Koon Yew Yin's Blog
Why is Mr Ooi Teck Bee’s Rm 1.16 target for Hiap Teck easily achievable? Koon Yew Yin
Koon Yew Yin
Publish date: Sun, 24 Oct 2021, 08:18 PM
Koon Yew Yin
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An official blog in i3investor to publish sharing by Mr. Koon Yew Yin.
All materials published here are prepared by Mr. Koon Yew Yin
All materials published here are prepared by Mr. Koon Yew Yin
My reasons for believing Mr Ooi Teck Bee’s target price for Hiap Teck is easily achievable are as follows:
In Malaysia steel rebars is much cheaper than in China.
Construction reinforcement steel bars are much cheaper in Malaysia than in China as shown on the 2 comparison photos. The average price in Malaysia is about US$ 450 and the average price in China is about US$ 750 per ton.
Malaysian steel rebar prices
China steel rebar prices
In Malaysia electricity is much cheaper than in China.
The main reasons why the steel price in China is more expensive than in Malaysia is because electricity prices in China are higher than in Malaysia as shown on the 2 comparisons above. In China 1 kwh costs US$ 0.099 = 41 sen and in Malaysia 1 kwh costs only 25 sen.
China electricity prices
Malaysia electricity prices
The steel price chart above shows that even though steel reinforce steel bars has dropped in recently in China, it has gone up from 3,500 to 5,054 RMN per ton, an increase of 44% in the last 12 months.
Hiap Teck owns 35% of Eastern Steel Sdn Bhd and 65% is own by Beijing Jianlong. Who is Jainlong?
Beijing Jianlong Heavy Industry Group Co., Ltd (hereinafter called as Jianlong Group), established in 1999, is a large enterprise group mainly engaging resource exploitation, iron and steel production, shipping, shipbuilding and electrical machinery. In 2009, the holding enterprises of the group owned total assets of RMB 37.511 billion yuan, and reached the sales income of RMB38.189 billion yuan, the tax 2.277 billion yuan, the profits 1.818 billion yuan. Now, Jianlong Group is ranked the 74th among Chinese manufacturing enterprises, the 103th among top 200 efficiency of Chinese enterprises, the 153th among top 500 Chinese enterprises.
Eastern Steel Sdn Bhd manufactures steel slabs for the steel re-rolling industries. Its manufacturing complex occupies 1200 acres of land and located at Teluk Kalung, Kemaman, Terengganu. The plant comprises of:-
* Raw Material Yard
* Ironmaking Plant:
* Sinter Plant
* Blast Furnace Plant
* Pig Iron Caster
* Steelmaking Plant:
* Converter with Ladle Refining Furnace
* Slab Continuous Casting Machine
* Oxygen Plant
* Billet Caster Plant
* 55MV Power Plant
Its current production capacity is 700,000 metric tons per annum and aims to achieve an annual production of 3 million metric tons in the near future.
China Construction Industry Set to Grow by 12.4% to Reach US$ 1,355,314 million in 2021.
While the coronavirus outbreak severely impacted the Chinese construction industry in the first quarter of 2020, the resumption of construction activities picked up pace in the second quarter. After China emerged from the pandemic in March, the government of China introduced a program including a series of fiscal stimulus for constructing roads, bridges, broadband, utilities, and railroads across the country. Consequently, the prices of metals including nickel, copper, iron ore, zinc, and others that are used to build infrastructure increased.
While the construction output recorded a lower than previously predicted growth in 2020, it is forecast to rebound sharply in 2021. Moreover, China is on its way to becoming the largest single construction industry over the next decade.
Increase Containers production requiring more steel.
China claims it has taken significant steps to ease the impact of tight container shipping capacity by boosting the availability of empty boxes and raising production of new units.
The Ministry of Transport (MoT) has also asked the major liner operators to add more calls to Chinese ports to increase capacity on export routes. The MOT said in May, the average proportion of empty containers in ports was down to 1.3%, while container manufacturers had raised production to 500,000 teu a month.
