THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

NUSANTARA WILL BOOM AND BOOM LIKE PENGERANG WITH INFLUX OF 200,000 WORKERS, Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Wed, 08 Jun 2022, 10:57 PM
calvintaneng
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Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear Friends,

Indonesia New Capital is recruiting 200,000 Workers for Building City of Nusantara where TSH RESOURCES got 94,700 acres of lands (about 52% of Spore land size of 180,000 acres


See

Jakarta, CNBC Indonesia â€“ The National Capital Authority (IKN) will need hundreds of thousands of workers for the construction of the Nusantara IKN. In the second half of this year, the initial construction of the IKN will begin.

This was stated by the Head of the IKN Authority, Bambang Susantono, after attending a closed meeting with President Joko Widodo (Jokowi) at the Bogor Presidential Palace, West Java, Friday (3/6/2022).

“It is estimated that in 2023 we will accommodate around 150 to 200 thousand field workers,” said Bambang in a press statement.

Bambang then revealed the great need for field workers for IKN development. According to him, this is done so that a number of targets that have been previously set can be achieved.

Photo: Press Release Bambang Susantono Head of IKN Authority, Bogor Palace, 3 June 2022

“Why so many? Because in practice, we have to achieve several targets with a large number of workers and later the amount of material will be quite large,” he said.

Bambang did not explain in detail whether the government would recruit field workers on a large scale or not. He only said that hundreds of thousands of workers will only be used next year.

In the second half of this year, the government will start several field works, especially those relating to land preparation, to road access for logistics and infrastructure development needs.

“We made it with the hope that in 2023 we will start to build on a scale that has been targeted,” said Bambang,

Jokowi, himself has instructed that the implementation and planning of IKN development be more mature. Moreover, the IKN Authority must work with a transition team that is affiliated with the relevant ministries and institutions.

Bambang emphasized that environmental conditions and interactions with the surrounding community must be considered during the IKN development process.


IT WAS THE INFLUX OF WORKERS THAT CREATED SHENZHEN SUPER BOOM TIME


AND IT WAS INFLUX OF 50,000 WORKERS THAT CAUSED THE PENGERANG BOOM


See

CALVIN TAN FIRST HAND REPORT ON HIS VISIT TO BOOMING PENGERANG REGION

calvintaneng
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Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.
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calvintaneng
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Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.
Publish date: Sat, 26 Mar 2016, 11:25 PM
" data-bs-html="true" data-bs-original-title="" title="" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(13, 110, 253); text-decoration: none;">calvintaneng

A DAY’S TOUR IN ISKANDAR & PENGERANG OIL & GAS REGION.

Due to the hype of Pengerang Oil & Gas Boom I decided to visit Pengerang on a Fact Finding Mission. To see First hand & to feel the sentiment of the people.

My day begins on 12th of March, 2014 at 6.00a.m. Singapore Time. As I crossed the Woodland Causeway I was soon on the EDL (Eastern Dispersal Link) towards the Western Coastal Highway – then I took a turn into the Pasir Gudang Highway & proceeded to Masai Town (Now Ecoworld Territory).

As I turned into the Masai Town I noticed the sheer volume of cars moving slowly into the JB City Direction. It was a sight to behold indeed. Cars, bikes, vans and all converge on the narrow road from Taman Air Biru,  Taman Nusa Damai, Taman Cendana, Taman Pasir Putih, Taman Scientex, Taman Bukit Dahlia, Taman Cahaya Masai & Taman Kota Masai all squeeze into the 2 lanes road to join the 4 lanes Pasir Gudang Highway!

No wonder there is an urgent need to upgrade Pasir Gudang  Highway into a 6 Lane Highway. Another EXPRESS WAY  being proposed is the 6 Lanes Highway From AEON TEBRAU CITY ALL THE WAY TO KOTA MASAI.

