KLCI waves

KLCI waves 69 -Would KLCI to End The Correction Soon After The Consolidation Breakdown ?

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Publish date: Mon, 02 Aug 2021, 01:38 AM
Elliot wave analysis to measure price behavior for projecting next price actions

 

Weekly Time Frame

 

 

To recap from prior session 68, uncertainty was still playing a major role to halt any momentum either side as the attempt to penetrate  the range of 1530-1535 was failed and returned to consolidation range. However, I am still expecting there would be a swift attempt which could justify an formidable trend either side. Therefore, the key levels to watch are 1530-1535 and 1515.    

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For the past 1 week, a formidable trend has been justified to the downside after the consolidation breakdown incurred when 1515 breached as weaknesses sentiment continue. Next, 1488 would be the next support to watch whether the down pressure would continue to test the critical support of 1466 as shown. Let's check the temperature of the current trend as below.    
 
TREND indicators
 
1) -DMI (red line) curve up by reaching New High with greater margin indicates bear strength is increasing will greater pace and bearish momentum might continue since -DMI is still above R line.
 
2) +DMI (blue line) curved down with consistent margin indicates bull strength is decreasing with consistent pace BUT not in favor yet.
 
3) ADX (pink line) still heading up with greater margin implying that the volatility of the current trend is still increasing with greater pace. Besides that, the reading is still raising after broke 20 indicates the current trend continue to be firmed.
 
Therefore, the summations of the 3 signals above is still implying Bear strength is still in favor. +DMI is still below -DMI lines with Increasing spread which indicating the Bear strength is taking off again with increasing volitality. Since ADX has crossed above +DMI for 5 weeks consistently, it indicates the bear momentum might continue and weakness may still emerging in coming weeks. With ADX reading is still raising after breaching 20 with -DMI curving up, it indicates the development of bearish momentum has been justified and weakness is still ahead until there is a trend reversal signal detected. Due to these 3 trend signals above, I am expecting KLCI will further test the support range of 1484-1488 before a Greater consolidation emerged where we could see some swift rebound to set up an possible reversal in short run. However, caution is still required for any knee jerk reaction which could threaten further breakdown to test 1466.   
 
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From wave count perspective, the Higher Degree of Correction wave would be prolong with Multiple WXYXZ complex waves before a new set of Higher Degree of Bull Wave take place. Subsequent minor waves would be elaborated further in daily time frame.
 
Prevailing trend could be emerged if Weekly levels listed below was broken:  
 
Resistance - 1610, 1615, 1619 , 27, 1633, 1642, 1650, 1700, 1720
Immediate Resistance - 1500, 1510, 1522, 1530, 1535, 1541, 1556, 1564, 1571, 1575-78, 1590, 1595, 1600
Immediate Support - 1490, 1484-1488, 1474-1476
Support - 1466, 1452, 1447, 1436, 1407
 
 
 
Daily Time Frame
 
 

 

 

 
 
To recap from session 68, a false breakout from the Ascending Triangle Pattern had formed complex wave of sub minuette wave x and a new Symmetrical Triangle Formation has been structure with new sub minuette wave a-b-c. Beside that, wave d was still being structured and would end soon for an impending formation breakout which would initiate an momentum to either side. However, i won't rule out that the breakout would be bias to the downside which could lead to two prior targets as sub minuette wave c's FIBO 161.8% (1484) or sub minuette wave v extension FIBO 261.8% (1471.52). 
 
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No doubt that the long consolidation which consist of two Triangle Patterns with complex wave had broken down and breached below the last low of 1501.21 to close at 1494.6 without forming sub minuette wave d. Due to the magnitude of the momentum has changed, there is minor revision of the sub minuette wave v extension where extension within extension structure has been formed. As labelled, sub minuette wave 3 of sub minuette wave v was ended at 1501.21 instead and sub minuette wave 4 of sub minuette wave v ended at 1529.65 currentlyShall we see more downside where KLCI could meet the prior two lower targets as mentioned or labelled as both are still valid? I won't rule the breakdown momentum would continue since weaknesses signals are still emerged from Weekly Time Frame. Therefore, i will still be caution until there is clearer signal of reversal. However, we have to keep a closer watch on these 2 levels which would provide some support for initiate a strong rebound in short run at least.  
 
 
 
As expected, a prolong corrective waves will prolong Wave Z since wave C is still yet to be justified. 
 
To reiterate, Wave Z could be formed in various correctives wave structure (Zig-Zag, Flat, Diagonal and etc) with momentum changes. 
 
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Since Multiple Complex Wave emerged, the new set of Higher Degree of 5 Waves Bull Run or Primary Wave 3 have yet to be seen until all corrective waves are served convincingly. Thus, Higher Degree of Correction is still being prolong by these Multiple Complex Waves WXYXZ
 
The entire wave structures will still be monitored closely if the high of Wave X1 (1646.24) is penetrated which indicates Higher Degree of implusive Wave 1 could have emerged. 
 
All waves' count and projected target are generated based on past/current price level and it may be subjected to vary if degree of momentum movement change.    
 
Prevailing trend could be emerged if Daily levels listed below was broken:  
 
Resistance - 1595-1598, 1600, 1608-1610, 1615, 1620, 1625-1628, 1639, 1645, 1650, 1662, 1679, 1685, 1700, 1720
Immediate resistance -  1500, 1512, 1515, 1522.5, 1528. 1530, 1535, 1540, 1544-1548, 1556-1560, 1562-63, 1570, 1578, 1583, 1588, 1590
Immediate Support - 1490, 1475 
Support - 1461-1466, 1452, 1435
 
 

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Patient is required for the SUPER CYCLE Bull Run. 
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Let's Mr Market pave the waves. 
 
Trade safely
 
Wave Believer
 
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