We maintain our BUY call on RHB Bank with an unchanged fair value of RM6.00/share. Our fair value is based on FY18F ROE of 9.1% leading to unchanged P/BV of 1.0x.
1QFY17 core earnings of RM500.3mil declined 11.4%YoY, contributed largely by lower total income (-1.7%YoY) and higher provisions for loan impairment (+64.8%YoY).
On a QoQ basis, earnings of the group surged 91.5%, attributed to stronger non-interest income from higher brokerage, wealth management fee and treasury income as well as 57.1% lower provisions for loan impairment.
With controlled growth in operating expenses, the group's CI ratio improved 1QFY17 to 48.9% compared to 54.3% in 4QFY16 and was in line with our estimate of 49.0% for FY17.
Gross loan growth accelerated to 3.2%YoY from 2.0%YoY in the preceding quarter. Expansion in loan book continued to be driven by retail and SME loans while corporate loans were impacted by repayments.
NIM slipped 1bps QoQ to 2.17% in 1QFY17 due to the competition pressure on asset yield.
Customer deposits accelerated to 5.3%YoY compared to 4.8%YoY in the preceding quarter.CASA growth continued to rise with a stronger growth of 14.0%YoY in 1QFY17 vs. 12.0%YoY in 4QFY16. This led to an improved CASA ratio of 26.2% from 25.6% in 4QFY16.
Annualised credit cost was lower in 1QFY17 at 0.34% compared to 0.80% in 4QFY16 but higher than 1QFY16 of 0.21%. The increase compared to 1QFY16 was contributed by higher impairment allowance for business banking due to refreshment of LGD and additional provision of some oil & gas sector loans in Singapore which had already turned impaired in 2016.
1QFY17 saw the group's GIL ratio rose marginally to 2.39% from 2.43% in 4QFY16. By loan purpose, all segments reported stable GIL ratios except for that of working capital loan which had upticks. The higher GIL ratio of working capital loan was related to a specific loan for construction purposes and was well secured by collateral.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....