NOTE: RIGHT NOW JKR IS BUILDING A 6 LANE WIDE CONNECTING ROAD (1.8Km) FROM BANDAR SRI ALAM TO TAMAN NUSA DAMAI. A RM20 Million Project ready by 2015. When Ready Taman Nusa Damai Will Become The Most Strategic & Valuable Place In Eastern Iskandar.

By Day Break I crossed the Beautiful & Picturesque Bridge over Senai -Desaru Highway. On both sides of the highway were Oil Palm Plantations – stretching for miles after miles.

Finally I arrived in Bandar Penawar & Desaru. Here, I had morning coffee break. It was a time to gather  some facts from the local people. There is a new found optimism here. The people told me property  prices have doubled in Desaru area but for Sungai Renggit & Pengerang house prices have Shot Up 4 Fold! And there is a constant stream of cars, lorries & long trailers passing by Desaeu to Pengerang daily. And for Weekend There Is A Surge of Tourists From Singapore & also all parts of Malaysia to Desaru.

After the short break I drove with heightened interest & curiosity in the direction of Pengerang – another  30 minutes journey! I had been to Sungai Renggit 7 years ago in year 2007. How is it now? What wil it be like after 7 years? These and many other questions raced through my mind as I got nearer and nearer Sungai Renggit Town. It was a really sleepy town, then. What is it like now?

There Is Really Nothing New  Here To Spring Any Surprise. As I approach the Sungai Renggit Rustic Town I saw the Same Old Dilapidated Wooden Houses on Both Sides of the Narrow and Dusty Roads. However, These Rickety Wooden Houses Sit On 4,800 to 5,000 sq ft Land. I wondered how much these run down Old Wooden houses on these Lands are worth.

At a Corner Coffee Shop I met the Lady Boss to make inquiry. She phoned Mr. Wong, the Local Housing Agent. Mr. Wong arrived within minutes.  And I had a time of briefing of The Tremendous Boom Time Here In The Pengerang Region.

“Those Wooden Old Houses You Saw On Both Sides Of The Road Are Leasehold With Only 30 Years Lease Remaining,” Mr. Wong Said. “And The Asking Price Is Between RM1.2 to RM1.3 Millions!,” He add further.

WOW! According to Ms Yong, Manageress of PUBLIC BANK, Taman Perling Branch, Johor – No Banks Will NOT Give Any Housing Loan For Properties Less Than 60 Years Lease Left.

“But These Buyers Paid CASH For Them – Yes! Millions In CASH DEAL!,” He replied. “You mean these Rickety, Run Down, Dilapidated Wooden Houses – Some Falling Apart are worth these prices?” I asked again in disbelief. “Yes, they are snapped up in no time once the â€śFor Sale Sign” Is Put Up. Demand exceeds supply here,” Mr. Wong replied.

“Yes!”, the Lady Boss joined in the conversation.  And she add further, “Last year, a Wooden Shop House Was Sold For RM800,000. It is located away from the Main Road on a back lane. And it commanded such an exorbitant price. The seller should be glad for getting such a good price. But he is not happy at all. Because he said that after he sold price still race up to RM1.3 Millions right now!” “And these Old, Old Shop Houses Are Made of Wood,” you know?

“We are Baffled By These Crazy Asking Prices Now,” quipped Mr. Wong.  â€śSometimes, even we Housing Agent hear incredulous and crazy asking prices from landlords & property owners alike. We dare not even quote these unheard of asking prices to prospective buyers. They might call us mad in asking for Such Sky High Prices!” But the Surprising Thing Is People Are Actually Paying  For Them – Ridiculous Prices  â€“ Many Paid By CASH!

These Are The Facts. 2 Story Houses Are Selling For RM700,00 & Renting For RM3,500 per month. Since Demand Exceeds Supply There Are Not Enough Rental Houses at the moment. So people are paying almost RM2,000 for a small hotel room on a monthly basis. 4 workers will cramp into a small hotel room – the Hotel is converted from a 3 story Shophouse.

