Here is sharing information forum, anyone can share their bad or good experience, it doesn’t effect the investor decision. More information can be do the sharp analysis, it can be sell, hold or buy again. For new comer or experience investors it will come out different analysis based on their hand on experience. At last people post all the wordings is not offending.
you all in O&G and trapped there is your problem.dont come here and ask us trap ourselves in dayang. Cakap baik baik tak nak dengar,even kids listen better than you
shadowz CIMB TP for Supermax 5.10 is 30% upside RHB TP for Topglove 13.30 also 30% upside comfort 30% upside is 3.00 carepls 30% upside is 1.17 LkL 30% upside is 0.68 ESCERAM 30% upsixe is 0.54
So.next.week.MONDAY must.start buy in again waiting for qr big impressive result for HARTA KOSSAN SUPERMAX. Aim for COMFORT @ CARRPLS should be good, plus small LkL n ESCERAM which is moving up very fast
probability, if your Yin and Yang are so powerful no need to promoting your Luxchemical, kossan, here, something is fishy You know! Go back to dayang, luxechml, and kossan. Your yin and yang is Whatever you give to life, it gives you back. Do not hate anybody
I have sold all my shares even at a loss. I will only start buying Dayang again when its price chart is showing a definite up trend and the oil price recovers to a more reasonable level so that Petronas will increase its operation.
probability i no hate anyone ma.....we need see the positive and negative to balance ma...
i am just a 'balancing force' by nature.... 16/05/2020 9:40 PM. Ya, probability, You*re a denial. saw you support luxechem and supporing gloves counter kossan, as you know the demand of glove will raise by 50 %. or more in coming days. so pls dont talk nonsense here.
Probabity you just to early drink coffee at Dayang We at comfort still having happy hour loh Another 10month we will join you at dayang loh With loading lorry of CASH
Kossan boss said the demand for gloves likely grow 50%.
CIMB Report said ASP increase by 5% to 30%(depending on type of gloves) this quarter, another 10% to 15% next quarter. And order lead time 10-12 months. Profit will grow very significantly next few quarters till 2021. If glove companies cannot meet demand, price will go up again after increase by about 45% in next quarter vs year 2019.
Recently Riverstone (SGX-listed Malaysia's No.5 gloves producer) quarterly result showed 50% jump in profit.
Kossan boss said demand for gloves likely grow 50%.
Latest Analyst Report from CIMB for Supermax. Comfort also expects to achieve higher than expected results in next few quarters. Let Probability buy Dayang.
Supermax Corp
Inputting higher ASP increases
■ We turn more bullish on SUCB’s earnings prospects as we expect its more aggressive ASP increases ahead to lead to stronger margin expansion. ■ Given an order lead time of 10 months, SUCB is confident of pushing higher ASPs given the current favourable supply-demand dynamics in glove sector. ■ Reiterate Add, with higher TP of RM5.10 (26.5x CY21F P/E).
Expecting more aggressive ASP hikes by SUCB
We gather that Supermax (SUCB) is taking a more aggressive stance in raising its average selling prices (ASPs) from Jun-2020 onwards (rise of 10-15% monthly). Note that this is post raising its ASPs by at least 25-30% mom in Apr-2020 (vs. 5-10% by its peers during the same period) on the back of the favourable supply-demand dynamics in the glove sector (due to impact of Covid-19). We gather that SUCB’s current order lead time has further extended to 10-12 months (vs. our assumption of eight months previously) which gives SUCB a longer orderbook visibility of up to May-Jun 2021F.
Manufacturing cum distribution business shines in this situation
As 50% of its gloves are sold under original brand manufacturing (OBM), via its own distribution centres in seven countries (including UK, the US and Europe), we believe SUCB can record higher ASP increases than its peers. This is given that OBM gloves are sold to end-customers directly (bypassing third-party distributors) at distributor prices vs. factory prices. Note that the bulk of SUCB’s peers merely function as OEM suppliers.
Allocating certain capacity for ad-hoc orders, for better margins
We gather that SUCB has been receiving more ad-hoc orders (15-20% of total glove sales) from non-government and government organisations. These orders typically have higher selling prices (premium of >30%) vs. recurring orders, resulting in higher margins for SUCB. In our view, SUCB is able to cater to these additional orders as it has earlier allocated some capacity for this purpose (running at 85-90% utilisation rate vs. peers' 95- 100%) by not fully locking-in its capacity for existing customers.
