As from record total only 600+ k shares done. I wonder how many shares are you selling/ buying?? 5,000 shares??? Volume not big enough to affect the pricing .
Refining margins have hit a high on the back of record-high diesel spreads. Singapore complex hovered between $ 19-20/bbl last week, while diesel spreads have been between $ 40-45/bbl.
Hurricane Harvey in 2017 had only momentarily made the crack spread to shoot up about 16 USD/brl.... This 2022 Russia-Ukraine war and China refined oil export tax has triple the power of the hurricane now. They say this can last for 3 years...
If this prolongs for a few more months, Earnings can actually exceed the entire market cap of HRC... it will be flushed with cash for expansion. NTA will hit RM 10 easily by end of June.
We hv many trading accounts… those shortsighted investors, only think there were many sellers but actually those accounts belong to few individuals… innocent indeed!
Any Congrate apple168 taking profit. It is good move. Nobody know. However, we believe the coming Superd Profit will lead hrc to another high. How high? Refer to 2017 glory time.. Check yourself
02. For your information, HengYuan refinery capacity is 156000 barrel a day, compared with Petron M capacity of 88000 barrels per day. Let's look at the refinery margin for HengYuan at USD 10 per barrel.
Simple calculation for HengYuan Profit
156000 barrel x USD 10 x 4.16 (conversion) x 30 days = RM 194.6 million (translating to EPS of at least 50 cents)
50cents x 4 quarter = 200 cents
This brings HengYuan forward PE of merely 2.1 with the current share price of 4.2+
@pang72, there are two errors on the above derivation from KYY posting..
1) EPS calculated above of 50 cents is per month (30 days) not per qtr 2) Refining margin obtained from average crack spread of all products including gasoline & diesel, has to be deducted with 'break even' margin (the cost of production per barrel).
We are happy to all earning money in the COVID endemic phase… thank you very much Pang72 for your understanding… will miss all of HY mates! See ya in one day!
Refiners' earnings are expected to remain strong in coming quarters as sanctions on Russia following its invasion of Ukraine have cut global product inventories at a time when fuel demand has rebounded to near pre-pandemic levels. In addition, numerous facilities have closed in the last year, boosting profitability for existing refiners.
Valero's quarterly refining margin more than doubled to $3.21 billion from a year earlier.
S-Oil reported an operating profit of 1.3 trillion won for the first quarter, up 112% from the year-ago period.
The company said it operated the crude distillation units at its 669,000 barrels-per-day refinery in the southeastern city of Ulsan at 99.6% of capacity on average in the January-March period, up from 98.7% in the fourth quarter.
...........
thats approximately 440 million RM for a 67,000 bpd capacity
@pang72, on the same article they already mention the below:
Refining margins in Singapore, bellwether for profits at export-oriented refineries in Asia, hit an all-time high of $19.12 a barrel in April as Western sanctions hit Russian supplies while global oil inventories are at multi-year lows.
Purely FYI, the current margin is even higher than above but i will not disclose at the moment
do your own math , last quater report 60sen eps . This quarter will be more than 60sen . if 2 quarter add together already RM1.20 eps ....which PE is 4.80/1.20=4 . Don't listen to people like KYY , don't look at future earning. I wonder is he a investor or gambler ?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Silemak
95 posts
Posted by Silemak > 2022-04-27 13:54 | Report Abuse
As from record total only 600+ k shares done. I wonder how many shares are you selling/ buying?? 5,000 shares??? Volume not big enough to affect the pricing .