The global stock market closed with a blood bath on last Friday (21st Aug 2015)! Dow Jones index lost 531 points, or 3.13%, its biggest single-day decline since year 2011.
On Friday morning, the China government reported that its manufacturing activity hit a 6-year low in July 2015. In addition with devaluation of YUAN on last week, I believe most people are in extra worried about China slowdown. They started to in sell position which leads to a huge drop in global stock market!
Being the second largest economy country in the world, slowing down economy in China has a huge impact to the whole world especially US. I believe the purpose of China government devalued its currency is to increase the odds of Fed rate hike in September 2015. US had been hinting there will be hike of Fed rate since earlier by this year. However, even until now it’s still an open question on whether they would move or not.
With so many uncertainties in the world economic, the global market is likely to continue drop.
Back to Malaysia, our market continued its falling trend on last week and dropped to 1,574.61. Even the bull in Nikkei had started to change its direction! Investors need to beware that the global market is no longer that optimistic!
Being the weakest currency in Southeast Asia, Malaysia Ringgit continued to drop on last week. USDMYR had come to 4.18 and SGDMYR had come to 2.98. I still remember last year during May, the time I went to Phuket, the exchange rate for MYR to Baht was still 9.80 but now it is only 8.54, a drop of 13%! Malaysia government defended that Malaysia fundamental is still strong and stable. USDMYR should be at around 3.20. Yeah, in fact fundamentally Malaysia is still consider good, but the negative issues of 1MDB and politics had chase most of the foreign investors away. They had totally lost confidence to our country. In addition, Malaysia foreign currency reserve no longer able to support MYR. Hence, it leads to a free fall on August! The chart tells everything. I am seriously sad for my own country.
The crude oil price closed on USD40.45/barrel on last Friday. It is very likely to breach below USD40 by this coming week! Gold price had shown some reversal but the world commodity metal such as copper, aluminum, nickel and zinc continued to drop to a new low.
With all the signals above, global market will still remain bad. Does it mean another economic crisis is coming? I will say very likely. Of course, it is just my opinion based on the current world condition. Expect the unexpected. In fact, I believe US itself is a bubble.
You may refer my last week market review on
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/rhinvest/81335.jsp
Just for sharing.
http://rhinvest.blogspot.com/
Created by RicheHo | Mar 18, 2017
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Created by RicheHo | Jan 08, 2017
calvintaneng
A DIRE WARNING OF A LOOMING CRASH!
IN 1928 COMMODITY PRICES CRASHED. THE CRASH SIGNALED THE DECELERATION OF DEMAND DUE TO OVERPRODUCTION OF EVERYTHING.
THEN NEXT YEAR THE DOW JONES CRASHED ON DEC 29 1929 WHICH USHERED IN A DECADE OF GREAT DEPRESSION FROM 1929 to 1939 UNTIL THE OUTBREAK OF 2ND WORLD WAR!
NOW ALL HARD COMMODITIES LIKE IRON ORE, COPPER, ALUMINIUM & ZINC HAVE ALL CRASHED!
IT SHOWS CHINA IN CONTRACTION MODE. CHINA IS DEFINITELY SLOWING DOWN. AND THE YUAN DEVALUATION WILL HIT US MULTINATIONAL COMPANIES HARD! WHEN US COMPANIES REPATRIATE PROFITS BACK TO THE US A WEAKER YUAN MEANS LESS EARNINGS. AND SINCE EARNINGS ARE HIT HARD SHARE PRICES WILL CRASH FOR S & P COUNTERS, DOW JONES & NASDAQ!
THEN THE US WILL GO INTO A CRASH LIKE MALAYSIA & CHINA! THE WORLD IS NOW INTERLINKED AS ONE - DIRECTLY AND INDIRECTLY! SO NONE CAN ESCAPE THE CARNAGE!
MALAYSIA EXPORTS WILL THEN BE HIT HARD!
ONE UNMISTAKABLE SIGN IS THE DROP OF SMART PHONE SALES FROM CHINA - BOTH APPLE & SAMSUNG WERE HIT HARD. WITH PLUMMETING DEMAND MALAYSIA'S SEMI CONDUCTORS WILL BE HIT! ALL EXPORTING FURNITURE COMPANIES WILL ALSO BE HIT!
NOW IS THE TIME TO SELL ALL EXPORT STOCKS WHILE THE SELLING IS GOOD!
DON'T BE GREEDY ANY MORE! SEE THOSE WHO SOLD IFCA ABOVE RM1.60 to RM1.80 WERE LAUGHING ALL THE WAY TO THE BANK. THOSE WHO CHASED IFCA AT PEAK PRICES OVER RM1.80 ARE SITTING ON MORE THAN 60% PAPER LOSSES NOW!
BETTER ACT NOW ON FURNITURE AND EXPORT STOCKS NOW!
ELSE THE SAME FATE OF IFCA WILL BEFALL YOU!
2015-08-24 06:10