THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

L&G(股票報價3174)LAND&GENERAL或LAND&GOLD(購買的主要理由(Calvin Tan Research)

calvintaneng
Publish date: Fri, 21 Jul 2017, 08:39 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,793
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.
親愛的朋友們,拜訪這裡的投資者,
 
我的下一個股票選擇是LAND&GENERAL或LAND&GOLD。
 
這些是Calvin Tan 為什麼對L&G看漲的主要原因
 
1.  以现今股價 21.5仙,NTA為58仙,L&G以NTA的63%折扣出售。這給了我們一個很大的安全
 
2.高利潤9%
 
過去5年每年2仙,L&G在Tasek Cement.之後成為第二高的股息率。所以它打敗了Classic Scenic, Apollo Food, Alaqar Reit (打敗所有其他reits)以及所有其他KLSE支付股息的股。由於L&G仍在淨現金盈餘中,因此可以繼續支付股息。
 
3.成長型企業
 
其最近募集擴張資金是为了購買4種主要資產。Mah Sing,Scientex&SP Setia也是如此完成擴張增長。
 
4.高額資產
.
目前,L&G擁有約2500英畝的永久地契在Kerling,賬面價值是44仙。
 
 现今當地銀行 估價Kerling & Kuala Kubu Baru 的價值為Rm3.00 psf。所以如果重新 估價L&G 在Kerling & Kuala Kubu Baru 的土地,應該上漲500%。其中最近購買 的四項資產中,有三十六萬英畝的土地在Serenda,這是及時收購,因為GEELY將大型投資在 TgMalim 的Proton city

 

 
 
 
5)L&G 在 Kerling和Serendah的土地將上漲價 當6萬名Proton員工搬遷到Tg Malim。就像Rengit&Desaru的城鎮由於PetronasRAPID而湧入了七萬名工人,到值這地區 勃發展,價值上漲了300%至500%。因此,GEELY Jv與 在TgMaim 的Proton 必導值Proton城的擴張,將為這裡的所有房地產創造多年的繁榮期。
 
來自L&G 2016年度報告:
 
L&G擁有:-
 
2 Ladang Kerling Mukim Kerling,Ulu Selangor 區
 
橡膠和油棕櫚莊園。永久業權。
 
1,009.71公頃。賬面價值48,146,000元
 
 
 
因此,LG擁有1,009.71公頃的永久業權在 Kerling(距離在Tg Malim  Proton City  15分鐘)
 
將公頃轉為英畝
 
1,009.71 x 2.471 = 2,494.99英畝。這幾乎是2500英畝。
 
 
多少平方呎
 
所以2,494.99 x 43,460 = 108,681,764.4平方呎
 
其總賬面值為48,146,000元
 
每平方英尺有多少?
 
所以48,146,000令吉分配108,681,764.4
 
=每平方呎44.29仙。
 
WOWEE!
 
目前根據Perling&Kuala Kubu Baru土地的土地價格從Rm3.00到Rm10.00 psf。銀行估值約為Rm3.00
 
所以如果L&G希望它可以跟隨HapSeng,例如Seacera或Fiamma的例子,只是重新估價其土地和資產,並將其作為利潤進行預訂。
 
所以從44.30仙到Rm3.00 psf L&G將會跳高677%! WHOPPEE!
 
而Rm3.00 psf在4360平方英尺(每英畝)將意味著每英畝的價值為130.680K
 
為2,494.99英畝?
 
所以2,494.99 x Rm130,680
 
= 325萬
 
哈!如果L&G希望它可能只是為了最近的資產收購出售這些土地,而不是通過供股來提高現金。沒關係。如果出售L&G將能夠從該資產處置中單獨發放5年或6年度的2仙的股息。所有L&G股份的所有樂觀持有人,未來6年的9%股息將得到保證? (進一步注意:L&G已經在NET CASH的位置,即使沒有資產,因此如果更多的CASH進入L&G甚至可以將股息提高到3或4仙?)
 
