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DO NOT SELL WCE, Airasia and Ekovest - felicity

Tan KW
Publish date: Thu, 20 Apr 2017, 01:34 PM
Tan KW
0 436,130
Good.

Thursday, April 20, 2017 

 
 
This is a reminder that I gave to myself. Everyone will have their own preferences according to what they are comfortable with. I am comfortable with Airasia, Ekovest and WCE. Those are obvious. In investment as what are mentioned by the top notched investors - it is difficult to find gems all the time.

To some people, they may like diamond, some may like ruby. Others may like Emerald. To me, investments is the same.

THIS DOES NOT MEAN I WILL HOLD THEM FOR LIFE.

However, I am very comfortable with what I have found. Some people may be very comfortable with Top Glove for example as they know the business. Some may be very comfortable with Inari as again they know the business and are confident of their views on the semiconductor sector.

For the 3 stocks, I discovered WCE back in 2013/14. Those people who read my blog would know I have done lots of research on the company and its business. This article is not about me saying again what I have said on the business and company as you can find them here.

Then 2015, Airasia went to ridiculous low price. Around RM1.50 was my price point of buying in. You know the fantastic thing is that I knew while oil price was dropping like from USD100 to USD50, many people was focusing on Airasia's debt which it definitely can service - they were ramping up to fight, hence the debt but those assets were already generating cashflow. Not all high debts are bad! So, while the stock price should have gone up, people were selling down - I should have thank the Hong Kong research house. So who says Malaysians are not smart - we were buying, they were selling (or could it be talking it down to buy?) - Perhaps, they are smarter. I was perhaps the stupid guy who was telling the truth on how cheap and good Airasia was.

(You would also know I was negative on Airasia X, but not Airasia. I am right until now.) So, you may ask - how is it that businesses in almost the same space can be different although run by the same management? I can be wrong in terms of share price in the short term, but in the long run, I hope I am right.

Last year, 2016 was when I realised Ekovest is realising its asset value and having a fantastic business. They are not the best of contractors but good enough. The thing is though, again I shall say this - they have fantastic assets, which many are already realising cashflows.

Yes, of course I can make mistakes. However, you would note that in many cases of businesses that I have put positive comments - they are good businesses run by good people. Some may face the wrath of situations - such as Parkson, Aeon example. Even YFG - look at how they really try hard to revive the business!

Whenever, I write here - I do not write for purchase in the short term - hit and run. Or pump and dump. The above three stocks are testimony of that. The same goes for Padini, Power Root, Insas, Tropicana, TA, Freight Management etc.

My style is very different. You can read this article and if you believe the same as me - one does not need to read another article of mine for next 3 years. Come back when there is a major catastrophe or war in the Middle East. I am very different from many of the "sifus" out there (which I am not on par with them, because they can work wonders by buying a SCADA system company which they do not understand about - as they only look at the financial numbers.) As mentioned here, I look at business first then financials (although I am a financial person). Note, they are definitely not wrong as there are many ways to skin a cat.

BTW, that SCADA system company is a good company, just that I do not feel comfortable enough to put lots of my money into it. 

I am also not the type of feeling remorse when I did not buy Inari (although I know enough of them) when it was trading at 35 sen 6 years back - this company has achieved a 10 bagger - as I was not comfortable enough - again. Why? Because it was a single customer company - Avago (today's Broadcom). Who knows how its "taiko" is going to treat them? Today, it is still largely single customer although it tries to diversify. Again, some people may know enough to be comfortable. That feeling discomfort caused me lots of potential gain, but I would have sold them long time ago anyway.

In the longer run (10-20 years), things can change. Airasia can be facing new challenges for example or it could have gone overpriced. Similar to Ekovest or even WCE. Sometimes, even in the short term, it can be particularly bad for some companies - example oil price goes through the roof for airlines business. Airasia could be facing regulatory challenges in India and Indonesia or even Vietnam.

