CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA BHD

KLSE (MYR): CARLSBG (2836)

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Last Price

18.52

Today's Change

+0.12 (0.65%)

Day's Change

18.38 - 18.52

Trading Volume

41,800

Financial

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Last 10 FY Result
AQR T4Q 31/12/23 31/12/22 31/12/21 31/12/20 31/12/19 31/12/18 31/12/17 31/12/16 31/12/15 31/12/14 CAGR
Revenue 2,260,899 2,260,899 2,260,899 2,412,465 1,772,821 1,785,000 2,256,581 1,982,342 1,768,223 1,679,494 1,659,945 1,635,096 3.66%
PBT 420,360 420,360 420,360 444,405 259,573 209,780 382,237 361,260 294,792 283,843 283,632 274,252 4.85%
Tax -79,518 -79,518 -79,518 -119,544 -55,208 -43,595 -81,853 -74,503 -62,414 -73,178 -63,394 -57,331 3.69%
NP 340,842 340,842 340,842 324,861 204,365 166,185 300,384 286,757 232,378 210,665 220,238 216,921 5.14%
-
NP to SH 333,240 333,240 333,240 317,046 200,988 162,180 291,024 277,154 221,165 204,978 215,913 211,582 5.17%
-
Tax Rate 18.92% 18.92% 18.92% 26.90% 21.27% 20.78% 21.41% 20.62% 21.17% 25.78% 22.35% 20.90% -
Total Cost 1,920,057 1,920,057 1,920,057 2,087,604 1,568,456 1,618,815 1,956,197 1,695,585 1,535,845 1,468,829 1,439,707 1,418,175 3.42%
-
Net Worth 241,540 241,540 241,540 152,874 217,081 174,276 155,931 180,391 311,862 330,207 342,427 330,207 -3.41%
Dividend
AQR T4Q 31/12/23 31/12/22 31/12/21 31/12/20 31/12/19 31/12/18 31/12/17 31/12/16 31/12/15 31/12/14 CAGR
Div 284,345 284,345 284,345 269,058 171,218 122,299 305,748 305,748 266,000 220,138 220,132 217,081 3.04%
Div Payout % 85.33% 85.33% 85.33% 84.86% 85.19% 75.41% 105.06% 110.32% 120.27% 107.40% 101.95% 102.60% -
Equity
AQR T4Q 31/12/23 31/12/22 31/12/21 31/12/20 31/12/19 31/12/18 31/12/17 31/12/16 31/12/15 31/12/14 CAGR
Net Worth 241,540 241,540 241,540 152,874 217,081 174,276 155,931 180,391 311,862 330,207 342,427 330,207 -3.41%
NOSH 305,748 305,748 305,748 305,748 305,748 305,748 305,748 305,748 305,748 308,078 305,739 305,748 0.00%
Ratio Analysis
AQR T4Q 31/12/23 31/12/22 31/12/21 31/12/20 31/12/19 31/12/18 31/12/17 31/12/16 31/12/15 31/12/14 CAGR
NP Margin 15.08% 15.08% 15.08% 13.47% 11.53% 9.31% 13.31% 14.47% 13.14% 12.54% 13.27% 13.27% -
ROE 137.96% 137.96% 137.96% 207.39% 92.59% 93.06% 186.64% 153.64% 70.92% 62.08% 63.05% 64.08% -
Per Share
AQR T4Q 31/12/23 31/12/22 31/12/21 31/12/20 31/12/19 31/12/18 31/12/17 31/12/16 31/12/15 31/12/14 CAGR
RPS 739.46 739.46 739.46 789.04 579.83 583.81 738.05 648.36 578.33 549.31 542.93 534.79 3.66%
EPS 108.99 108.99 108.99 103.70 65.74 53.04 95.18 90.65 72.34 67.04 70.62 69.20 5.17%
DPS 93.00 93.00 93.00 88.00 56.00 40.00 100.00 100.00 87.00 72.00 72.00 71.00 3.04%
NAPS 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.50 0.71 0.57 0.51 0.59 1.02 1.08 1.12 1.08 -3.41%
Adjusted Per Share Value based on latest NOSH - 305,748
AQR T4Q 31/12/23 31/12/22 31/12/21 31/12/20 31/12/19 31/12/18 31/12/17 31/12/16 31/12/15 31/12/14 CAGR
RPS 739.46 739.46 739.46 789.04 579.83 583.81 738.05 648.36 578.33 549.31 542.91 534.79 3.66%
EPS 108.99 108.99 108.99 103.70 65.74 53.04 95.18 90.65 72.34 67.04 70.62 69.20 5.17%
DPS 93.00 93.00 93.00 88.00 56.00 40.00 100.00 100.00 87.00 72.00 72.00 71.00 3.04%
NAPS 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.50 0.71 0.57 0.51 0.59 1.02 1.08 1.12 1.08 -3.41%
Price Multiplier on Financial Quarter End Date
AQR T4Q 31/12/23 31/12/22 31/12/21 31/12/20 31/12/19 31/12/18 31/12/17 31/12/16 31/12/15 31/12/14 CAGR
Date 29/12/23 29/12/23 29/12/23 30/12/22 31/12/21 31/12/20 31/12/19 31/12/18 29/12/17 30/12/16 31/12/15 31/12/14 -
Price 19.28 19.28 19.28 22.88 20.08 23.24 29.40 19.68 15.30 13.92 11.70 11.74 -
P/RPS 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.90 3.46 3.98 3.98 3.04 2.65 2.53 2.15 2.20 1.91%
P/EPS 17.69 17.69 17.69 22.06 30.55 43.81 30.89 21.71 21.15 20.76 16.57 16.96 0.46%
EY 5.65 5.65 5.65 4.53 3.27 2.28 3.24 4.61 4.73 4.82 6.04 5.89 -0.46%
DY 4.82 4.82 4.82 3.85 2.79 1.72 3.40 5.08 5.69 5.17 6.15 6.05 -2.49%
P/NAPS 24.41 24.41 24.41 45.76 28.28 40.77 57.65 33.36 15.00 12.89 10.45 10.87 9.39%
Price Multiplier on Announcement Date
AQR T4Q 31/12/23 31/12/22 31/12/21 31/12/20 31/12/19 31/12/18 31/12/17 31/12/16 31/12/15 31/12/14 CAGR
Date 07/02/24 07/02/24 07/02/24 23/02/23 17/02/22 18/02/21 21/02/20 14/02/19 14/02/18 21/02/17 26/02/16 27/02/15 -
Price 19.44 19.44 19.44 23.44 22.30 22.50 38.94 21.58 16.66 14.74 12.12 12.86 -
P/RPS 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.97 3.85 3.85 5.28 3.33 2.88 2.68 2.23 2.40 1.02%
P/EPS 17.84 17.84 17.84 22.60 33.92 42.42 40.91 23.81 23.03 21.99 17.16 18.58 -0.45%
EY 5.61 5.61 5.61 4.42 2.95 2.36 2.44 4.20 4.34 4.55 5.83 5.38 0.46%
DY 4.78 4.78 4.78 3.75 2.51 1.78 2.57 4.63 5.22 4.88 5.94 5.52 -1.58%
P/NAPS 24.61 24.61 24.61 46.88 31.41 39.47 76.35 36.58 16.33 13.65 10.82 11.91 8.39%

