A lot of the quarterly profits of Petron is actually stock valuation profits....stock valuations have huge huge impact on quarterly results.....meaning.....a good quarter will be followed by a bad quarter...and vice versa.
Stock valuation contributes to partial earning and will be offset by floating price mechanism ultimately. We should focus on their growth of sales and their refinery efficiency. Shell refinery need to pour alot more of capital to upgrade their facilities to compete with other refiners. While PetronM had upgraded in earlier years, is time to reap the fruits now.
''As one of the country’s major suppliers of petroleum products, PDR had undergone several facility upgrades and optimisation programmes resulting in increased efficiency and long-term viability. PDR proved its capability in product innovation, marking a major milestone, when it produced the country’s first and highest grade gasoline, the Blaze 100RON Euro 4M. It is produced under stringent conditions to meet local and international clean air standards.'' from AR2016
Posted by stockmanmy > May 13, 2017 02:04 PM | Report Abuse plane
let me tell you some thing
A lot of the quarterly profits of Petron is actually stock valuation profits....stock valuations have huge huge impact on quarterly results.....meaning.....a good quarter will be followed by a bad quarter...and vice versa.
CFAs call it regression analysis. Amateurs take last quarter result and multiply by 4.
zexon > May 13, 2017 03:22 PM | Report Abuse
Stock valuation contributes to partial earning and will be offset by floating price mechanism ultimately. We should focus on their growth of sales and their refinery efficiency
Bullz. It's a good things for now. As profit keep increasing, price keep increasing. Why you have to worry. The time to worry is when it reach stagnant growth.
take the article with a pinch of salt - no solid information there except the following:
(1) year 2016 was badly affected by the refinery margins, going forward would be better
(2) Hengyuan forced for Euro 4 implementation (plant has to be upgraded) will cause PetronM to have an edge on its refinery margin and mainly througput (currently its operating at 50% of its capacity).
Petron in its latest published annual report 2016 showed that it had reported a second consecutive year (financial year ended Dec 31) of profit after two consecutive years of losses in FY13 and FY14.
Its latest fourth quarter results saw its revenues rising by some 21% to RM2.29bil from RM1.88bil in the same quarter a year ago while net profit surged almost seven times to RM112.62mil.
Petron attributed the improved revenue to the increase in oil prices and sales volume while net profits were buoyed by the growth in sales volumes and better operating efficiencies.
The company however highlights in its annual report that in the bigger picture, product cracks which are the price differential between crude oil and finished products continued to narrow last year and that these have had an impact on its business.
Petron says that despite these headwinds; it reported an overall stronger year in 2016 due to an expansion in its presence, introducing innovative products and services and strengthened its logistics capabilities.
For Hengyuan, the company is moving forward after the switch in majority shareholder ownership from Shell Overseas Holdings Ltd to Malaysia Hengyuan International Limited (MHIL) in early 2016.
MHIL is an indirect unit of China’s state owned Shandong Hengyuan Petrochemical Group Company Ltd (SHPC) based in Shandong Province.
Hengyuan also recorded a second consecutive year of net profit in FY16 away from three prior years of losses in FY12 to FY14.
Similar to Petron, Hengyuan also notes that product cracks have weakened in 2016 and that had impacted its profit and revenue performance in FY16.
“Gross profit margin was at 10%, comparable to that of 2015, amidst lower revenue, primarily due to stockholding gains of US$1.40 per barrel equivalent to RM188mil, as the average crude and product prices saw a gradual recovery from US$47 per barrel (at the end of 2015) to US$61 per barrel (at the end of 2016),” the company says.
Hengyuan also notes that it is exploring the use of hedging to protect its refining margins.
Meanwhile, Hengyuan’s main focus moving forward however will be the planned implementation of the Euro 4M compliance in October 2018 which will require plant upgrades.
It notes that this is a crucial project to ensure the sustainability of the business and to meet the industry’s future requirements.
The company says that the final investment decision for the project will be presented to the board in the second quarter of the year, with the aim of completing construction in the second half of 2018.
Those suffer the stock loss are the small franchise operators that operate at the rural area. their sales volume are rather low so the inventory turnaround time is not fast enough to caught up with the petrol price changes.
Whereas for Big operators like Petdag, Shell & Petronm, weekly pricing mechanism is good as their inventory turnaround is huge & inventory turnaround time are fast. This will help to minimizes the quantum fluctuations of the income.
suregain, looks like you are not fully understand PetronM businesses. Because of this ignorance, fear has conquered you. You can't be successful if you're ruled by fear. Back to basic, you need to do own study and fully understand their businesses, how they make money and etc. Not asking questions on the forum and looking for answers btw posted negative comments and hope to drag the price down.
You jump too fast to conclude next quarter result. You cant even to predict 1st quarter result and now you talk about 2nd quarter report?
OPEC 26th May meeting expect to extend oil cut, this probably going to support oil price. Isn't higher oil price will affect PetronM crack spread negatively?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Equityengineer
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Posted by Equityengineer > 2017-05-13 13:01 | Report Abuse
I choose to believe the 40Cents eps calculations... And why not..