And Land Prices Have Gone Up 1,000% Around Sungai Renggit to Pengerang. Mr. Wong brought me to see a 6 Acre Oil Palm Land 5 km away from Renggit Town. The 6 acres land consist of 2 titles – The One Acre Piece is Freehold While the 5 Acre Piece is Leasehold.” The asking price is RM30 psf – Cheapest Now On Offer. Anyone Interested may call me 014-6101668 (Weekday only). Others nearer Town are going for RM80 to RM90 psf. So according to Mr. Wong this is a bargain – the land will be sold out soon or the landlord might raise asking prices.

Pengerang – From A Sleepy Fishing, Farming Region To BOOM TOWN!

What Is The Cause Of This Great Transformation? Is It Real And Permanent? Well, according to Mr. Wong there will be an influx of 50,000 to 60,000 Oil & Gas Workers in Pengerang.

The Pay Structure Of These Skilled Workers Are:

1) RM3,000 to RM4,000 for General Skilled Workers

2)RM7,000 for Middle Executives.

3)RM20,000 For High Ranking Managers.

60,000 Workers With Their Families Plus Downstream Demand For Goods & Services Like New Restaurants, New Housing, New Car Repair Shops, New Hair Saloons And So On And So Forth Will Multiply The Population to 300,000 or even Half a Million Strong!

The RM60 Billion Mammoth Oil & Gas Pengerang Project & The Proposed 3rd Bridge Link to Singapore Will Propel This Up Coming Region Into Another Dynamic Zone For Iskandar

LATEST UPDATE ON 26TH MARCH 2014

THE CAPEX FOR RAPID OF PENGERANG OIL & GAS HAS BEEN REVISED UPWARD TO RM190 BILLIONS –  THIS WILL MAKE PENGERANG THE HOTTEST DEVELOPMENT REGION ON PLANET EARTH!

No wonder there is a mad scrambling for all houses, lands, plantations and other limited and precious resources here. So great is the panic buying- prices have even overtaken Bukit Indah – the current reigning champion for Mass Housing from Malaysians working in Singapore! And at this frantic speed prices might even rise to match Horizon Hill, Puteri Harbour or even Singapore?!!!”

As I pulled away from Sungai Renggit it was already late afternoon.  By passing the exit to Kong Kong/ Kota Masai Exit I proceeded another 20 minutes to the Exit at Ulu Tiram. Here prices are still at a fraction of Nusajaya or Pengerang. Last year I bought a property here for a song through Johor High Court Auction – Only RM75,000 for a Freehold Semi-Detached House on 4,000 sq ft! A Real Bargain Indeed!

Like Kota Masai & Sungai Renggit – Ulu Tiram is a total laggard. So I have picked up 3 properties here. A Single Storey on 1,600 sq ft  for RM50,000, a Double Storey with 1980 sg ft (22′ by 90′ sq ft)  for RM142,000. And a Double Storey with 1,080 sg ft for RM73,000. All with Freehold Titles & I was the only sole bidder in High Court!

In Taman Perling, I called Mr. Tan Pao for a chit chat. He told me he just sold 2 houses in Nenas area, Taman Kota Masai. Both single storey for RM127,000 each. People are now bidding from Court Auction as high as RM120,000 now. And he sold 4 Units of Double Story Houses in Taman Air Biru for RM135,000. He had a total of 14 Double Story Houses in Taman Air Biru. Of the 14 he bought 10 units from Dana Harta at Only RM60,000 each.

Since the Double Story in Taman Air Biru can command a rental of RM1,000 to RM1,200 why let go at RM135K only. He told me he sold all 4 units at RM135K each to Investors. For the next 2 he has increased the price to RM145K per unit. He laughed as he said,”There are people who boast loudly that they own lots of houses, but upon further follow up they admitted that they only have two properties. As for me I could say I own an entire housing estate if I wanted to.”  This jovial man is the Champion in Kota Masai. He just bought another 8 houses recently – making him the owner of over 100 properties.

