INVESTMENT MUST BE "INDEPENDENT" & "RATIONAL"
ADMIST THE DULL STOCK MARKET, GADANG ATTRACT ATTENTION
FACTS AND NOISES
Sometime we over speculate at the wrong stuff, like, why Tan Sri sold its shares, is it a sign of profit is dropping that he know more than other investors? Why Templeton selling? Why prominent shareholder buying?
LETS REVISIT SOME OLD FACTS
Shareholders Funds Profit
2004 111.8 m 3.612m
2015 529.1m 94.767m
Increase 417.3 (A) 91.1 (B)
Inc PAT/Inc SF (B)/(A) = 22% (2004 - 2015)
Inc PAT/Inc SF @100% (2010 - 2015)
GOING FORWARD
1. Before the two announcements on Multiple Proposals and Kwasa Land,
2. Gadang order book (RM600m-800m +) + unbill sales (RM200m+)
3. Gadang has a GDV on property of RM5.4b (mainly low cost and landed)
4. Gadang has 4 water concessionaires in Indonesia providing stable cash flows
5. Gadang has plantation about 5,181 ac in Sabah
6. Gadang's hydro electric power plant in Sumatera will commence in FY2018
7. MRT2 - The Star mentioned similar MRT1 contractors not choosen yet will likely be choosen
CATALYSTS FOR FUTURE (3-5 YEAR GROWTH)
Sometimes we must look beyond 1-2 years, as business needs time to execute.
1. Kwasa Land - will improve order book
2. Gradual new sale of properties (low cost), will help contribute growth
3. Power plant will contribute positively in FY2018
4. Palm oil plantation coming to mature, will provide growth
5. Multiple proposals will be positive (improve volume), liked by shareholders
6. MRT2 project announcement soon (<6 months)
MR. FONG SILING (Prominent Investor)
30.9.14 1,500,000
30.9.15 4,600,000
30.9.16 5,000,000
Don't over speculate other investor intention. Use as reference. Do your homework in detail, if anyone ask you, you are able to support your basis. Everyone has different knowledge about the biz, example, say, I know the plantation biz well, and I believe the potential is better than what the analysts reported, so I know the value is there. Similarly the Power Plant in Indonesia, could be another catalyst, but only contribute in FY2018.
Or example, you know Tan Sri or your friends know some of the ED, and know that their management is capable (at least based on the last 5 years), so, you believe their performance for next 5 years (cumulative) should be better than last 5 years (about RM230m +). Where will the profit comes from, construction? property (plus JV properties)? Power Plant? Plantation? etc.
GADANG's TAGLINE
Created by sosfinance | Jul 14, 2018
sosfinance
At 2.85, with Kwasa Land deal + MRT2 (anticipated only), the value of Gadang should be able to join the billion dollar company soon. One of Fong Siling's top picks. Before Kwasa and MRT2, Gadang has GDV of > RM5 b (232m unbilled) and order book of RM650m.
2016-10-15 09:06