 
 
6)L&G的頂級持有人是Mayland,精明的投資者,如Lim Pei Tiam&Tan Chong Koay,PHEIM Funds
 
最近結束的RI看到Mayland增加了其地位。 Lim Pei Tiam也是如此, Lim是20多年的銀行家。Lim先生獲得巨大成功的其他股份是Super Enterpriz(上漲200%,私人收購),Kheesan&Pohuat(也漲200%),Lim是Pohuat的第二持股者。
 
Tan Chong Koay在L&G的前30名股東中擁有3個獨立的Pheim基金。 Pheim最近從Penta的價格上漲赚了200%。
 
Phiem是目前12名花旗集團提名(Asing)私人有限公司PHEIM SICAV-SIF的CEP
 
7,512,400(PHEIM有750萬股L&G股)
 
匯豐銀行提名(Asing)Sdn Bhd和Co Boston 為PHEIM東盟股票基金(TCSB)
 
3,379,000股(PHEIM基金22強,379.9萬股)
 
 
 
進入前30名CIMB集團提名人(Tempatan)私人有限公司PHEIM資產管理有限公司進步保險有限公司(A / C231)
 
2,521,000(再次在前30名,PHEIM選擇向Progressive Insurance投資250萬股L&G股份
 
為什麼Tan Chong Koay 如此看好L&G? Tan Chong Koay在Pentamaster從一千一百零二點零六點零六點上漲了三千七百多點(漲幅高達百分之二十)
 
我們可以期待L&G漲100%還是200%?
 
 
 
7)L&G股價下跌至21.5仙的多年低點 - 其下行股借助9%的股息收益率高達NTA。而且,由於GEELY製造其世界冠軍SUV,名叫LYNK 01的出口到全球6.2億和100多個國家的東盟10個國家,由於GEELY製造,L&G將在這裡超過2600英畝的主要地區出現溢出效應。
 
在盡職調查後,請投資你辛苦賺來的錢
 
最好的問候和歡呼聲
 
CalvinTan
 
新加坡
 
 
 
 
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2 people like this. Showing 44 of 44 comments

newbies95y

calvin sure good one. can follow. kcchong recommend.

2017-07-21 21:25

Tom

你是替l&g打广告?

2017-07-21 21:47

LandGisSHIT

This one SAMPAH stock lai, got so many cash still want to ask money from shareholders via right issue, who buy who die

2017-07-21 21:49

newbies95y

calvin sure good one. kc recommend. who are you to doubt kc and calvin.

2017-07-21 21:52

sowsc1987

calvin tan alway make urs go to holland.............

2017-07-21 22:25

moneykj

First time I see Calvin write in Mandarin. Haha..Good.

2017-07-21 22:44

calvintaneng

moneykj First time I see Calvin write in Mandarin. Haha..Good.
21/07/2017 22:44

haha thks


Actually translated by

my  BANK  MANAGER  FRIEND   WHO   ALSO   INVESTED   IN   L&G

2017-07-21 23:04

John Lu

Sochai...why u still rank 224?

2017-07-21 23:11

calvintaneng

John Lu has come!
See you lost 50% in melewar and also lost 53% in icon offshore!
You missed both drb and mj perak which made 200%!!!
Now you better don't miss L&G

2017-07-21 23:19

John Lu

224) calvintaneng +1.6% 101588.01 http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/pfs/71329.jsp
22% PBA 1.290+0.0225 1.150 17300|22% DUTALND 0.450 0.400 49800|19% BJCORP 0.335 0.340 58600|19% OPCOM 0.580 0.600 33200|17% BPURI 0.380 0.435 45800 (101407.25:180.76|237.24)

2017-07-21 23:40

calvintaneng

Whoa!
These are mau sang wang durians not yet ripe.

Got extra cash and lönger term view just buy some from july, august, sept, oct, nov and dec 2017.

Yes this is it!!!

1. Bj Corp - Berkshire Hathaway! Calvin buying
2. OPCOM - SURE SPECIAL DIVIDEND COMING
3. PBA- Rock Solid. Dr Neoh of dynaquest on board
4. BPURI - got cash now is opportunity time.
5. Dutaland - another good one like jaks at 40 sen


WHOA!!
Being reminded of these SUPER DURIANS?
hmmmm?

future 2 to 10 baggars

2017-07-22 00:15

calvintaneng

Good morning,

Planting fruit trees take time.

Some like guava or star fruit will be ripe every week. For oil palm fruit you harvest 2 times a month.

And for durian it is once a year. Artificially induced durian might fruit more than once a year.

So same for stocks

There are fast growers, slow growers, stalwards, turnaround, asset play and cyclicals and defensive utilities. But all should have margin of safety first.