Since the 1990s, China has been the largest container producing country, with the three largest manufacturers, which have a combined market share of 82%. Last week, vice-minister of transport Zhao Chongjiu (pictured below) said: “China has become an important shipping nation and is embarking steadily on a new phase towards building its transport infrastructure.
“As China’s economy recovers from the Covid-19 pandemic, so too is international container trade, but the pandemic has disrupted port operations, resulting in the build-up and slow return of empty containers.”
Malaysia has no more MCO
Eastern Steel Sdn Bhd’s current production capacity is 700,000 metric tons per annum and aims to achieve an annual production of 3 million metric tons in the near future.
In fact, most likely Eastern Steel Sdn Bhd will export Steel to China where steel prices are much higher than in Malaysia to make more profit.
During the last quarter ending September, Hiap Teck’s Kelang factory was shut down for 2 months and its associate Eastern Steel Sdn Bhd was shut down for 1 month. Since Malaysia has no more MCO, Hiap Teck will have fantastic profit growth prospect. As a result, Mr Ooi Teck Bee’s target price of Rm 1.16 for Hiap Teck is easily achievable.
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Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 50 of 129 comments
Baloney...baloney.
IF God wanted to make you rich...you don't have to be highly qualified/educated in the universities. Have we not seen before old professors went to teach with a small old car or scientists retired as poor men?
On the contrast, a foolish guy short/sold when others were asked to buy or he bought when others were selling. As the results, he made a big profit. Like a certain man short the Pounds and made huge profit out of the simple transaction. Bill Gates did not finish his studies and can not wait any longer to realize his dream in his company.
But someone who have borrowed and refused to pay back is a wicked man, both in the sight of God and men. However, at the moment he was borrowing, he is not a wicked one yet.
Plenty of charity/tzedakah can make our Creator change the decree for us. Supposedly to be snatched away the soul from the body last night, but he made a tzedakah to the poor just before the sun set, therefore the satan (life-taker) as the prosecutor could not over-ruled/convinced our Creator because the Creator will justify to the satan that "his cup that storing the sins became not overflowed again", so he continued to have more days.
Cry to God for your salvation. Once there was a man climbed out from the fencing of the hospital and ran to the grave of Rachael and cried to God for hours that he should not died of cancer at such a young age because he still got many unsettled matters in life...young children, old parents, unemployed wife...So, in days later, the doctor found that his disease had left.
2021-10-26 12:16
1.16?? Can i sailang? r OTB is too optimistic? I used to respect OTB, now he gave a TP of 1.16, i feel like he is......cheating us
2021-10-26 14:19
Philip ( buy what you understand)
are you a child arv18? You talk and act like one. Please be more matured and discuss on this forum with facts and results. I think YOUR language reflects negatively on you, especially for someone without any portfolio to track, any history of stock analysis, and only a list of flaming and trolling remarks. I think you should either start to discuss more on stocks that you are holding and why you are holding them, instead of just being a troll on every page you are on.
Please, do share your history of stock performance. You seem to have been an avid poster since 2013, and yet you have never posted a portfolio or write any positive analysis on any stock ideas.
I can only conclude that you full time job on I3 is to be a troll.
Waste of time.
>>>>>>
arv18 Your language reflects negatively on you. Not me. How old are you? Learn to control and behave yourself sir!
25/10/2021 4:42 PM
2021-10-26 14:48
Shhhhhh Phillip. Remember:
"I cannot change the actions of others. I cannot change the inevitable. The only thing I can change is attitude. Life is ten percent what happens to me and ninety percent how I react to it."
Time will tell who is right or wrong.
____________________________
Philip ( buy what you understand) are you a child arv18?
2021-10-26 15:06
Philip ( buy what you understand)
aren't you the one talking KOK? what you posted is bullshit.
https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/pfs/120720.jsp#tabs_group2
this is how you do it. a trackable portfolio of what you buy, when you buy, how much you sold and what P&L is done.
Talking nonsense like what you are doing is a waste of effort and just for you to show off. if you click in portfolio, under transaction group you will see what you actually bought, what your position is, what your actual profit is.
And best of all, you can't just delete and replace information as you please.
FYI, I think OTB actually started his position at the 50 cents range, and I am not sure if he sold at 69, but the profit there is more than whatever profits you are talking about.
you are a short term trader who thinks he is an investor talking about time will tell, without any telling of yourself.
