Wow, US stocks make a monster comeback. Dow rallies more than 700 points from its session low. This is the type of mkt volatility we would see this year.
Hua An should rebound today....from yesterday's shakeout.
Thanks harlem for sharing , truly appreciate very much. Cyclone Iris hit Queensland , Australia the past few days causing a few factories to close and the supply for coking coal interupted.
Harlem, Huaan buy his coal unwashed, so he pay less for his coal, refer to his qr report page 9. His coal cost him about RMB1,200. You can compare his revenue and deduct his cost of sale and you will found out his real cost.
Huaan , operating expenses only RM 4.086 m for the last QR and unaudited 2017 the expenses only RM 21.869 m as compared to RM 237.797 m , the audited expenses for year 2016. This shows that Huaan has reduced the expenses by more than 90 % ! That is well done for Huaan .
Current assets is almost 4 times more than current liabilities. The top line is excellent ie revenue for the last QR is RM 276.679 m whereas the annual unaudited revenue is almost RM 900 m ! Also the net profit is very impressive too with RM 25.685 m in the last Qtr and RM 80.807 m for the year 2017 ! Very very interesting and excellent.
Once the market sentiment improved and the chance of trade war become minimal, Huaan current earning and net profit if maintain it should give a fair value for it share at least RM0.80 in the mid term and at least RM1.0 in the long term. We need to keep watching the Met coke price chart. As long as the met coke price is above RMB1,500 ( currently RMB1,860), Huaan still can be profitable.
Huaan has never called for RI or private placement during bad times, meaning there is positive cash flow for the daily operating activities ever since 2008
The winter season is over, less coal mining in winter season lead to high coal cost while Summer season lead to fall in coal price as all mining resume operations. Also steel demand will pick up in the summer season as most of the construction project will resume opperation and demand for steel will be higher as well as the demand for met coke, main source of income for Huaan.
B4b4, if coking coal @ RMB1860, Huaan will have a big loss... My detail research : Huaan to make a loss of 18-19 million when it report its Q1 next month...
Tipster, B4B4, lets clarify this again, Huaan buy unwashed coal for average price of RMB1,200 and sell met coke for average price of RMB2,101.94. Huaan average quarter production of met coke is about 215000 t. So i do expect Huaan to present an excelent profit this quarter, simply based on these figures. Huaan operating cost in about 4 M (MYR) so about 6.5 M RMB.
Yes, Betta68 , you are right. Sorry for the hitch regarding the met coke price. However,,Huaan is good for investment. Without coke, steel production cannot happened as coke is an essential item for steel. Since coke comes from coking coal, then it is vital to constantly keep the price in check. Thanks Betta68, for the info on the met coke price.
Coking coal and met coke is the same , please correct me if I am wrong. Coking coal will be process by oven heating to have end product which we called coke. Coke is then used to manufacture steel . Please correct me if I am wrong. Thanks.
I fully agree with B4B4 and Beta, and i am very sure that Huaan next qr will be as mutch as profitable as last qr simply because we all assume that production of coke is as usual otherwise we should have seen an annoucement.
Hi Effendy Tay, just for your info, I attended AGM b4, the BOD are very careful with what they say because they can be charge in court . Nobody in the right frame of mind dare to disseminate fake news regarding about company's account.
I think by next week, many insider will have a clear look on what to expect in this quarter and if the share start to move up noticably, then we can assume the quarter is excelent. However, we cannot predict the market sentiment forces that lead to all klci stock to fall drastically regardkess of their fundamental in the last two month, and still on.
60 days for US and China to work things out, I am sure they do, Trump is not the only president who impose tariffs, learn from history, any agreement will have to serve the global economy anyway, cause if US win and reduced their export deficite with China, this means, China will be buying more from US and unlikely that China will reduce its import..
Buy and keep long term.......Revenue for 2017 almost RM 900 m....... net profit RM 80.8 m and bank borrowings very small ie RM 24.9 m , gearing ratio to assets only 0.055 which is very small gearing.
Based on my analysis, Huaan should be able to generate between 30 to 34 million ringgit in net/gross profit for this QR1'18, this is about 14% increase compared to previous report as taking into account the followings:
-short month of Feb (28 days), -the average coal price of RMB1,300 -average sale price of coke RMB2,100, -1.4t coal for every 1t of coke -estimated coke production about 208000 t. -15% by-product revenue -estimated revenue 270 MMYR
Can anyone confirm my understanding or advise if i miss any!. I assumed that the coke production have been maintained as usual and there was not maintenance shut down during these periode.
In addition, the inventories from the unaudited acct as at 2017 is RM 70.515 m. Usually when the cost is low, Huaan will produce more coke at lower cost. These inventories will be sold at a higher price when the demand is up.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
John1234
2,020 posts
Posted by John1234 > 2018-04-05 05:50 | Report Abuse
Wow, US stocks make a monster comeback. Dow rallies more than 700 points from its session low. This is the type of mkt volatility we would see this year.
Hua An should rebound today....from yesterday's shakeout.