Be careful guys. Tomorrow will be another red journey. Dont dare to catch the falling knives. Price will be fast drop for another day. Then start slowly drop for few days. Then another huge drop in a day. That is the signal of rebound for the next day.
When i said need to be cautious, i remember a guy called HNWInvestor said i need to read more. Said like i dont know anything. Now dono why so quiet. What i said wasnt wrong isnt it?? Lol.
If anyone wana buy, can try at MA100 rebound. If MA100 break, most probably will keep going down unless there is another stimulant to make gloves demand very strong.
KUALA LUMPUR (Sept 15): The supply of the rubber gloves will not be able to meet the demand in the next three years, said Hartalega Holdings Bhd executive chairman Kuan Kam Hon.
“Right now, there is an enormous shortage (due to the pandemic)... We do not even know whether we (the industry) have enough to meet the demand for 120 billion more pieces of gloves in the next three years,” he said.
>>>
Demand of 120 billion more pieces of gloves in the Netx 3 years , can supply meet the Demand in 1 year ?
In terms of an increase in global production, CGSCIMB in a recent report noted that China glove makers had announced aggressive expansion plans.
“Recent media reports indicate that two China glove makers, Blue Sail Medical and Intco Medical, have ambitious plans to ramp up their nitrile glove production capacity. We gather that Blue Sail aims to raise its nitrile glove production capacity to 36.1 billion by end-2023 from 4.3 billion at end-2019.
“Intco plans to expand its nitrile glove capacity to 59.2 billion per annum by end-2023 from five billion at end-2019.”
Still waiting from you to see your top 10 counter after you did a research and found it is the safest and profitable.
He should be in loss making counter and help newbies and put his research for good use but postings on profit making counter is kinda weird behavior and it will backfire soon.
The results are exceptional, it goes without saying. It beat market expectation of RM 1-1.1 billion by a huge mile. This is what we call a blow out quarter. At RM 1.33 Billion the results exceeded consensus by close to 20-30% minimum. Full year 2020, the results is RM 1.9 Billion which flat out beat consensus of the media RM 1.48 billion by almost 28%.
Of course before this, many critics said Top Glove expensive with trailing PER 70x. With the latest results, the trailing PER fell to 38x. Forward PER, is only 13.6X . That is assuming that next 4 QR maintains at this net profit and there is no further growth which is not likely.
I would like to highlight what impressed me the most are the utilization rate is close to 100% which allowed Super economies of scale for them. Additionally, they have repaid their debts and turned net cash of RM 2.34 Billion. Hence the share buy back earlier was only a drop in the ocean for the company. With that they further paid out 8.5 sens dividend (combine earlier payout) which translates to 50% dividend pay out ratio of profits close to Hartalega's 60%.
To put things into perspective, Top Glove results of RM 1.33 Billion net profit this QR flat out beat Maybank's recent QR of RM 900+million and Public Bank's RM 1 billion net profit. I think this results validates my bullishness of the sector and continued confident outlook of having Glove stocks in my investment portfolio.
This bellweather results is an indicator for the entire sector. Please note this also shows how the others would do well, especially when you see how much Nitrile Gloves demand has risen closed to 31% vs Latex only 7%. Riverstone, Hartalega, Kossan, Sri Trang, UG Healthcare, Supermax, Comfort will all do well continuously.
For those who are not sure what to do, again it comes down to you investment horizon, risk appetite and ability to hold. I am of the view Top Glove has shown its able to deliver regardless of the adversity, negative news and what not. I have confidence Top Glove may really exceed Maybank to become Malaysia stock with largest market capital.
The market was seemed to be manipulated yesterday when all glove stocks were sold at low points at 14:45,16:00, 16:35. This is because IB did the shortselling! “Permitted Short Selling (PSS) is not affected by the temporary suspension of short selling, as PSS is necessary for market makers to market make the relevant securities such as exchange traded funds efficiently.” Market maker = IB can shortsell !!! IB short selling to create havoc in the market because of the call warrants issued expiring soon, esp in Oct. Many of them are in bad loss esp those issued with Low premium before April.
The short selling sold 17 Sept must deliver the shares in 2 days time. Thats called T+2. Those sold today will still buy back tomorrow coz there is such a thing as Express Transfer to deliver shares to you in 2 days time. Its a gamble, so today will be buy back time for these IBs. That means the rebound must not more than 64 Sen in order for IB to win big. If there are a lot of buyers today these Short Sellers will lose. These are the warrants going to be expired. (i) C77/CIMB /28 September (ii) C78/Kenanga/8 October (iii) C80/CIMB /27 October (iv)C 81/RHB /23 October (v) C 83/CIMB /27 October
All will cause banks to lose tons of money right esp Maybank c84.
All glove supporters. The call warrants is a big issue now as dirty hand manipulate the market deliberately despite knowing to true value of glove stocks. We have to stay united, share this info to the our community to fight against wicked IBs who use many tactics and rumours to shatter the market ... and shortselling is the latest manipulation!
We have to hold on to our shares to win big together. The bosses of glove stocks led by TS Lim WC will lead us too win big as Gloves is the very few stocks that really make profits in this pandemics. 1. Strong earnings visibility for the next 12 months (min) with / without vaccine
2. Shortage is acute especially for nitrile Gloves
3. ASP price increased has been and will remain elevated for some time
4. Structural change in demand and hygiene habits
5. Monopolistic position of Malaysia supply to the Global markets
6. Valuation is still lagging actual earnings growth and it will be reflected in coming quarters
7. Huge cash inflow for Glove players. Cash is king especially during weak economic environment.
8. No other better sector / industry / stocks for alternative investment opportunities in the near term.
9. Some local funds / local investors may not believe in the Glove sector. But I believe in it strongly. My belief is objective based on data, facts and numbers. Not emotions. There is deep value in Glove sector especially those with strong quality management like Hartalega,, Supermax and Top Glove.
10. Lastly, the Glove sector is very relatable to retail investors who can touch, feel or understand the nature of the business due to usage in daily life.
RIP boys gonna drop till new low then can pickup i dont see any reason it will reach 4th floor. sad day but its the truth i also cut loss loss about 2.5k
first, tai gor TG boss come out say something positive and very confidence in next few years, then yi gor Harta boss also come out say similar things, all the negative news we heard about gloves are without valid evidence, the only evidence we see is QR from glove counter, all also getting massive profit. I dont really know why the price keeps dropping but I think I personally will keep the share until at least next year.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
YOLOorLOL
350 posts
Posted by YOLOorLOL > 2020-09-17 21:51 | Report Abuse
Yes...me too..waiting for the no1 con man in Malaysia....charlie Angel...keep mention will drop to 1 and sapu in lower price hahahahaahhahahah