Caring’s 1HFY15 (May) results came in below our and street’s estimates at 35%/34.4% of the respective full-year forecasts. Maintain NEUTRAL with a revised TP of MYR1.10 (from MYR1.27), implying 7.6% downside. While we expect the challenging operating environment to prevail for the rest of the year, we see better prospects for Caring going forward with its new outlets opened last year starting to bear fruit.
Below expectations. Caring Pharmacy’s (Caring) 1HFY15 earnings came in below our previous projection and consensus estimate, at 35%/34.4% of the respective full-year forecasts. 2QFY15 revenue and net profit rose 0.7% and 175.6% QoQ, driven by: i) better contributionsfrom its existing and new outlets, ii) higher revenue from advertising, and iii) lower administrative costs. Margins were up QoQ, on the back of improved earnings. In 1HFY15, revenue climbed 5.8% YoY due to improved contributions from its new outlets, while net profit declined by 60.3% YoY amid the intensifying price war within the market. Caring also disclosed that it has opened two new shopping mall outlets during the quarter, bringing its
Gradually recovering. Although Caring’s 2QFY15 earnings came in below our and consensus expectations, we note improvements in both revenue and net profit QoQ. This was mainly attributed to: i) contributions from 12 outlets opened in 2HFY14, ii) contributions from four new outlets opened in 1HFY15, and iii) better cost management. We expect improvement in revenue and net profit to continue into 2HFY15. Risks. These include: i) increasing price competition, ii) underperformance of new outlets, iii) increasing operating costsespecially personnel and marketing, and iv) scarcity of good locations for new outlets.
Forecasts. We cut our FY15 earnings forecast by 28.9% in view of aslower earnings recovery. However, we are keeping our FY16-17forecasts intact for now.
Maintain NEUTRAL. We maintain our NEUTRAL call with a lower TP of MYR1.10 (from MYR1.27), pegged to 16x FY15F P/E. We believe this is fair as the lower TP reflects our view that a challenging operating environment could potentially result in a slower earnings recovery for Caring.
Source: RHB
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Created by kiasutrader | Jun 14, 2016
Created by kiasutrader | May 05, 2016