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.

NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ & YoY figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.

Discussions
5 people like this. Showing 50 of 1,761 comments

hhhiii123

This year got two big sport event, need patient for rebound, hmm

2 months ago

williamh

Present price 19.22 dividend 0.31,bat 9.03 dividend 0.15,both good dividend

2 months ago

ryoyagod

CNY isn't over yet. People are still yumsheng-ing

2 months ago

new2stockmarket

Just checking, when will the dividend be paid?

1 month ago

All_in_2021

wait to be approved in AGM. so still can't confirm the date.

1 month ago

new2stockmarket

Thanks

1 month ago

ryoyagod

When is the AGM going to take place this year?

1 month ago

dam82

damn always go down ....

1 month ago

new2stockmarket

AGM is on 24/April i believe

1 month ago

ccpool

15.72

1 month ago

All_in_2021

i believe is opportunity to add. With cost optimization, sports events coming up to boost sales. Don't forget we have Taylor Swift concert in Singapore hopefully carlsberg is able to gain some benefit as well.

1 month ago

dam82

useless lah this carlsberg non-stop going down ... would it be another BAT in making .... ermm scary lor

1 month ago

goldenhope

new low again

1 month ago

dam82

useless mabuk sampai killing us hahaha hope it will recover as it always does ...

1 month ago

smartly

good. can collect cheap...

1 month ago

smartly

huge dividend on the way

1 month ago

All_in_2021

still adding?

1 month ago

dam82

I also so tempted to add but just cannot decide …. Scared tbh with so steep drop compared to HEIM

1 month ago

ccpool

More panic sell please.

1 month ago

All_in_2021

i guess consumer sentiment is the reason causing it to drop. Probably need to hold a few years while getting dividend. When economy recovers then the price will be back

1 month ago

sheldon

I've been catching a falling knife and my ammo is fast running out!