Grow up troll.
2021-10-26 15:40
Again Phiilip, you have said NOTHING about the points i have raised.
You are trying to discredit me saying i post BS, but my picks, AYS, and Lion (which i mentioned further up), have outperformed today.
You said I've deleted information. What have i deleted?
You are all over the place Phillip. Calm down little boy.
2021-10-26 15:46
Posted by Philip ( buy what you understand) > Oct 26, 2021 3:40 PM | Report Abuse
FYI, I think OTB actually started his position at the 50 cents range, and I am not sure if he sold at 69, but the profit there is more than whatever profits you are talking about.
----------------
I bought 20% of my portfolio at 0.49 and another 80% at 0.55.
I sold this 20% at 0.695.
I still keep 80% of my portfolio.
I also bought back 20% of my portfolio at 0.635 today.
Overall I still maintain 100% of my portfolio.
Thank you.
2021-10-26 16:18
Philip ( buy what you understand)
Koon yew yin also doesn't go around being a troll and trying to bully people on a investment forum.
Something only kids with too much free time and no money will do.
You should grow up. Go to member services and look at all your comments. You will find that you contribute nothing to this website except vitriol and insults and being a downright troll.
Why are you being a troll on an investment website? Most likely because you lost money following their picks and are feeling testy and angry for acting like a fool and losing money gambling on their picks.
I don't bother with kyy or otb on their picks and make my own decisions in life. I comment positively on stocks I pick and why I pick them and follow closely their results.
Why do you feel the need to insult everybody on the forum with your comments. You can scroll to you comments and find zero positive remarks.
You are a troll, plain and simple. If you have nothing constructive to contribute, being silent can be an alternative option.
Being a troll is your privilege. Handle with care.
I'm sure in real life you might be a nice, respectful and intelligent person. But hiding behind an internet avatar, you seem to think you can insult everyone and anyone just because people cannot identify you.
Shameful.
>>>>>>>>
Posted by arv18 > Oct 26, 2021 3:54 PM | Report Abuse
Phiilip, OTB, and Con Man Koon. Stop spending time attacking me and put more effort with your team to MARGIN up and push up Hiap Teck to RM1.16. Your very specific TP.
Regarding trackable portfolio, I don't work for free. I don't give stock picks for free.
Do your own stock picking yourself, Phillip. Don't be lazy.
Where is Con Man Koons i3 trackable portfolio? I don't see it anywhere, now you've mentioned it.
2021-10-26 20:09
Again Phillip, I have no quarell with you. I don't know what your mental issue is. Please stop and get help.
2021-10-26 20:27
You old farts don't know the first rule of the internet do you. Don't feed the trollololol
2021-10-26 20:58
Why is Mr Ooi Teck Bee’s Rm 1.16 target for Hiap Teck easily achievable?
Because KYY asked to hard sell so can push up for him to sell at highest?
2021-10-26 21:35
KYY should learn from cold eye. Keep the mouth shut after buying any stock, not to spread and earn money from newbies. Bad karma that way, although we say buyers have to take own responsibility. But not all are experienced and easily get conned.
2021-10-26 21:37
Posted by arv18 > Oct 26, 2021 9:41 PM | Report Abuse
All these ppl, Phillip, "HonestInvestor88", OTB are all crooks. Never will debate or address points raised, but seek to resort to personal attacks, pretending to know something.
--------------------------
You do not have any material in you, how to debate.
Talk to you on fundamental, you do not know.
You are not the only one who knows technical charting.
FYI, I taught technical charting in Malaysia, Singapore, China and Hong Kong before.
Do not act in front of me.
We made million from the stock market.
2021-10-26 22:00
Maybe everyone in i3 should learn from Putin how to response to insult:
Putin responds to Biden's accusations that he is a killer: He who calls names is called that himself.
"When we evaluate other people, states and nations, we always seem to be looking in the mirror. We always see ourselves. We always pass on to another person what we ourselves are in essence.
"In childhood, when we argued with each other, we said: 'He who calls names is called that himself.' This is no coincidence, this is not just a childish joke, it has a very deep psychological meaning."