2017-07-22 08:58

calvintaneng

The important of margin of safety concept is ingrained into all who read and follow Ben Graham

Ben Graham famous disciple is Warren Buffet who said

1 Rule no. 1 is.Not to lose money.
2 Rule no. 2 is to remember Rule no. 1
Not to lose money

In other words we must learn to take care to protect from downside first and foremost.

Most people think of upside without thinking of downside first.

This was the error when the Japanese bombed Pearl harbour at the outbreak of the Pacific War with US.

Only General Yamamotto regreted the bombing as he knew that the US giant is awakened and Japan will eventually lost the war.

Japan failed to see that Us NTA of material reserve and man power, so to speak, can outlast the Jap.

The zero planes and military hardware were made from imported scrap metal from the US.

And their aircraft carriers were converted from merchant ships.

All these planes, aircraft carriers crumbled when more superior US made carriers, b2 fortress bombers and attack planes invaded Jap occupied territories one by one.

So US has Big margin of safety in turning around the battle eventually.

So don't look down NTA as a margin of defense.

One Great Stock with Margin of safety is L&G

WHY SO

ANSWER:

1) At 23.5 sen with NTA AT MORE THAN 60 SEN IF REVALUED L&G IS SELLING AT 60% DISCOUNT TO NTA. BEN ONLY ASK FOR 30% DISCOUNT.

2) L&G BY WAY OF RAISING CAPITAL FROM RIGHTS ISSUE HAS AVOIDED DEBT. SO GEARING IS MINIMAL

3) IT HAS A CASH HOARD OF 16 SEN PER SHARE OF 23.5 SEN EVEN IN THE ENLARGED CAPITAL BASE. THUS ENABLING IT TO CONTINUE OR INCREASE ITS DIVIDEND AT 2 SEN OR EVEN MORE

4) ACQUIRED ASSETS ARE IN GOOD LOCATIONS
A) Diamond City will benefit from the new Sg Buloh Kajang MRT

????

2017-07-22 09:19

John Lu

Sochai and sohai. Both combine become holland king rank 224. LOL

2017-07-22 09:40

John Lu

Investment need 3 things:
1)Cash
2)Brain
3)Risk taker

Seems that this sochai and sohai dont have even 1. Diu. Everyday keep post article and monthly giving 5 stock to buy...apa ini? Fly kites better

2017-07-22 09:42

Tom

John Lu, 我想说你的这种投资心态真的很有问题。。。。。

2017-07-22 09:54

tingangap1

John.. if u got personal matter with Calvin. Solve it. But not here. Sorry no offence. Everyone Calvin post something u sure will against him

2017-07-22 10:12

Ng Shu Tsung

Calvin can give 5 stock tips daily for all I care because in the end I make my own judgement. Maybe is just the way Calvin writes that causes some people to go against him which I feel is not too fair. Yet it is freedom of speech (write) and expression.
For all that Calvin, Uncle Koon, OTB, Icon and many others have written, there is one thing in addition that also counts which is GUT feel. All the FA, TA and business sense is relevant and useful where maybe there is also one matter needed to pick correct stocks which is GUT FEEL.

2017-07-22 10:49

callmemaybe

Hi calvin, in Malaysia we use 简体, your friend use 繁体. btw, you can read and understand chinese?

2017-07-22 11:52

calvintaneng

Ng Shu Tsung,

Haha! I can't give 5 stocks daily tips.

It takes time to study, research and evaluate each company. And also the entry price which is the most important.

A good solid stock like Public Bank can buy and sleep soundly as to its fundamental.

But making much money is another matter.

No matter how good a stock is if we overpay its future upside is capped.

So i would far rather look for deep undervalue bargain stocks. Even if they don't move much i know that it is safe.

And if price should go lower i will buy even more.

2017-07-22 12:24

calvintaneng

Callmemaybe,
I can't read chinese words but hearing and speaking mandarin, cantonese or hokkien should be ok.

2017-07-22 12:26

Alex Foo

Calvin, how do u feel aabout the tech stock we have at bursa?

2017-07-22 12:40

Alex Foo

most with growth, but mos very thin...how ah? buffet also bought apple Liao.....he seems to drop the cigar butt habit now

2017-07-22 12:40

Beary

John Lu must be Calvin's ex gf.

Pumped and dumped by Calvin hahahahaha.

2017-07-22 12:42

calvintaneng

One more investment approach is this:

There is an immediate intrinsic approach and there is a future enterprize value.