After Having Traveled Throughout Iskandar these 13 Years and Viewed More Than 10,000 houses in Iskandar I think Taman Perling Is The Most Central For Singaporeans. Houses may be old but does it matter. The Underlying Land Is Superior In Its Singapore Centric Location.

It was already late at night as I proceeded to Singapore by way of the New Nusajaya Highway. To my surprise I  saw Tall Construction Cranes Lighted Up Behind Lego Land. So I went to check on it. A Huge Brilliant Green Led Sign â€śTHE MERIDIN” greeted me.

Contruction Work is Still Going On Into The Wee Hours of The Mid Night Till Day Break – 24 Hours Non Stop For AFINITY, THE MERIDIN & I MEDINI. These projects are by Capital Land, Mah Sing & WCT respectively. And the Place look Ultra Modern indeed. Comparable To The Very Best Any Where In The World Today!!!

I notice the LED LAMP POSTS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE HIGHWAY as I passed by NUSAJAYA. These LED LIGHTS Are Not Found Yet In Other Parts of Malaysia. The Light Emited Is Very White & Bright.

Soon I crossed into Singapore at Tuas.  For the First Time I saw a contrast – The Lamp Post on PIE/ECP In Singapore is still using the outdated old street lights. And The Construction of a small connecting flyover near Tuas has stopped work when day light fades. As I reached my Condominium (already 10 year old) it dawned on me that only  minutes away in Medini, Nusajaya – A Brand New World Is Now In Transformation.

SO ISKANDAR IS REALLY THE BEST KEPT SECRET IN THE WORLD TODAY!

IF YOU HAVE NOT YET INVESTED – WHAT ARE YOU WAITING FOR?

Calvin comments:

The Best Buy In BOOMING ISKANDAR ARE THESE

1) ALL SINGLE STOREY HOUSES PRICED BELOW RM250,000 Each

2) ALL DOUBLE STOREY HOUSES PRICED BELOW RM400,000 Each

3) ALL CONDOMINIUMS PRICED FROM Rm80,000 to Rm150,000 Each (Avoid High End Condos Above Rm500,000 as investment. If above Rm500K buy for own stay ok.

NOW IS THE BEST TIME TO BUY BEFORE HSR FROM KL - NUSAJAYA - SINGAPORE IS BUILT.

BEFORE SPORE THOMSON - JB CBD MRT IS BUILT

By then IT WILL BE TOO EXPENSIVE & TOO LATE TO BUY!


CalvIn futher comment: June 9th 2022


FORTUNATELY FOR TSH RESOURCES IT HAS 4 PALM OIL ESTATES HERE IN KUTAI/NUSANTARA

Book Value is an amazing low of 13 sen Psf


SO THAT IS ONE BIG REASON WHY TSH DIRECTORS HAVE BEEN BUYING AND BUYING UP TSH SHARES LIKE NO TOMORROW


Best regards

Calvin


Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your remisier/fund manager





More articles on THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 21 of 21 comments

calvintaneng

Note worthy notes:

On June 29th Tsh will convene Egm for approval to dispose Bulugan Regency lands for Rm731.09 millions of which there is a net profit of 31 sen

among the use of proceeds will be

1. Rm550 millions to pare down debts

2. Rm45 millions to plant new palm oil as well as replanting old trees

Now: Tsh sold 2 pieces of Sabah lands recently

One piece was listed in Top 10 properties in Annual Report while one piece was hidden and only revealed now

As of now there are other hidden palm oil estates not mentioned in Tsh top 10 and these assets will go for planting new palm oil

3. Rm47 millions for infrastructure work

this is due to the superboom in Nusantara. Tsh allocated more capital for infrar works to enhance connection and accessibilty