2021-10-26 22:41
I remembered when we discussed about Hiaptek during MCO3.0. There are a long time which Hiaptek remain around 50 cent. Everyone can enter at that time and have a good paper profit now. So please do not accuse OTB try to push up price now. Not fair to him la. He shared a lot of info here while most of people here did not pay him or appreciate his effort.
It is apparent steel counters will go up and it is still early stage. Because there are still a lot of non believers...牛市总在绝望中诞生，在怀疑中成长，在乐观中成熟，在兴奋中死亡。。。
While for glove counters, if you are experienced investors, you should know those will buy, already in them, waiting for novice investors to buy for them. That is why the share price does not go up.
2021-10-26 23:21
Philip ( buy what you understand)
The worse thing to do is to feed a troll. He hides behind a moniker arv18 which no one knows and believes he has the privilege to insult or make fun of anything and anyone. Whatever you say will be used as fuel to give even more insulting remarks.
To be honest I also do not like how koon yew yin almost skirts the line of illegality of buying stocks and inside information to buy stocks and influence with articles.
However: it is obviously NOT illegal as SC know exactly who kyy is, where he lives and how much he invests. And let's be honest, he loses money just the same as you arv18.
The difference is he is a KOL, a public personality that everyone knows.
So leave him be.
Start your own stocks articles instead of hijacking others with troll remarks and insults.
In fact, maybe instead of insults you can start with your name.
That way you can start taking responsibility for your insults and remarks right? If you dare to go around calling people cons and names, perhaps you can leave your real name so we can know who is actually leaving the insults.
Or do you just like trolling from the shadows?
2021-10-27 06:10
Philip ( buy what you understand)
Your comments on ays and lionid shows that you are nothing but a small time trader trying to profit by speculating on penny stocks. The obvious plot here is that you are proud of making 2% on lionid shows that you only discuss your profits instead of looking at your losses, something which kyy and otb to his credit is clear cut about and their articles and remarks. Are you honest enough to discuss your full " speculative performance"? You seem to have been around since 2013, how have you really fared in the market?
In fact, results like yours are a dime a dozen. Here is details you can pull from my publicly tracked portfolio ( which obviously I post after it is done), the date it was done, how much was the volume and the return.
This was for harbour link recently. This was tracked, verified and actually the product of research from the analysis of good readers here on i3 who have left because of constant trolling from individuals like you and joined telegram where the GOAL is to discuss stocks analysis and buy/sell. I participated in this analysis sharing and made off with 27% without needing to be a troll
Date
Type
Shares
Unit Price
Net Amt.
Balance Shares
Realized Gain
Average Cost
Per Share
Balance Cost
Per Share
29-Sep-2021 Buy +200,000 1.15 +230,878.50 200,000 - 230,878.50 1.154 230,878.50 1.154
29-Sep-2021 Buy +150,000 1.18 +177,699.15 350,000 - 408,577.65 1.167 408,577.65 1.167
01-Oct-2021 Buy +150,000 1.30 +195,770.25 500,000 - 604,347.90 1.208 604,347.90 1.208
04-Oct-2021 Buy +250,000 1.32 +331,173.50 750,000 - 935,521.40 1.247 935,521.40 1.247
07-Oct-2021 Sell -300,000 1.62 -484,366.30 450,000 +110,157.74 561,312.84 1.247 451,155.10 1.002
12-Oct-2021 Sell -150,000 1.57 -234,605.27 300,000 +47,500.99 374,208.56 1.247 216,549.83 0.721
13-Oct-2021 Sell -300,000 1.59 -475,392.85 0 +101,184.29 0.00 0.000 -258,843.02 - ∞
The lesson to learn here is to stop wasting time being a troll, and start spending time learning how buy stocks.
You gain nothing ARV18 by reposting vicious comments on OTHER peoples articles.
Maybe there is a reason why kyy is a millionaire, while you are still up at 1017 PM trying to find reasons to insult him.
The reason could be you.
