MY REASON FOR CHANGING MY MIND FROM A HOLD TO A SELL (after reading Starbiz attached below) (Jay's blog on 'TO AVOID OR BUY" is quite similiar but more well researched. Jay's view is ALSO to AVOID which to me means SELL/TAKE PROFITS)
Analysts differ on whether the worst is over for the company
PETALING JAYA: Analysts are mixed on non-bank lender Malaysia Building Society Bhd’s prospects following its poor results, with some feeling the worst has been priced in, while others feel the company’s prospects will continue to be dampened on the back of continued poor results and the absence of new catalysts.
Notably, Affin Hwang Capital Research has downgraded the stock to a “sell”, stating that its financial performance is likely to remain weak in the coming quarters.
“With the lack of any near term re-rating catalysts, we believe that such rally in its share price offers a good window to realise gains. Therefore, we downgrade our rating for MBSB to a sell with post-rights 12-month price target at 78 sen based on a 0.65 times 2017 price to book value multiple,” said Affin Hwang.
For the second quarter ended June 30, 2016, MBSB’s net profit was down 26.35% to RM63mil on the back of a 6.1% increase in revenue to RM812.52mil. For the six-month period, net profit was down 53.36% to RM97.84mil on the back of a 11.59% jump in revenue to RM1.63bil.
MBSB was down 3 sen to 89 sen yesterday.
MBSB’s second quarter net profit was down primarily due to higher impaired loan allowances, which rose by 34%. The first half results were also below estimates with operating income declining 1.8% as management continued to focus on corporate loans portfolio in place of the higher yielding personal financing portfolio while provisions spiked 69%. “Management has further guided that loan growth is likely to remain modest for the year while provisions will remain elevated up till FY17. As such, we have made some adjustments to our earnings forecast with lower net interest income forecast for its financial year (FY) ended Dec 31, 2016 and FY17, higher impaired loan allowances of RM750mil per annum along with the adjustment for the dilutive impact of the recently concluded rights issue on earnings and net assets per share,” said Affin Hwang.
Provisions aside, MBSB’s financial performance has been disappointing for the past few years as it struggles to grow its pre-provision operating income.
Moreover, MBSB’s path to obtain a banking license could be longer than expected as management are not actively pursuing such license due to its prohibitive cost.
With high P/E, weak results and bleak future.. its price was pushed up from about 70 sen to above 90 sen in just a week. Hmm.. me opine.. just be xtra careful.. dont get trapped..
haha.... only last week those so call "expert" was calling to form groups to tap resources for their members betterment. now where are those guys. so dun trust anyone but yourself. u jump into the pit and out they go leaving u behind......
When Cimb wants to create the biggest Bank in Malaysia with RHB, EPF quietly wants to inject mbsb into the group via the back door bcoz mbsb would failed many stress tests (including impairment charges)
the bloomberg reporter really should have done her homework before saying something. impairment charges from 2014 has been increasing, not decreasing. 1 important fact got wrong and her whole reporting context is misplaced. seriously these info can be easily pulled from Bloomberg (I saw many right behind her)
guys. today all small player finished already... tomorrow big fish is in.. to do their jobs. 26% of this company share is in market.. only.. remember that. EPF will push it high high and high
JAY. THIS HALF BAKED USED INACCURATE FINANCIAL DATA TO PRESENT THEIR MISLEADING ANALAYSIS IS SHOCKING. ALSO THE BIG SHAREHOLDERS HAD ALREADY AVERAGED THEIR COSTS VIA RIGHTS +EXCESS. HENCE UNLIKELY BUY MORE AT THIS JUNCTURE.
Guys to be fair, EPF can easily take this company private if it wants to, the cost to do so would not be difficult at all hence we must put into context when thinking the share price might go down significantly. I see limited downside.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
stonenut2
838 posts
Posted by stonenut2 > 2016-08-10 12:32 | Report Abuse
Oil price have to up. Oil is controlling the market share too.
If oil price up... many counters like mbsb will up too.
the spill effect is too strong.