Fabien _the efficient capital allocator

fabienwks | Joined since 2010-12-10

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2022-01-19 20:22 | Report Abuse

Petronas Chemicals Group Bhd (PetChem) plans to build a 60,000 tonnes per annum melamine plant in Gurun, Kedah, which will make it the sole melamine producer in Southeast Asia.

In a statement, PetChem said the plant is targeted to come onstream in 2024 but did not indicate how much it is investing in the plant.

It said the project is in line with its journey to expand into derivatives by adding value to the molecules from its existing products such as urea, methanol, polyolefins and more. It plans to use urea produced from its wholly-owned Petronas Chemicals Fertiliser Kedah (PCFK) unit as feedstock to produce the melamine.

“This is a significant milestone for PCG (PetChem) and further strengthens our strategy of diversifying our product portfolio.

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2022-01-12 20:25 | Report Abuse

Will break above 3 very soon

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2021-12-17 20:18 | Report Abuse

Very good results indeed

News & Blogs

2021-12-05 20:03 | Report Abuse

The market is not fair. That's pretty obvious.

For oil palm estates that are RSPO-compliance, no premium was accorded while ESG risks were heavily punished. I believe SimePLT valuation was heavily discounted due to the ban by the US CBP.

Two companies with low EV/ha are SimePLT and GenP.

News & Blogs

2021-11-19 21:33 | Report Abuse

So far the earnings result have been impressive

UTDPLT
SIMEPLT
SWKPLNT
IJMPLNT

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2021-11-05 19:59 | Report Abuse

Will revisit this stock again if it ever drop below 5

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2021-11-01 10:06 | Report Abuse

The increase in windfall tax levy threshold would benefit UP as most of its estates operations are based in Peninsular Malaysia.

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2021-10-28 14:48 | Report Abuse

PDB FPSO back again

Upstream reported that Yinson Holdings, still owning the 300,000mt VLCC Hawk (formerly Apollonia), is now poised again to supply Petrobras with a mid-sized floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) vessel for the Parque das Baleias (PDB) field in the Campos basin.

Recall that Petrobras had ruled out Yinson, the only bidder, for re-tendering outside budget parameters in August this year with indications that the second tender was going to be terminated without success.

However, Petrobras has reversed its decision. It is now negotiating with Yinson, and the two parties are understood to be close to signing a letter of intent for the charter.

Upstream indicated that Yinson has agreed to a 3% discount to a flat day rate of US$624,110 from an earlier proposed US$645,750 in May this year, which was deemed too high by the Petrobras bidding committee.

Petrobras intends to charter an FPSO over 22.5 years with a storage capacity of 1mil barrels of crude, processing capacity of 100,000 barrels per day of oil and 5mil cubic metres per day of natural gas for the development. The unit is expected to feature a total of 21 development wells, including 14 oil producers and seven water injectors.

While tentatively scheduled to begin operation in 2024, Upstream indicated that the commencement could be extended by another year to address delays in the awarding of the contract.

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2021-10-26 23:08 | Report Abuse

The Term Sheet sets the salient terms of the joint venture between both parties with majority stake owned by Yinson to provide EV charging stations in Malaysia, building upon the ChargEV network with over 400 charging stations nationwide established by MGTC, which will be injected into the joint venture.

The joint venture will strategically leverage on Yinson’s experience in logistics, sustainability governance, technology development and synergies from its diverse business divisions, as well as ChargEV’s existing infrastructure and position as the EV charging station infrastructure provider.

This follows Yinson’s recent investments into e-mobility, autonomous driverless solutions and electric harbour crafts, presenting the next step in Yinson’s roadmap of building an integrated green mobility solution.

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2021-10-26 23:04 | Report Abuse

Yinson Holdings Bhd through its wholly-owned subsidiary Yinson Green Technologies (M) Sdn Bhd has signed a term sheet with GreenTech Malaysia Alliances Sdn Bhd, a wholly-owned subsidiary under the Malaysian Green Technology and Climate Change Corporation, to accelerate the development of electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure in Malaysia. According to the term sheet, Yinson will hold a majority stake in the joint venture, which will provide EV charging stations in Malaysia.

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2021-10-21 11:34 | Report Abuse

According to Fortune Business Insights, the global organic cocoa market size was USD 532.45 million in 2020. The market is projected to grow from USD 570.95 million in 2021 to USD 942.57 million by 2028, exhibiting a CAGR of 7.42% during the forecast period.