>>>>>>>>>
Posted by arv18 > Oct 26, 2021 9:41 PM | Report Abuse
All these ppl, Phillip, "HonestInvestor88", OTB are all crooks. Never will debate or address points raised, but seek to resort to personal attacks, pretending to know something.
Sad state of affairs.
It also makes to me even more confident of my decision to sell out of AYS & Lion. I'm not looking for the Top. Happy with my profit.
2021-10-27 06:36
I don't agree with many of Phillips investment choices, and my portfolio and investment strategy are completely different. ... but saying Phillip is a crook is bullshit. Phillip is the most transparent and honest person here in his farmed portfolio. AFAIK, no one else posts their full portfolio with transaction dates and prices and amounts, in real time.
Personally, I think I'm a better investor than him, and my results are better too... but I can't/ won't prove it, because I'm not willing to divulge my transactions to the general public in the way that he does.
Look at his Serba transactions. He didn't delete them, he honestly still shows how he averaged down on his initial buy in, and then eventually cut loss... and his bad luck that immediately after he exited, Serba went up significantly higher (before crashing and eventual suspension).
Unlike for instance, KYY, who has no transparency at all, and even reports late to the SC.
...
Disclaimer: this is not an endorsement of Phillip's investment advice. In fact, as stated, I have never followed any of his tips or advice... I am simply stating that calling him a crook or dishonest is ridiculous, because he does FULL DISCLOSURE. (not the type that gets you arrested for flashing)
2021-10-27 12:31
drop until the have to flag and delete my posts. frankly i'm honoured! feel vindicated!
:)
2021-10-27 18:30
If U worry about hiapteck...u may consider palmoil stock as next best alternative loh!
The following write up summarize why is it palmoil stock offer the best investment & investor protection loh!
Do not listen to the good for nothing stock analyst who have vested interest loh!
Investment into farmland or plantation is the best defensive investment strategy now loh!
Invest now...b4 its share price rerate & shoot up mah!
U see...sifu calvin should continue to promote plantations share when there is still deep margin safety for plantation stock mah!
This is the very safest strategy mah!
No need to heed the naysayers complaining spamming mah!
Bcos naysayers had very bad ulterior motives mah!
Remember why investing into palmoil stock is greatleh ??
Plantation land beside having huge tract of cheap land to protect us against rampant inflation, it also produce food and also provide good & safe dividend yield of 3% t0 6% pa much superior compare to fixed deposits of yield less than 2% pa.
Remember why investing into palmoil stock is greatleh ??
Plantation land beside having huge tract of cheap land to protect us against rampant inflation, it also produce food and also provide good & safe dividend yield of 3% t0 6% pa much superior compare to fixed deposits of yield less than 2% pa.
In other words plantation is a perfect investment at the moment loh!
Posted by calvintaneng > Nov 6, 2021 5:28 PM | Report Abuse
Intrinsic99
I have read all the argument broth forth by the Naysayer IB Bankers
None of them is true
See our Friend reply
Posted by Johnzhang > Nov 2, 2021 9:57 AM | Report Abuse
IBs and many pessimist are relentlessly worried that CPO price will fall since the day CPO reached $3,000/- in 2020. CPO reached $5,350 now! Should investors be too concerned if CPO price correct down from today's level ?
I would like to share the year's high (H) , low (L) and the simple average (Avg) from year 2008 to 2021as below :
2008. $4179 (H) , $1403 (L) , $2791 (Avg)
2009. 2887,. 1630. 2259
2010. 3782. 2386. 3084
2011. 3930. 2786. 3358
2012. 3567. 2027. 2797
2013. 2635. 2157. 2396
2014. 2917. 1933. 2425
2015. 2360. 1802. 2081
2016. 3243. 2181. 2712
2017. 3344. 2338. 2841
2018. 2555. 1718. 2137
2019. 3025. 1834. 2430
2020. 3835. 2021 2928
----------------------------------------------------
Avg. 3251. 2017. 2634
----------------------------------------------------
2021YTD 5395. 3471. 4434
2021's H is 29% higher than the highest H (2008)
2021's H is 66% higher than the avg H 2008-2019
2021's L. Is 147% higher than the lowest L (2008)
2021's L is 72% higher than the avg L 2008-2019
2021's Avg is 68% higher than the Avg 2008-2019.
