THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

CALVIN TAN ON: THE INTRINSIC VALUE OF TSH RESOURCES

calvintaneng
Publish date: Sun, 15 Aug 2021, 09:24 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,865
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear Investors & Traders of i3 Forum (Pease read to the very end as we are typing now from Singapore)

Many have wondered why we are bullish on Tsh Resources after IjmPlant was taken over by KLK at Rm3.10

Many do superficial reading on TSH NAV to be only Rm1.06 and price now at Rm1.04 to be not worth much

 

See what people see below

UMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Mar 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Mar 2021
31 Mar 2020
31 Mar 2021
31 Mar 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
198,717
209,144
198,717
209,144
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
21,023
6,200
21,023
6,200
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
26,448
7,952
26,448
7,952
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
20,783
2,254
20,783
2,254
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
1.51
0.16
1.51
0.16
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.0644
1.0531
 

A careless perusal will show only Rm1.06 NAV

 

But Dig Deeper

How?

You must compare Apple with Apple & Orange with Orange

 

Now See IJM PLANT NAV Below

 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Mar 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Mar 2021
31 Mar 2020
31 Mar 2021
31 Mar 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
246,381
195,393
935,693
739,133
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
60,411
-73,438
272,129
-50,472
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
60,104
-86,273
215,007
-72,979
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
57,417
-76,387
205,083
-63,423
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
6.52
-8.67
23.29
-7.20
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
10.00
2.00
10.00
2.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.6300
1.3500

As you can see above IJMPLANT NAV IS ONLY RM1.63

THEN WHY SHOULD IJMPLANT BE WORTH RM3.20 (RM3.10 Plus 10 Sen Dividen) WHEN KLK OFFERED

RM1.63 NAV & TAKEOVER OFFER IS RM3.20 (Or 96% Above Net Asset Value??)

 

Now we think TSH & IJMPLANT Are Very Similar in their Assets & Earnings

Both TSH & IJMPLANT Estates are Located in Sabah, Kalimantan & Sumatra

Since they go over to Indonesia they stay close to each other. Just as in early times from China Coastal Cities arrived early Immigrants to Malaya & stayed in coastal Towns like Penang, Kelang & Johor (Just check: these speak the Hokkien Dialects)

Later in year 1848 Long Jaffar founded Tin in Larut & also the Sungai Besi Tin Mines in KL. These drew in Chinese from Guandong who are more business minded. Today the Chinese of Klang Valley (KL) & Kinta Valley (Ipoh) Speak the Cantonese Dialect

The Indians also congregated in Brickfields, Sentul & the Little India of Singapore.

The British?

They liked cooler mountain airs so they named Cameron Highland, Maxwell Hill, Fraser Hill & others.

Port & States  were called Port Swettenham (today Port Klang), Province Wellesley (Now Prai)

And so are TSH & IJMPLANT & KLK & WILMAR (They cluster around)

So if IJMPLANT is worth 96% more then can we value TSH Rm1.04 X 96% more

or Rm2.03

Is the Intrinsic Value of TSH Rm2.03 then?

 

Ok we dig deeper and further

 

2) When TSH Disposes Assets only then We see its Real Value Surface

Recently TSH sold 2 Palm Oil Estates

Let's go check them up

The Board of Directors of TSH (“Board”) wishes to announce that TSH and its 2
wholly-owned subsidiaries, namely TSH Palm Products Sdn. Bhd. and TSH Plantation
Sdn. Bhd. had on 6 July 2021, entered into the following respective sale and purchase
agreements with Sharikat Keratong Sdn. Bhd. (“SKSB” or “Purchaser”):
(i) Sale and Purchase Agreement between TSH and SKSB (“SPA 1”) for the
proposed disposal of the oil palm plantation land measuring approximately
2,489 acres together with all the oil palms, estate office, living quarters/houses,
structure, tractors, estate equipment, and furniture thereat, known as Ladang
Gomantong, for a cash consideration of RM76 million (“Disposal Consideration
1”);
(ii) Sale and Purchase Agreement between TSH Palm Products Sdn. Bhd. (“TSHPP”)
and SKSB (“SPA 2”) for the proposed disposal of the oil palm plantation land
measuring approximately 4,942 acres together with all the oil palms, estate
office, living quarters/houses, structure, tractors, estate equipment, and
furniture thereat, known as Ladang Ong Yah Ho, for a cash consideration of
RM152 million (“Disposal Consideration 2”); and 
  1. and 
  2. Sale and Purchase Agreement between TSH Plantation Sdn. Bhd. and SKSB for the proposed disposal of 1 palm oil mill equipped with plant and machinery, together with furniture, vehicle and heavy machinery known as Lahad Datu Palm Oil Mill for a cash consideration of RM20 million. 
 
