial, Industrial & residential Development mah!
Yes. Europe is facing a winter of discontent with high energy cost, possibility of severe winter, gas shortages, industrial production disruption. Last but not the least energy crisis that have impacted their grains production and yields. Spring plantings is below average, shipment of Ukraine grains thru the UN broker deal with Russia, Turkey and Ukraine is at snail pace. This is last year old stocks which was at the port warehouse prior to the February breakout of the military conflict and all the vessels was park and dock at the various seaports. What was not reported that freight insurance cover has sky rocketed and some of the cargoes was pest infested. Russia and Ukraine is the bread basket of Europe. This year crop plantings in Ukraine has and was badly impacted by the Russian invasion especially on the Eastern side. Russia practically now controls all the key sea points at the Black Sea. With the extreme heatwave hitting Europe { Germany, France and UK } the people are hit with high inflation rate. Food prices are trending higher and higher
Indonesia working on pushing ahead with b40 biodiesel.. If the implementation is successful, we may see other countries adopt it too, and demand for cpo will go up.
Aug 29): Goldman Sachs Group Inc urged investors to pile into commodities as most recession risks coursing through global markets are overblown in the near term, arguing that raw materials stand to rebound amid a profound energy crisis and tight physical fundamentals.
“Our economists view the risk of a recession outside Europe in the next 12 months as relatively low,” analysts including Sabine Schels, Jeffrey Currie and Damien Courvalin wrote in a note. “With oil the commodity of last resort in an era of severe energy shortages, we believe the pullback in the entire oil complex provides an attractive entry point for long-only investments.”
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
titan3322
2,186 posts
Posted by titan3322 > 2022-08-10 20:57 | Report Abuse
Will sell the daughter nanti