News & Blogs

2021-10-18 13:33 | Report Abuse

what should you do when there is persistently high inflation

1) Energy related companies (O&G and petrochemicals)
2) Commodities producer (Plantation)
3) Cryptocurrencies (BTC & ETH)

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2021-10-18 13:08 | Report Abuse

remember 2010 to 2014, we saw O&G boom. Uzma was one of them

current situation is somewhat similar albeit driven mainly by supply disruption. but with more borders reopening, US in Nov...expect demand push as well

i believe $90-100 is within range towards end of the year

News & Blogs

2021-10-13 22:53 | Report Abuse

historically, Malaysian plantation average EV/ha is about $26,000 (based on actual transactions)

almost all plantation companies are being valued at depressed valuations notwithstanding the high CPO prices, thanks to ESG issues

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2021-10-13 22:41 | Report Abuse

There is greater chance of paying more than 12 sen. earnings and FCF on track to grow y-o-y

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2021-10-12 19:47 | Report Abuse

Bought some SHANG. Laggard for tourism recovery play

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2021-10-11 14:45 | Report Abuse

Malaysia's end-September palm oil stocks fell more sharply than expected as export demand surged while production stayed flat, data by the nation's palm oil board showed on Monday, supporting prices that are already trading near all-time highs.

Inventories at the world's second-largest producer dropped 6.99% from the previous month to 1.75 million tonnes, falling from a 14-month peak, data from the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) showed.

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2021-10-11 14:45 | Report Abuse

Malaysia's end-September palm oil stocks fell more sharply than expected as export demand surged while production stayed flat, data by the nation's palm oil board showed on Monday, supporting prices that are already trading near all-time highs.

Inventories at the world's second-largest producer dropped 6.99% from the previous month to 1.75 million tonnes, falling from a 14-month peak, data from the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) showed.

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2021-10-07 16:02 | Report Abuse

UP is top tier plantation

First half profit and FCF more than 200mil. Net cash about 7% of market cap

They are the most efficient planter with high extraction rate & oil yield

Their production cost is the lowest at less than 1,300/MT

Hence, they will enjoy huge profit margin at current elevated CPO

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2021-10-06 19:57 | Report Abuse

Luckily bought some on dip.

Put my money where my mouth is!

Fabien _the efficient capital allocator Smaller size tech is closing up the gap in valuation

Assuming a flattish q-o-q growth, annualised EPS is about 9 sen

At PER of 25x market value = 2.25

Its close peers such as Kobay is reasonably valued at forward PER of 40x

If you factor in profit growth and 10% discount to valuation multiple, WONG may fetch as much as RM4

24/09/2021 2:32 PM

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2021-10-06 19:56 | Report Abuse

Yinson has pivoted to become a energy infrastructure & GREEN TECHNOLOGY company

wait for them to unveil their green tech roadmap

6th largest FPSO company. FPSO market bound to do well as oil on upward trajectory

330MW of renewable assets already operational or under construction

major renewable energy play with 3 to 5GW pipeline

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2021-10-06 16:34 | Report Abuse

Finally moving!


Fabien _the efficient capital allocator GENP is undervalued at current valuation

on top of that, you will have recovery angle here too with re-opening of premium outlets

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/govt-open-genting-highlands-mel...
21/09/2021 8:06 PM

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2021-10-06 12:09 | Report Abuse

3 bil market cap

congrats guys!

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2021-10-05 20:08 | Report Abuse

Brent poised to rally towards $100

3 days ago Cathie Wood warned on high oil price. back then it was $77

guess she was wrong both on the trajectory and the demand peak

oil is not dead YET. inflation is not TRANSITORY

what should you do when there is persistently high inflation

1) Energy related companies (O&G and petrochemicals)
2) Commodities producer (Plantation)
3) Cryptocurrencies (BTC & ETH)

Stock

2021-10-05 20:08 | Report Abuse

Brent poised to rally towards $100

3 days ago Cathie Wood warned on high oil price. back then it was $77

guess she was wrong both on the trajectory and the demand peak

oil is not dead YET. inflation is not TRANSITORY

what should you do when there is persistently high inflation

1) Energy related companies (O&G and petrochemicals)
2) Commodities producer (Plantation)
3) Cryptocurrencies (BTC & ETH)

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2021-10-05 15:39 | Report Abuse

Maybank TP pricing in potential 2 FPSO wins

FPSO Enauta - $500mil
1 large scale FPSO - $1bil capex

Both contributing SOP RM4.76/share

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2021-10-05 11:05 | Report Abuse

RM6 breaching soon

Oil will reach $90/bbl

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2021-09-24 14:32 | Report Abuse