 
 
Ok we SEE two pieces from above are disposed
 
Let's go check up the Top 10 Properties of TSH (refer to AR or Annual Report)
 
Wow! the 2,489 acres sold for Rm76 millions is a surprising discovery! This is not listed in Top Ten as it is only a smaller piece. So suddenly appeared with a Cash windfall revealed as worth Rm76 Millions (Don't forget that TSH took Ekowood Private & TSH also Top 2nd Holder of Innoprise. TSH also got Rm400 Millions worth of bilogical assets. That is why TSH stands for Treasure Safely Hidden
 
 
 
Ok (Please see AR Top 7 Properties of TSH)
 
It is listed with Assets Book Value of  Rm102,916,131 or nearest decimal Rm102.92 Millions
 
Ok now deduct from Sale Price
 
Sale total Rm152 Millions & Mills Rm20 Millions = RM172 MILLIONS
 
So Rm172 MILLIONS less Cost Rm102.92 MILLIONS
 
= RM69.08 MILLIONS
 
How many percent up?
 
Rm69.08 mil divides by Rm102.92 = 67.12% Upside
 
Now if we multiply NAV of Rm1.06 by 67.12%
 
The NAV will be Rm1.77
 
That is NET ASSET VALUE ALONE
 
What if we should include two Companies (Ekowood - taken private & Innoprise still listed) & the 200,000 Acres of Forest Concession, Biomass Energy, Cocoa Business, Paper Pulp & above all The Palm OIl Refinery 50/50 J/V with Wilmar in Sabah?
 
Easily over Rm2.00 value
 
Ok now we go and see its historical price
 
 
3) TSH & IJMPLANT GOES UP IN GOOD AND BAD TIMES TOGETHER
 
See Their Price History
 
 

See IJMPLANT Price history

YEAR...LOWEST PRICE...HIGHEST PRICE

2004..Rm1.00........Rm1.40
2005...0.91.........Rm1.20
2006..Rm1.02........Rm1.66
2007..Rm1.36........Rm3.25
2008..Rm1.19........Rm4.01
2009..Rm1.81........Rm2.89
2010..Rm2.36........Rm3.14
2011..Rm2.38........Rm3.24
2012..Rm2.63........Rm3.77
2013..Rm2.75........Rm3.62
2014,,Rm3.11........Rm4.03

As you can see both in Years 2008 & 2014 IjMPLANT CROSSED THE RM4.00 MARK

 

NOW JUST AS IJMPLANT CROSSED RM4.00 IN GOOD YEARS TSH RESOURCES SHARE PRICE ALSO CROSSED RM4.00 JUST LIKE IJMPLANT DID THEN

 

See

TSH RESOURCES PRICE HISTORY

YEAR....LOWEST PRICE...HIGHEST PRICE

2004.....0.45.................1.01

2005....0.63..................1.05

2006....0.60..................1.05

2007....0.77..................1.65

2008....0.55..................1.94

2009....0.66...................1.00

2010....0.84...................1.46

2011....1.33...................2.04

2012....1.87...................2.87

2013....2.05...................3.13

2014....2.72...................4.00

So in year 2014 when IJMPLANT was Rm4.03 TSH RESOURCES SHARE PRICE ALSO REACHED RM4.00

 

THAT IS WHY THERE IS A HIGH POSSIBILITY TSH RESOURCES SHOULD REACH RM2.00 IN THIS COMING PALM OIL BULL RUN & CAN ALSO GO UP HIGHER

 

KLK HAS TAKEN OVER IJMPLANT AT RM3.20 (ITS PEAK CYCLE REACHED RM4.00)

 

TSH ALSO REACHED RM4.00 AT PEAK CYCLE

BUT WHY DO WE NOT ASSIGN TSH AS SAME WITH WITH IJMPLANT AT RM3.20 INTRINSIC VALUE

WHY ONLY RM2.00?