I am always (or hope) aware of these. Again, I am not sleeping with my stocks but I am also not careless to sell them when they are growing. This is like you have prepared and provided for your 18 year kid - when is time to realise the benefit - we stop supporting them. 
 

http://www.intellecpoint.com/2017/04/do-not-sell-wce-airasia-and-ekovest.html

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4 people like this. Showing 18 of 18 comments

feicsh

Good article !!!!

2017-04-20 13:56

stockmanmy

this Tan is a real first class investor.

I just want to repeat.....

what can be taught becomes popular memes.
it is what cannot be taught becomes priceless.
so much of it is so internal, so specific to the person.

2017-04-20 14:44

confuse

If Tan real great why his competition money every year back to RM 100K? Can check every since 2013 any increase? Isn't competition is monopoly money someone said before?

Posted by stockmanmy > Apr 20, 2017 02:44 PM | Report Abuse
this Tan is a real first class investor.

2017-04-20 14:52

stockmanmy

using fundamental analysis , AAX would be a better buy...you can use whatever metric you want....planes per market cap, revenue per market cap, miles flown per market cap, opportunities per market cap, cost savings per market cap............you will come to the same conclusion.

AAX just don't have enough catalysts at the moment.

goes to show....fundamental analysis vs catalysts.....catalysts wins all the time.

2017-04-20 14:54

KLCI King

I should compile a list of stupid comments I saw from i3 to share with others. Many crystal ball teller or self-proclaimed stock gods appeared in i3 recently.

Read one of the example below, you can't blame them stupid because their brains were just flushed away in the toilet.


confuse If Tan real great why his competition money every year back to RM 100K? Can check every since 2013 any increase? Isn't competition is monopoly money someone said before?

2017-04-20 15:03

auntijay

Someone told me not to waste money on Airasia and I totally regret not buying when I look at the price now. :(

2017-04-20 16:49

anonboy

Buy Ekovest!

2017-04-20 21:45

2ez4airasia

I invest in 2 of the 3 stocks above.

But still don't understand how is WCE a good buy mid-long term.

Please enlighten me!

2017-04-20 22:32

christophertopher

选股要自己Judge自己判断,自己研究。

2017-04-21 06:58

dusti

Yes, buy Ekovest, but below 1.30, better below 1.25.'good luck all!

2017-04-21 10:41

paperplane2016

I am like Felicity, keeping Ekovest, buying back airasia.

Planning to TOPUP WCE

2017-04-21 12:28

batu88

stockmanmy, it's not fair to compare long haul airline like AAX vs Airasia. Even you wanna study about their fundamental, why purposely skip their earning (PE) and growing (ROE) comparison. I'm not saying aax is not good, but if you wanna compare them, put them on the same page 1st.

2017-04-21 13:24

stockmanmy

because I am lazy and did not do it...but I suspect AAX would be better in PE and ROE perspective too.



stockmanmy, it's not fair to compare long haul airline like AAX vs Airasia. Even you wanna study about their fundamental, why purposely skip their earning (PE) and growing (ROE) comparison. I'm not saying aax is not good, but if you wanna compare them, put them on the same page 1st.

2017-04-21 13:28

shunfeng2032

Do not sell Jaks.

2017-04-21 14:33

stockmanmy

good one

shunfeng2032 > Apr 21, 2017 02:33 PM | Report Abuse

Do not sell Jaks.

2017-04-21 14:35

stockmanmy

the Sherlock Holmes Way...

if the market wants risk assets, give them risk assets or none.

meaning go buy Vitrox, MYEG, DNEX, GDEX, meaning the higher the scarier the better.

2017-04-21 15:10

Hunger

But ekovest.dato haris just cease to be sub shareholder.but he is still holding 100k shares in his hand.will he be controlling the share or let it fly?cos i see ekovest share stagnant for few weeks d

2017-04-22 22:48

Mohd Fahmi Bin Jaes

now MUST sell

2017-05-04 12:58

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