Smaller size tech is closing up the gap in valuation

Assuming a flattish q-o-q growth, annualised EPS is about 9 sen

At PER of 25x market value = 2.25

Its close peers such as Kobay is reasonably valued at forward PER of 40x

If you factor in profit growth and 10% discount to valuation multiple, WONG may fetch as much as RM4

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2021-09-23 14:57 | Report Abuse

WONG potentially could be a multi bagger. 200+ market cap. lots of room to catch up with its peers

the various investments by MNC, Lam Research and Simmtech will benefit them in the long run

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2021-09-21 20:22 | Report Abuse

Always remember market can remain irrational far longer than you can remain solvent!

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2021-09-21 20:06 | Report Abuse

GENP is undervalued at current valuation

on top of that, you will have recovery angle here too with re-opening of premium outlets

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/govt-open-genting-highlands-melaka-and-pulau-tioman-new-destinations-under-tourism-bubble

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2021-09-17 18:53 | Report Abuse

TG management has shown that they are as average as the averaged retailer when it comes to investing. so much money wasted at share buy back at sky high prices. they really think they can overtake Maybank as the most valued company in Malaysia. what a illusion. ever heard of mean reversion?

News & Blogs

2021-09-16 12:49 | Report Abuse

Kumpulan Fima has about 18,000 hectares in Kalimantan Indonesia and is very profitable.

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2021-09-07 20:22 | Report Abuse

Management has been very transparent in addressing the various pain points concerning the sector

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2021-09-03 19:56 | Report Abuse

in 2-5 years time, you will find out...either the next Evergrande or Berkshire. 2 opposite tail events of a bell curve, no middle outcome

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2021-09-01 12:02 | Report Abuse

Aluminium broke above $2700

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2021-08-31 19:37 | Report Abuse

Their acquisition of SCHOKINAG in January last year allows them an immediate access to the European market. The Ivory Coast expansion is targeted to increase sales..about half of grinding capacity to be supplied to SCHOKINAG.

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2021-08-31 19:32 | Report Abuse

GCB is a proxy of post covid recovery play. With EU & US borders opening up for tourism, expect certain levels of pent-up demand to boost recovery.

GCB is 4th largest cocoa grinder in the world. Current market cap is 3bil-ish, trailing PER is around 18x.

With Ivory Coast commissioning expected in 2H2022, they are in a sweet spot to ride the recovery.

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2021-08-25 17:07 | Report Abuse

There are a few ways to hedge against rising inflation

1) Gold
2) Commodities producer
3) Energy-related companies
4) Cryptocurrencies

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2021-08-25 17:03 | Report Abuse

Aluminium is steadily hovering above 2600

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2021-08-25 12:05 | Report Abuse

Both FPI & SAM in my portfolio...has turned into 1x bagger


Fabien "The Efficient Capital Allocater" Both SKPRES & FPI announced record quarterly revenue & net profit

EMS companies are benefitting from the diversion of supply chain and reduced reliance on China

The growth story has always been there. The coming earnings announcement would validate such narratives.

SKP today have touched its year high of 1.95

I have two EMS in my portfolio, SKPRES & FPI

Watch this space

19/11/2020 7:43 PM

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2021-08-25 12:02 | Report Abuse

Both FPI & SAM in my portfolio...has turned into 1x bagger

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2021-08-24 19:26 | Report Abuse

Results would have been much better if not because of MCO restrictions. Production volume was not optimised. 1H results were still impressive nevertheless, net profit up 140% y-o-y.

Phase 3 yet to commence. 2022 will see the full benefits of the increased capacity taking advantage of increasing demand due to structural shift towards green commodities. Expect further room for aluminium prices to go higher or at least remain elevated.

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2021-08-24 15:16 | Report Abuse

2bil market cap breached. congrats guys!

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2021-08-18 18:34 | Report Abuse

PE less than 12x

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2021-08-13 19:29 | Report Abuse

Property developer Paramount Corp Bhd has completed its first fintech investment by acquiring a 30% stake in Omegaxis Sdn Bhd, the holding company of Peoplender Sdn Bhd, the operator of peer-to-peer (P2P) financing platform Fundaztic.

Paramount noted that its investment in Omegaxis is in line with its five-year (2020-2024) strategic plan to identify new sources of earnings, particularly those in the digital space, to future proof the group for long term sustainability.

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2021-08-06 13:01 | Report Abuse

@nickinvests congrats, SAM has breached 2bil market cap

pang72 the most happy saw him at Genetec too