For me i chose intrinsic immediate accounting approach.

That's how these stocks selections have been or going to be privatised

1. Super Enterprize
2. Kulim-- last 2 quarter results were even negative.
3. Tmakmur
4. TheStore. Its assets value are more important than its operating busines.

5.Wangzheng
This is an interesting case study that is still ongoing.
Both my Perak Corp and Southern Steel were offered privatisation but rejected by shareholders. Both Perak Corp and SSteel share price subsequently retraced. Will Wangzheng do better.

So we should buy BELOW INSTRINSIC VALUE AND WE SHOULD CERTAINLY SELL ABOVE INTRINSIC VALUE AND NOT CHASE IT FOOLISHLY.

CONTRARIAN VALUE INVESTING IS THE BEST SAFEST RULE TO FOLLOW.

TIME AFTER TIME AFTER TIME.

IT NEVER FAIL.

2017-07-22 12:43

Alex Foo

can u also comment on buffet's quote on

it's better to buy a wonderful company at fair price, rather than to buy a fair company at wonderful price.

2017-07-22 12:46

calvintaneng

Alex Foo,

From recent export growth tech sales of electronic goods increased by over 30%. These results will be reflected positively in August and November quarterly reports.

So the market is moving ahead in anticipation.

The market has overlooked palm oil stocks as agriculture also imcreased by 20 over per cent.

So while tech stocks have doubled in prices palm oil stocks have even gone down in the opposite direction.

This discrepancy presents value investors great opportunity to sell overvalued tech stocks and plow back capital into undervalue oil palm stocks.

As of now 98% will chase tech stocks because of bullish trend and only the very small 2% will dare to buy undervalue palm oil stocks as analysts are still bearish.

To be successful we must SEE AHEAD AND TAKE PISITION EARLY.

2017-07-22 12:52

calvintaneng

Warren is good in his own right.
But Peter Lynch also has his own expertise.
And the odd one out is Walter Scholoss who pick dead out of favour value bargain stocks.

So to each in what they know best. Warren could respect Walter's position. And Peter Lynch could certain understand Walter and Warren approach to imvesting.

However, Peter has evolved his own style of investing

2017-07-22 12:57

Alex Foo

ya....in terms of stock picking, I must rate Lynch to be better than Graham. Lynch trades in a season mostly against him, and he went it through with exceptional gains. He also categorized (if i'm not wrong, generally 6) stocks, and some say his portfolio is very diversified.

2017-07-22 13:11

Alex Foo

how about Munger? It seems that Munger's emphasis on wonderful business, e.g., first class business, first class management is very antithetical with Buffet's deep value investing, after all Buffet is shaped very early in his years by his master Graham.

We can witness a change in his tone in deep value investing throughout his letters to the shareholders. Before that, he always bought those fair businesses at wonderful, cigar-butt price. And now he sort of move on...

2017-07-22 13:14

Alex Foo

i actually hesitate to go in with L&G because of it immense size of shares. Also, doing rights issue in the name of not taking debt also, at the same time, dilute shareholder's future earnings. I will continue to study L&G, and no doubt it has an attractive 9% dividend by 21.5sen valuation now.

2017-07-22 13:16

calvintaneng

I think if you look at Buffet as a whole he did pretty well even before he met Munger.

Buffet even timed the market once when he closed his early fund and distribute back all capital to shareholders.

After Buffet met Phil Fisher he has changed from cigar stocks to growth stocks sonewhat.

But for the last decade or two Berkshire only made 20% to 25% yearly. Peter 's Magellan Fund for short sput at 39% performance even beat Warren at 25%.
What if Warren had kept to Value stocks alone?
I think under the evolving market of the US many other value funds are looking for bargains like Walter Schloss, John Templeton, T Rowe and others so much so that Schloss' worry that there won't be any deeply undervalue stocks one day.

In that case Walter Schloss told his son that they might have to close shop.

So given the scarcity of value net net stocks plus the huge fund size of Berkshire it is getting very difficult to find net net value stocks at deep discount of investible size.

So Warren is what he is today because of the evolving market of the present.

I am happy for Malaysia that 95% of the people are NOT into value net net investing.

That's why real bargains are to be found in Malaysia even today.

You see,
Jaks at 40 sen with Nta over Rm1.00 was then a real gem. Not now.