Raising our FY20-22F EPS by 33.8-59.9%
We raise our FY20-22F EPS by 33.8-59.9%, on the back of: 1) sharper surge in glove sales, 2) stronger-than-expected rise in ASPs, and 3) better profit margins from higher economies of scale and lower raw material prices (we estimate that nitrile butadiene and natural latex prices have declined 14% and 7% YTD, respectively). We have summarised key changes to our assumptions in Fig 2 and 3 (Page 2).
Maintain Add, with a higher TP of RM5.10
Following our EPS hike, our TP rises to RM5.10, still based on 24.5x CY21F P/E (30% discount to weighted average CY21F P/E of Malaysia glove sector ex. SUCB). Our Add call is retained. In our view, SUCB continues to be a laggard play in the glove sector, as it is trading at a 47.8% discount to the Malaysian glove sector average CY21F P/E of 35.7x while it has the highest 3-year EPS CAGR of 19.6x (vs. sector average of 14.2%).
Posted by BlessedInvestor > May 16, 2020 10:29 PM | Report Abuse
Kossan boss said the demand for gloves likely grow 50%.
CIMB Report said ASP increase by 5% to 30%(depending on type of gloves) this quarter, another 10% to 15% next quarter. And order lead time 10-12 months. Profit will grow very significantly next few quarters till 2021. If glove companies cannot meet demand, price will go up again after increase by about 45% in next quarter vs year 2019.
Recently Riverstone (SGX-listed Malaysia's No.5 gloves producer) quarterly result showed 50% jump in profit.
Hey Guys, After read you guys discussion, and debation. In the mean time, apparently comfort Berhad is still uptrending Stock. Many oppoutunities up forward almost for time being, overall move higher in price, created by higher swing demand.
Probability comment : still see a lot of emotional people here...very likely it will dip on Monday.
JiasaiHooi : Dear probability - remember what i told u. pls do not hate or curse everyone here very unprofessional u.
Be wait until year 2022 another two years when no more covid - 19. Then u entitled to get your USD 75 oil per barrel or 80 USD oil per barrel, when especially Europe, Asia, Afica, and latin continents and USA are fully opening their economy. if u are lucky u get USD 75 per barrel of Oil. if most normally stable at rm 50 per barrel but it woukd be in 2021 or 2022. you can wait.
-raw material price has dropped significantly -RM depreciate against ringgit at least 5% -production at maximum capacity -ASP more than 5%.... will be much higher in few months.
@proability Tmr ur oils limit up, good luck and pls go back ur oils forum. Haha not everyone like you, go cure and spread bad news when u dun hold any glove stock. Or maybe u have before but already cutloss that’s why so angry and barking here.
Not only unprofessional also very no ethical. Wish u all the best in your investment and success in the future .
Please be caution cause WTI contract for May will expire on Tuesday (19 May midnight) and WTI traders will start to sell/dump a day before expiry which is on Monday night (KLSE closed) when US market start to open the price may go into negative or lower than $10 and this will cause panic the next day. Historically we have seen this happen and when this does then the brent will also go down by 5%. For the past 2 months we all know that there were limited storage, so who ever committed to hold WTI Oil will need have storage by end of this month to take and store their oil loads. If they are not able to do that then the classic dump at Zero value will take place hence the price will be readjusted to lower. My advice is to hold on until next Thursday to invest, increase or average in any O&G counters.
next week is HARTA KOSSAN SUPERMAX release result. hold tight and enjoy the ride. Dun simply sell your ticket or let others to steal your ticket. I said if you buy at average 2.10.2.20 you no need to worry. Because even last week drop from 2.75 to 1.98 that day it bound back above 2.20. Last week when uncle posted he all in comfort that day also shot up to 1.38 and next day morning go up to 2.57.. although closed at 2.31. but if you buy at 2.10-2.20 and never do anything in between up and down.. you still make profits... lol. only those who scare and cutloss below 2.20 loss the money.... like what uncle said you can just have to wait for make money.
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Posted by Boon Keng > 2020-05-16 21:04 | Report Abuse
@hungerr let see on Monday u would know.