Tremendous value will be unlocked for those precious prime lands in Nusantara

2022-06-08 23:56

calvintaneng

Someone asked Warren Buffet about investing in real estate and Warren replied that investing in the stock market is so easy why want to invest in real estate

Indeed. It is so easy and cheap to invest in booming Nusantara by owning Tsh resources which own those gold mine lands there

And we get in at early 2010 book value prices about Rm5,000 per acre or only a mere 13 sen psf

2022-06-09 06:53

calvintaneng

200,000 highly skilled indon workers will transform Nusantara into the latest sparkling boom region on earth

2022-06-09 08:30

Investformilkmoney

Hi Calvin, your old blogs is informative and the way you write it makes it interesting. Your blogs can become an autobiography. Although some of your recommendation in the past didn't go up (I've been reading when I have time), no one can predict the future. But in overall, your blogs are helpful to me.

2022-06-09 10:14

StartOfTheBull

Jakarta is sinking, Indonesia parliament has passed the relocation of its capital to Nusantara. Strongly recommended to add or hold TSH into our portfolio.

2022-06-09 11:06

chinaman

Jokowi must be God, or bomoh dua kepala to predict that JKT is sinking

2022-06-09 11:20

Investformilkmoney

@chinaman, read the news or YouTube.... It is know that Jakarta is sinking a bit every year.

2022-06-09 11:23

Wizman

I ask Indonesia's based real estate company to check TSH one of the palm oil estate in
Desa Rantau Makmur, Tanjung Labu, Kecamatan Rantau Pulung, Kabupaten Kutai Timur,
Kalimantan Timur. Total land area = 18,372 acre/7,435 hectare.

According to them, the surrounding market value as below:-
2nd road/2nd tier = RM7.00psf - RM14.00psf
main road/1st tier = RM27.80psf - RM41.80psf

Market Value / Total Land MV / TSH Share Price
RM7.00psf - $5,601,990,240/ $4 per share
RM14.00psf - $11,203,980,480/ $8 per share
RM27.80psf - $22,247,904,096 / $16 per share
RM41.80psf - $33,451,884,576 / $24 per share
[TSH total shares = 1,380,173,509]

Let's see average market value ($4+$8+$16+$24Ă·4)
= RM13 per share
[only one palm oil estate taken for calculation]

TSH indeed severely undervalued?

2022-06-09 16:18

calvintaneng

Thank you WIZMAN

In the multitude of counselors there is clarity and certainty

These current figures speak volumes

Today my buy queue at Rm1.25 not met. Will try again tomorrow

2022-06-09 18:39

StartOfTheBull

Wait another 1 year, 2 years, 3, 4, 5 years or longer? Sometimes EQ is more important than IQ. Isn't it?

2022-06-09 21:01

calvintaneng

invest don't trade as Tsh's potential has long term upside potential

Tsh has proposed to use

Rm45 millions from Bulugan sale money for replanting

but it has allocated Rm47 millions for infrar works

this shows land improvement supercedes planting

it indicates the pivoting into asset value enhancement in Nusantara

who knows later Tsh might spin off a property arm like

ioi corp to ioi property

simedarby to sime property

and these palm oil and real estate stocks taken private

Kulim

Kulim was Rm2.50
Taken private by Johor Corp and converted two palm oil estates in Pengerang into thriving townships

Datuk Hashim took Amcorp private at 90 sen (was 55 sen) because of its Seabana Cove lands in Pengerang

So Tsh's land boom in Nusantara is a long term positive

2022-06-10 08:48

calvintaneng

Kulim at Rm2.50 was suddenly taken private at Rm4.00 with 60% upside

Kwantas was 50 sen and suddenly taken private at Rm1.65 (200% upside) in Sabah palm oil estates

Tsh has more valuable assets and prospects than both Kulim and Kwantas

and now is a real gem of a bargain

2022-06-10 08:50

Investformilkmoney

Calvin really have very high EQ, must learn from you. Many naysayers now targeting Calvin but you still calm and neutral on your replies.