ANSWER:

BECAUSE TSH GAVE ONE FREE BONUS FOR TWO SHARES HELD WHILE IJMPLANT DID NOT

 

SO WE THINK RM2.00 IS A VERY FAIR INTRINSIC VALUE FOR TSH AT THE VERY LEAST

 

Best Regards

Calvin

 

Please buy or Sell After doing your own due diligence. Or consult your Remisier/Fund Manager

More articles on THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 6 of 6 comments

calvintaneng

Ekowood taken private by TSH https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/5091.jsp

2021-08-15 22:22

calvintaneng

Dear Friends, Investors & Traders of i3 Forum

This evening please go we shall look at the Biological Assets of TSH

Please go see Bursa report of all latest Qtr Results of each and SEE for yourselves



1) SIME DARBY PLANTATION

Biological assets...........Rm290 Millions


2) FGV

Biological assets............Rm101 Millions


3) TAANN

Biological assets...........Rm122 Millions


4) TSH RESOURCES

Biological assets...........Rm408 Millions


5) JAYA TIASA

Biological assets..........Rm65 Millions


6) THPLANT

Biological assets.........Rm56 Millions


7) BPLANT


Biological assets........Rm35 Millions



8) HAP SENG PLANT


Biological assets.........Rm40 Millions


As you can see from the above TSH RESOURCES With Rm408 MILLIONS WORTH OF BILOGICAL ASSETS IS LARGER THAN EVEN SIMEDARBY PLANT WITH RM290 MILLIONS BIOLOGICAL ASSETS

Now what is Biological Assets

Let us see its definition


What are Biological Assets? Recognition and Measurement
Fixed Assets

Overview:
Biological assets are assets that are living in nature. It includes trees, animals, and nowadays cannabis too, as it has been made legal. The company’s management breaks down the assets side of the balance sheet and classifies them by type and attributing a value to them.

Biological assets are dealt with in International Accounting standards 41 (IAS 41). As per IAS 41, biological assets are any living plant or animal owned by the business. These are typically measured at fair values less selling costs.

Examples of biological assets include goats, fish, vegetables, corn, tomatoes, apples, etc. Biological assets are generally perishable and are like current assets in the balance sheet.

Nature of Biological assets:
Biological assets are held and can be accounted for only by the business owners. These assets are important to farmers and individuals whose primary source of profit comes from growing, selling, and shipping biological goods.

They are the active components in the environment; hence, they are always difficult to maintain. They are always under the radar of qualitative and quantitative threats.

Importance of Biological Assets:
Biological assets generate substantial revenue or income for businesses in vineyards, floriculture, silviculture, and paper products.

Biological assets are typically seen in the balance sheet of these companies in industries. The only distinguishing feature for biological assets is that it is a living thing.



The major difference of biological assets is that biological assets change naturally and depreciate naturally and more rapidly than other types of goods.

Various biological assets like other goods can be in high or low demand depending on the season of the product. Recently there has been a surge in demand for soybean in the United States of America.

The threats suffered by biological assets include drought, cold weather, inconsistent rain, or forms of diseases. The biological asset is unique to accounting to categorize and identify assets owned by businesses clearly.

Recognition of Biological assets as per IFRS:
An entity recognizes a biological asset when the entity controls the asset as a result of past events. It is fairly reliable to say that benefit will flow to the entity, and fair value can be measured reliably.

Measurement of Biological asset:
Biological assets come within the scope of IAS 41. Initial recognition is done, and at subsequent reporting dates, the biological assets are recognized at fair value less estimated costs to sell, unless a fair value cannot be reliably estimated.

The gain on initial recognition of biological assets at fair value fewer costs to sell and changes in fair value fewer costs to selling biological assets during a period are included in profit or loss.

All other costs related to biological assets measured at fair value are recognized as expenses when incurred, other than costs to purchase biological assets.



We have modified some words to make it more relevant

From the above we can deduce that TSH RESOURCES with Both Palm Oil Estates & Timber Forest Concession have fully made use of opportunities to plant the MOST TREES (both Palm Oil & Timber) Totalling a Whopping Rm408 MILLIONS IN VALUE OVER THE YEARS - FAR FAR MORE THAN BOTH SIMEDARBY PLANT & FGV

This shows TSH RESOURCES has Deep Deep Biological Assets Value which aughur well when both CPO & LUMBER ARE NOW AT THEIR HIGHEST PRICES IN WORLD MARKET





Best regards



Calvin Tan Research


NOTE: TSH's RM400 MILLIONS BIOLOGICAL ASSETS ARE NOW VERY VALUABLE AS DEMAND FOR BOTH LUMBER & PALM OIL ARE UP & PRICES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED

2021-08-16 08:48

calvintaneng

TSH Resources is also in the Top 2nd holder of Innoprise

Director Tan Aik Kiong of TSH is also a Director in Innoprise


https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/INNOPRISE-PLANTATIONS-BER-20699188/company/

2021-08-16 08:55

calvintaneng

Fcpo up to year 2022 still over rm4000 per ton defies the naysayers

2021-08-17 13:31

calvintaneng

Value upon value emerging from Tsh

2022-03-03 10:22

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