Posted by George111 > 2022-11-26 03:17 | Report Abuse

Harapan received lower Malay support in GE15, from an estimated 25 percent in 2018 to an estimated 11 percent in 2022.

Answer : Yeah! Scary! PH only received 11% votes from majority malays! PN got over 54%! This is a very very scary trend! Come GE16, PH will get like 1% votes from majority malays!
So Anwar, this is going to be uphill task for you! If you underperform, that's it! Pkr will dissappear from majority malays radar!

Posted by Sslee > 2022-11-26 07:27 | Report Abuse

This is how voters across ethnicity voted between 2008 (GE12) to 2022 (GE15)

MALAYS
2008: PR 41%; BN 59%
2013: PR 37%; BN 62%
2018: PH 25%; BN 43%; PAS 32%
2022: PH 11%; BN 33%; PN 54%

CHINESE
2008: PR 64%; BN 35%;
2013: PR 85%; BN 15%;
2018: PH 91%; BN 8%; PAS 0%
2022: PH 95%; BN 5%; PN 0%

INDIANS
2008: PR 65%; BN 34%
2013: PR 50%; BN 48%
2018: PH 81%; BN 18%; PAS 0%
222: PH 83%; BN 16%; PN 0%

KEY OBSERVATIONS:

1. Between 2008 to 2022, the Chinese vote share won by PR/PH increased from 64% (2008) to 95% (2022).

2. Between 2008 to 2022, the Malay vote share won by PR/PH decreased from 41% (2008) to 11% (2022).

3. Between 2008 to 2013, the Malay vote share won by BN increased from 59% to 62%, while the Malay vote share won by PAS/PN increased from 32% to 54%.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

1. There is no more Chinese votes to be won by PH. It has reached its peak. This means that PH cannot win anymore seats by relying on Chinese support. To win more seats, Malay support is needed.

2. We cannot assume that BN’s Malay support is PH’s Malay support. The current cooperation between BN and PH is at most a temporary stop-gap measure to ease rising tensions, but it will not last long. The Malay ground is unhappy with such cooperation and it could lead to whatever Malay votes BN have swinging over to PN.

3. At this rate, in GE16, PH will be a non-Malay Opposition, PN will a Malay Government.

CONCLUSION

PH needs to find ways to win Malay support.

So DAP leaders and supportors please stop flogging a dead MCA and do more to win Malay vote for PH

Posted by George111 > 2022-11-26 12:39 | Report Abuse

SsLee! Correct! The anti Dap sentiment used by PN has been very successful judging from GE15 result! Remember, even BN used anti Dap card too!
So it's very important for Dap leaders to stop using racial cards! I have warn about this for years!
We are seeing green wave that is unstoppable! If PH unity government fail, then there's no more 3rd chance! This is it! No more excuses! No more self inflicted daily dramas or screaming shouting in parliment!
PH has to be adult in the room or else, there won't be any room left!

Posted by George111 > 2022-11-26 12:40 | Report Abuse

PH only has 11% majority malay support! Going forward, if PH fails, that's it!

Posted by firehawk > 2022-11-26 15:48 | Report Abuse

Besides analysis on ethnic, not sure whether there is analysis on number of voters difference between constituencies, I observed that, there are big differences between constituencies, examples,
Lenggong (in northern Perak), 36,975 voters
Padang Rengas, 38,722 voters
Putra Jaya, 42,696 voters
Labuan, 44,515 voters
Bangi, 303,517 voters
Kota Raja, 244,807 voters
Damansara, 239,203 voters

1 vote in Lenggong worth more than 8 votes in Bangi ..... is this a discrimination? should this be rectified?

Posted by firehawk > 2022-11-26 16:06 | Report Abuse

In the examples above, the first 4 MPs can cast 4 votes in Parliament, while the Bangi MP can cast 1 vote !

Posted by Income > 2022-11-26 16:17 | Report Abuse

Next GE16, Pas will kaw tim Parliament?
More Undi 18 vote for Pas.
No joke. But this 5 years, PH is still temporarily safe.
How to win Malay votes? Even genius Rafizi also no idea how to win Malay votes.

Posted by Income > 2022-11-26 16:20 | Report Abuse

Votes are confidential. How do they know the percentage of ethnic voters for each party? Haiz

Posted by George111 > 2022-11-26 16:39 | Report Abuse

PH only won 11% majority malay votes!

Posted by DavidValentine > 2022-11-26 17:55 | Report Abuse

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Posted by Income > 2022-11-26 19:19 | Report Abuse

David … you out of topic discuss? Haha

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Posted by Income > 2022-11-26 21:42 | Report Abuse

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Posted by stockraider > 2023-04-25 11:36 | Report Abuse

Malays should wake up....They must support PH, BN and GPS coalition b4 too late loh!

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-04-25 18:18 | Report Abuse

Dap 95%... As long as there is Chinese unity, Chinese will be ok

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-04-25 18:19 | Report Abuse

Trouble only if no Chinese unity

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-04-25 18:21 | Report Abuse

Eventually umno will be back....and for next 60 years it will be umno dap PKR....in the government front.

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-04-25 18:24 | Report Abuse

In 10 years China will be so powerful nobody will dare to bully Chinese anywhere in the world

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-04-25 18:26 | Report Abuse

Whoever forms the government nobody wants the economy to die

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-04-25 18:26 | Report Abuse

Dap is good enough to have staying power

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-04-25 18:27 | Report Abuse

Pas will never form federal government....don't worry so much...

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-04-25 18:28 | Report Abuse

Even pn and muhidin has expiry time....nothing to worry

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-04-26 10:26 | Report Abuse

In conclusion dap will replace MCA and mic in a strong government coalition for the next 60 years.

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Posted by speakup > 2023-06-09 07:57 | Report Abuse

Get ready for state elections! Coming sooon.....

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Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-08-07 19:10 | Report Abuse

Votes are confidential. How do they know the percentage of ethnic voters for each party? Haiz

-----

Same question....rubbish in rubbish out

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-08-07 19:13 | Report Abuse

Why worry so much? It will be BN dap PKR instead of umno MCA mic

Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-08-07 22:49 | Report Abuse

pn has peak in last elections.

Posted by Zhuge_Liang > 2023-08-08 09:34 |

Post removed.Why?

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Posted by EngineeringProfit > 2023-08-26 18:53 | Report Abuse

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Posted by qqq47660 > 2023-12-13 19:32 | Report Abuse

malaysia cannot depend on voters alone.

malaysia has to produce good independent leaders.

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Posted by EngineeringProfit > 2024-09-14 16:02 | Report Abuse

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Posted by EngineeringProfit > 2024-09-14 16:02 | Report Abuse

Prevention Is better than cure. Avoiding Unintended Consequences: Many policies, though beneficial on the surface, may have unintended consequences that could fuel racial disparities or tensions. The Unity Ministry, with its dedicated focus on national cohesion, is well-positioned to detect these potential outcomes. By involving this ministry in the early stages, Malaysia can avoid costly mistakes that may have long-term negative implications for interracial relationships.