2022-06-10 10:21

OnTime

what if indo decides not to move their capital city?

2022-06-10 10:24

calvintaneng

OnTime

Already passed into law

2022-06-10 11:55

Wizman

BILLIONAIRE GARIBALDI THOHIR OF PT ADARO ENERGY - TSH INDONESIA PALM OIL ESTATE PARTNER
TheStar: Friday 22-4-2022 - Billionaire To Use Profit Boom For Green Shift
JAKARTA: PT Adaro Energy, one of Indonesia’s biggest coal miners, is shifting to renewable energy after
making a fortune from surging commodity prices. The company led by Garibaldi Thohir, the older brother
of State Enterprises Minister Erick Thohir, is building solar-powered plants with over 200 megawatt
capacity on retired mine sites in Kalimantan, Batam and Bintan provinces.

It will also build hydro power plants in a green industrial park being set up by the government in North
Kalimantan.“We want to cease our dependence on coal,” Garibaldi said in an interview on Tuesday.
We want to “move to renewable energy with the final goal of having an entity called Adaro Green Energy.”

Adaro plans to use the excess profit last year and this year to help fund its 10-year pivot to clean energy,
said Garibaldi. The group’s net income soared more than 500% in 2021 as coal prices surged amid a
supply crunch. Profit is forecast to climb further this year as the Ukraine war is pushing prices even
higher. The company’s move bodes well for Indonesia, the world’s largest thermal coal exporter, which
needs to double the national renewable energy capacity by 2025 to reduce carbon emissions. For a
start, new unit Adaro Aluminium Indonesia will develop a facility in Kalimantan Green Industrial Park
to produce 500,000 tonnes of aluminum ingots in 2024.

Thohir said he wants the group to take part in president Joko Widodo’s ambition to develop an end-to-
end electric vehicle (EV) battery industry in the country that is also the world’s largest producer of nickel,
a key material in battery making.Indonesia could become a world leader of the industry in 20 years’ time,
he said. About US$1bil (RM4.28bil) may be spent on the smelter to cater for metal demand for EV
components, he said, adding that the co will seek a partner for the project. “I see cars with eco-labels
in the future and we can have those cars built here in Indonesia,” Garibaldi said. — Bloomberg

Market Talk:-
The Indonesian Government on the shifting of the administrative capital of Indonesia to East
Kalimantan has a positive effect as it will accelerate the economic and infrastructure
development in East Kalimantan where TSH plantation is located.

TSH bought the North Kalimantan estate together with Indonesia partner [10% stake]
Garibaldi Thohir in 2011. The remaining 4 estates in Kutai Barat & Timur which TSH
bought 2006-2013 could share the same trusted, well-connected powerful
Indonesia partner [10% stake],Garibaldi Thohir.

2022-06-10 16:57

Wizman

To recap bursa announcement on 4th April 2022:-
TSH 90% owned subsidiary, Bulungan Citra Agro Persada [BCAP] sold 13,214.90 hec together with adjoining
683.36 hec Tanah Kuning village & Mangkupadi village,Tanjung Palas,North Kalimantan to PT Kawasan
Industri Kalimantan Indonesia [KIKI] & PT Kalimantan Industrial Park Indonesia [KIPI].

For shareholders' information, the land disposal is regarded as a related party transaction & the said land
has been earmarked for the development of an integrated green industrial estate in North Kalimantan
by the government of Indonesia.

Seller: BCAP shareholder - TSH Logistics Sdn Bhd 90% & Garibaldi Thohir 10%.
Buyer: Indonesia's PT Kawasan Industri Kalimantan Indonesia [KIKI]
& PT Kalimantan Industrial Park Indonesia [KIPI].
Raden Harry Zulnardy is the Director of BCAP & KIKI & KIPI.
[pls read bursa announcement on 4April'22, page16:section9(ii)]

2022-06-10 17:02

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