Despite the above , all plantantion counters stock prices are 20-50% below the highs achieved in 2008 -2020 period . Mind boggling indeed.
So, why should there be worries if CPO price indeed correct for 10-20% next year ??
02/11/2021 9:54 AM
Stock: [TAANN]: TA ANN HOLDINGS BHD
Oct 26, 2021 3:22 PM | Report Abuse
The windfall tax is not new . It has been around since 2008.
The IBs rating for plantation sector have been like this :
When CPO $3,000 , price will fall to $2,500 , neutral rating
When CPO $3,500 , price will fall to $2,700 , neutral rating
When CPO $4,000 , price will fall to $2,800 , neutral rating
When CPO $4,500 , price will fall to $3,000 , neutral rating
When CPO $5,000, price will fall to $3,200 , neutral rating
When CPO $5,300 , price will fall to $3,300 , neutral rating
Listening to IBs will bring you to Holland !
NOTE: JOHNZHANG SAID: "LISTENING TO IBs WILL BRING YOU TO HOLLAND
(NO WONDER 90% OF THE MARKET RETAIL PLAYERS YEAR AFTER YEAR LOSING MONEY LISTENING TO IB BANKERS: 90% OF RETAIL PLAYERS LOSING MONEY DECADE AFTER DECADE LOSING MONEY LISTENING TO IB BANKERS
(BETTER WAKE UP! STOP LISTENING TO IB BANKS)
Posted by Johnzhang > Oct 8, 2021 12:50 PM | Report Abuse
I am pleased to share the projected full year (2021) EPS and the prospective PE of some of my favorite plantation counters. The Projected EPS is based on actual 1H + Q3+Q4. Q3 EPS can be estimated fairly accurately as Q3 avg CPO prices is known and production numbers are mostly available . I also make the assumption that Q4 EPS is same level as Q3 for reasons that ASP Q4 seem to be even higher and labourers for plantantion sector are coming in to maximize crop recovery. Given that Nov/Dec is usually seasonally lower crops, but the higher ASP and labour availability should be enough to offset that,
On above basis , the FY 2021 EPS and prospective PE based on yesterday closing share price as as follows:
Bplant. EPS 9.6sen , PE 7.1x
THplant. EPS 16.5sen , PE 4.4x
SOP. EPS 73.0sen. PE 5.3x
MHC. EPS 20.9sen. PE 4.5x
Cepat. EPS 13,9sen. PE 5.2x
Swkplt. EPS 48sen. PE 5.2x
Taaan. EPS 67.9sen PE 4.6x
Hsplant. EPS 23.6sen. PE 9.3X.
Historical PE for plantation counter is 15 to 25x
As such, plantation counters are seriously underappre
2021-11-14 13:20
Coming onto 1.5 months since I posted here. What has happened, since I was falsely accused and false flagged?
The price has plunged from 70 sen to 45.5 sen.
I tried to warn you. In the end, you got it, didn't you.
2021-12-09 22:02
It has been 6 months. I called BS on this article at 65 sen (24-25th October last year).
Time has indeed told who is right - I stand vindicated.
Where are you Phillip?
2022-06-13 12:20
what ever KYY touches will drop, u know why? cos ppl now sell when see KYY buy
2022-06-13 16:30
how nice if KYY say he bought a lot maybank, then we all can buy maybank @ rm5 :-)
2022-06-13 16:31
Mayb its time for the once legendary Koon Bee to end.
They did have their good days.....
But of recent 2 years, call buy what die what....hope Koon Bee will not become another Curse Of Bursa
2022-06-13 17:06
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Tiger62
This KYY write up very misleading 1) electrical tariff in Malaysia is not 25 cents as quoted, On average +- industries will spend RM0.55/kwh after adding the maximum demand and other charges.
2) Electricity in Steel making only part of the cost, scrap iron, consumables, gases etc form a major cost in blast furnace.
3) Selling price are taken from Internet and not the real steel cost in bulk purchases.
The writer simply write something to get his objective in manipulating the share price. That's all about it.
2021-10-26 08:29