The capital reduction proposed: if one is holding 100,000 units now (which is of 1.00 par), will he still have 100,000 after it becomes 0.10 par? Or is there a share consolidation too as what had happened with others, like TimedotCom? Usually, in this kind of exercise, you'd end up with only one-tenth. But the share price will be adjusted upwards, of course, due to less shares floating around.
MC, the proposed rights issue, par value value reduction, share premium account reduction will not affect the AMOUNT of share you hold. there is no mentioning of share consolidation. like timedotcom share consolidation is cosmetic, not being label penny stock for big cap counter. anywhere MC just to ask what will happened if mas cw expired will it become zero or half sen.
If I'm not mistaken, after a CWs expiry, the holder either gets money in the form of the difference as per its ex. price and ratio OR nothing back if it fails to strike. That's how I understand it. In a way, it's somewhat fortunate that the holder doesn't have to fork out the difference when a CW doesn't strike:-)
A 3:2 rights means the investor will have more than twice what he already have now after subscribing, right? 100,000 now + 150,000 rights = 250,000. This is major and it's not surprising EPF is paring down its shares. I don't think it will sell all. But at the same time we don't know how many more shares it intends to sell. And what about the other substantial shareholders? If they start selling also then the price will slide further. Will it get down to 0.60? Not impossible. Everything depends on what the big boys' plans are.
Thanks MC, very painful regretted never sell early. OK not only it is "major" it is lose lose situation to those holding on to MAS shares. Shareholder won't get anything except pumping in more money, unlike Junior Sukuk which is for fund raising they get guaranteed return. Shareholders have better choice rather than pumping money to MAS. On top of that did you ever see the CRITICAL SUPPORT for the MAS share price lately they allow it to go down even further. All this while who is supporting MAS share price. BASI BUSUK lagi BUSUK. Before that epf is supporting at 1.00 and selling to buyer at 1.01 to 1.03 range. what about NOW??? all the CW already almost around 50% premium (lesson learned from CW), yes mas-cn expiry period is attractive but if MAS share continue to remain stagnant say 0.85 plus economic slowdown, it will be doomsday, very risky MC. one more thing is that the maths for CW most critical adjustment lies with (R/S) 0.60 rights vs 0.85 share. if 0.60 vs 0.7 the adjustment will be 0.96 exercise price for MAS-CK (ex 1.05) & 0.914 for MAS-CN (ex 1.00). In a more positive scenario, lately the sell down by epf WHO are these willing buyers collecting. ??? maybe they will pump it back??? i am not certain about it, "wait & see" until things get clear. well this is all my personal analysis at this juncture and i could be Wrong
tayguansong, u'll make your 4K back thru other stocks eventually in the future, in the mean time, forget about your loss.. remember about the golden rule u just mentioned - never catch a falling knife.
lost about 2K in MAS ... bought at 88.5 go down to 81.5 rebound back at 86.5 never cut loss at this moment. sold at 81.5. bought again at 82 sold at 82.5..... selling pressure to strong, have back out an wait. lost quite a number of round in other counters this 2 months when profit taking is there, when they suddenly throw down, i play contra cos all my cash fully invested in slow but good potential counter. too slow till i have to sell at a loss to cash out for other uptrending counters. lesson learned "Cash is King" & "1 to 1/2 sen profit for contra play" ...... total lost 20K... total gain 30K still profitting 10K but now burn off more than 20K ....well not too bad for 9 Months Amateur Here. the WILL POWER to get BACK is there, lost a bit focus, confusion, regret & resentment set in. have to exercise more restrain & patience. i fighting the "emotion" FEAR of LOSS here
yeah you are right, me being opportunistic hoping they will SUPPORT and rebound later which never came. MAS critical SUPPORT is GONE, thats is scary. they let you down or die holding
MAS is proposing a capital reduction of par value from RM1.00 to RM0.10, this is to write off its loss from its share premium. Furthermore its renouncement right issue may fix a share price of below its current price which analyst is speculating its price to be below 50 cents. Thus this may push its price lower. It is advisable to dispose and wait for a strong support to enter again
Agreed with Pak Lah. It seems EPF has initiated the selling pressure which was followed by most fund managers. Only us ignorant retailers jump to buy. Sigh! Sigh! Sigh!
Looks like the selling by EPF especially isn't over yet. I'm with @Pak Lah - it doesn't matter what the technical charts say... oversold or not, if EPF (or fund managers) continue to sell, it will continue to drop. Regardless of MAS' problems, it's the *share price* that I'm interested in. Doesn't look like so at the moment but I feel there will be opportunities. The Reward-Risk will have to be justified first. At the moment, no one can say where's the support - "low" can become "lower".
I think mas will aborted their right issue?Is it possible? and push the price back for election fund? I think not impossible in Msia boleh just a joke!
RHB says limited downside on the stock as it has dropped 30% from the announcement of restructuring exercise. What do you guys recon? I think 0.655 is good entry as is very near its NTA.
Affin Research said it was neutral on the development and it maintained its earnings forecast. "Share price has fallen to a low of 70 sen following the recent announcement of the capital raising exercise. Given the tough operating environment coupled with the group's financing risk for its huge capex programme, we maintain our SELL recommendation. "We have lowered our target price of to 64 sen (from 85 sen previously) based on a price-to-net tangible asset multiple of 1.0 time on higher risk of more capital raising exercise," it explained.
It's very tempting to jump in right now when you just compare the present price with the 0.80 it was at recently. But the fact that the 0.70 immediate support didn't hold is not encouraging and hints of more shedding to come. MAS simply must go back up to 0.70 today. If it fails to do so, then maybe we should just stand at the sidelines for the time being.
By the way, I'm going to take a risk with the CN. But it must be at 0.02. At this price I believe the downside risk is minimal. Expires 30/10/13 so I hope there's more than enough time for *something* to happen with MAS and pushing the warrant up again.
On the same day as OSK's report, RHB and MIDF have also given TPs of 0.82 and 1.03 respectively. Notice the discrepancies here, which only goes to show that your guess is as good as any of these so-called experts and authorities.
From these three reports, in my opinion, the best one is from RHB. Not only does it mention the risks, it also took note of the fact that MAS' share price has gone down so much that a technical rebound looks imminent. Or so it does. But the problem is this 900-pound gorilla in the form of EPF - I wouldn't want to buy when these fellows are selling.
I'm actualy not understand wat behind the story epf selling at this price?wat is epf agenda? Who is the buyer? Why just throw in the market? Unless like us small traders!
MC is right and we have no idea when the selling will stop despite of the stock is hugely oversold. It has been a week since the selldown and there is no sign of rebound. Best is keep watching and jump in to make a quick buck when it finally rebounds.
Chartist commented that it is still a down trend. Who is selling now ? EPF and fund houses are the culprit to its major drop. Its bottom is not yet reached, suggest to stay away till its rebound
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Mat Cendana
2,331 posts
Posted by Mat Cendana > 2012-12-14 19:28 | Report Abuse
The capital reduction proposed: if one is holding 100,000 units now (which is of 1.00 par), will he still have 100,000 after it becomes 0.10 par? Or is there a share consolidation too as what had happened with others, like TimedotCom? Usually, in this kind of exercise, you'd end up with only one-tenth. But the share price will be adjusted upwards, of course, due to less shares floating around.