1 month ago

dam82

the volume is okie today but price is being pressed ... i like carlsberg since i know eventually it will rise but the question is do we want to spend all the ammo now and when ...

1 month ago

All_in_2021

still unsure this is rebounding, finger cross!

1 month ago

sell

Sales, EPS drop who chased high? Avoid better.

1 month ago

dam82

every day drop drop drop till all get drunk ...

1 month ago

All_in_2021

Chance to add? Not sure why the dividend payment is only in jun. Normally Apr or early may

1 month ago

smartly

they delay the dividend for 2 months.
maybe JUL will have 1st interim div
SEP - 2nd interim div &
DEC - 3rd interim div

1 month ago

hhhiii123

Need wait for lower price again to topup as the Islam thing is hurting the beer industry lol

1 month ago

DividendGuy67

My strategy for CARLSBG is longer term. At RM18.54, the dividend yield is 5% which is attractive. Past 10 year CAGR on its business metric is decent, ranging from C- to B+ depending on the metric. It's a boring stock that makes it great for long term wealth accumulation. Long term chart wise, I see the bottom around RM17, but it could take months, or even 1-2 years to get there - I really don't know about the timing.

I blog an update on this stock here - http s://dividendguy67.blogspot.com/2024/03/carlsbg-update.html.

At the bottom, it will form around 3% of my portfolio - I used to own this at 2.4% of my portfolio but because it made new low and because my portfolio grew, it is now 2.2% of my portfolio (excluding past dividends received). As price falls, I expect this % to fall, and when it gets to my accumulation zone, I will add and eventually target 3%. No rush, this is a long term play.

1 month ago

dam82

what is happening lor ... who throwing the shares to whom ... its going down almost every single day ... i even doubt it will rebound even in 2 years ... question now is how low it wil go and i had to admit it can even go below 17 ....

4 weeks ago

All_in_2021

Looking at the volume traded, saw few transactions clearing 30k, 40k shares.

4 weeks ago

sheldon

Postponement of dividend = Missed dividend hence the drop

3 weeks ago

soon9913

so many good news but price drop 🤣

3 weeks ago

dam82

while there is many good news but there is a message from most analysis there will be almost 10% reduction of profit which might causing the depressed stock price

3 weeks ago

All_in_2021

consumer sentiment due to this bad economy.

3 weeks ago

soon9913

price increase direct contribute to the profit of the company...

3 weeks ago

dam82

Sapporo beer now available in 7e quite nice... with the price increase hope it can sustain the volume and increase the market share on premium segment .. i think that is important to differentie on other brewers ... lets see if still got hope ...

2 weeks ago

ryoyagod

CARLSBERG is giving out 31 cents dividend in June

1 week ago

ccpool

When dump?

1 week ago

soon9913

Yes 31 cents div is coming in Jun and potential div announcement next month also

1 week ago

soon9913

HEIM strong rebound

1 week ago

dam82

is there something which retailer don't know bout carlsberg which pushing the price to this level .. now i am expecting below 17 worse case scenoria ..

1 week ago

dam82

In Summary...
The fact that shareholders are sitting on a loss on the value of their shares in the past few years is certainly disconcerting. A huge lag in share price growth when earnings have grown may indicate there could be other issues that are affecting the company at the moment that the market is focused on. Shareholders would probably be keen to find out what are the other factors could be weighing down the stock. The upcoming AGM will be a chance for shareholders to question the board on key matters, such as CEO remuneration or any other issues they might have and revisit their investment thesis with regards to the company.

CEO compensation is an important area to keep your eyes on, but we've also need to pay attention to other attributes of the company. That's why we did our research, and identified 2 warning signs for Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Berhad (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should know about in order to have a holistic understanding of the stock.

1 week ago

yielder

Is carlsberg making beer for export or targeting only local market?

3 days ago

All_in_2021

Singapore and Malaysia. They do have an associate in Sri Lanka (sharing the results)

2 days ago

yielder

Will carlsberg end up like BAT, where smugglers cause sharp drop in sales?

2 days ago

dam82

don't think it will be another BAT but don't think people are convinced with Carlsberg now....

2 days ago

dam82

okie i am going to hibernate for carlsberg some time ...

1 day ago

sheldon

Beer is supposedly bad (moderate amounts should be good for health actually) but tobacco is much worst health-wise. Hence world-wide crackdown - particularly noticeable is in adverts. Beer brands still sponsor major soccer clubs.

1 day ago

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