So was Kulim at Rm2.50, Super Enterprize at rm1.30, Tmakmur at Rm1.38, TheStore at rm2.50 and Wangzheng at 75 sen.

They were all unwanted and unloved which were taken private.

So are these present undervalue ones like

L&G , Bpuri, Opcom, Bj Corp, Dutaland, Pba, cbip, kwantas and others of deep deep value still unloved, unrecognized and unwanted by the maddening crowd who chased balloons and bubbles.

2017-07-22 14:04

Alex Foo

thx calvin, i dun know about fisher and glad to hear about him from you =)

yalo, i tot buffet eventually changed his strategy....apple is cash rich, so at least fundamentally sound...but those growth stocks we have at bursa semua margin of safety very weak and shaky. Once recession comes, habis semua tapao....

2017-07-22 14:13

calvintaneng

Alex,

Fisher wrote, "Common stocks uncommon profits".

He is good at scuttlebutting. Visiting companies first hand to see their business how they perform.

Totally different from Walter who only read Annual Reports.

If someone has followed Fisher in Malaysia he will discover that:

Megan Media Blue Ray Disc factories are fictitious

Transmile has 4 rotten planes on Subang Airport tarmac

Hwatai has a dilapitated factory in Batu Pahat when Hwatai was chased to a high of Rm200 a share.

And Espirit is closing shop for forever on the same day its share price went limit up.

Fisher taught us the common sense of inspecting the companies we bought just like buying a car.

2017-07-22 14:59

calvintaneng

So i am happy to see Tan Chong Koay having 3 separate funds in Top 30 of L&G.

My Johor Sifu said Tan Chong Koay the Pheim Fund Boss visits 600 Klse companies annually before selecting stocks to invest.

This is in contrast to TTB of Icapbiz who only interested to collect fat fees and driving his sports car arounding doing little or nothing but waiting for a market crash.

2017-07-22 15:03

calvintaneng

And Peter Lynch even moved a step ahead of Fisher.

While Phil Fisher studies Listed Companies Lynch look for budding companies with potential even before they were listed.

That was why he visited shopping malls and discovered "The Body Shop" long before Body Shop turned into a worldwide success later.

2017-07-22 15:21

SALAM

Durians are high on the tree, takes a long time to ripen and fall. When? God knows..may be directors know a little..3 yrs? 10yrs?

2017-07-22 18:09

calvintaneng

Salam,
It was Phil Fisher who said, i think, if you have done your homework well, the time to sell the stock is never, or to hold it for forever.

And Warren Buffet echoed Fisher's words when he said that he holds stocks for forever like Walmart, Geiko, Coca Cola, Berkshire, See's Candy and McDonald.

2017-07-22 18:22

calvintaneng

"If the job has been correctly done when a common stock is purchased, the time to sell is almost never." – Phil Fisher

2017-07-23 14:32

fangyew

thank you Calvin , 0.215 nobody want :)

2017-07-23 16:25

tingangap1

Who say 0.215 no body want. I bought in 500

2017-07-23 18:22

calvintaneng

tingangap1 Who say 0.215 no body want. I bought in 500
23/07/2017 18:22

WHOA!

YOU SO SMART!!

YOU SHOULD CHANGE NAME FROM tingangap1 TO TANGKAP L&G or GRASP L&G

CONGRATULATIONS!

2017-07-23 20:31

calvintaneng

tangkap - Verb, Malay | sprawk - Translating the web, your way
https://www.sprawk.com/en/term/Malay/tangkap
tangkap [Verb] 1. capture, grasp (English); 2. capture (English); 3. trap (English); 4. catch (English); The term "tangkap" in Malay has translations, definitions, ...


YESSSS!!!

All should TANGKAP L&G!!!

TANGKAP Translated means

1) Grasp L&G
2) Capture L&G
3) Trap L&G
4) Catch L&G


Sure one.

L = LAND
G = GOLD!!!!

2017-07-23 20:34

xiaoji

2 cents dividend given after get the money from right issue, existing share holder's share price dive from 0.35 to 0.2 without getting anything f they didn't exercise their right by putting more money.

before the right issue, price in 2014, 2015, 2016 keep dropping from 60cents to recent 20cents.
if i hold this share 5 years, i earn 10cents interest but the share price depreciate 40cents.

another thing is very strange -
net cash per share is far more than the share price but the price still remain low.
something very fishy.

2017-08-23 19:38

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