The share price of Petronm is ahead of Hengyuan The below reasons are the perception of investors in KLSE. Petronm does not have any refinery margin derivatives, they only hedge against currency exchange and commodity. The contract size is small, they should enjoy the full benefit of increased crack spread. While Hengyuan on the other hand, has done quite a lot of hedging on refinery margin derivatives. These refinery margin derivatives will cap her profit (I believe the most is 74% of the revenue affected). It is a misconception that the earning of Hengyuan is good when crack spread is low. But in the current environment of high crack spread, the profit of Petronm will outperform Hengyuan. I strongly disagree with the above statement, the aforesaid calculation shows that PAT and EPS of Hengyuan is still better than Petronm. I believe both Hengyuan and Petronm are equally good stocks to buy for refinery stocks listed in KLSE. I believe the share price of Hengyuan will catch up later once investors are not fearful of refinery margin derivative contracts of Hengyuan. Recommendation The PAT and EPS of Hengyuan are estimated to be better than Petronm from the aforesaid analysis. I believe both Hengyuan and Petronm are equally good stocks to buy for refinery stocks listed in KLSE. They are still undervalued. I recommend buying both stocks in your portfolio. The management of Petronm and quality of reporting in the financial reports are more transparent. I hope the refinery margin derivative losses of Hengyuan are not higher than 480 million which I have provided when I write down the projected earnings using USD10 refinery margin to calculate 74% of Q2 2022 revenue against USD24.2 crack spread margin. From my point of view, Hengyuan will make an extra 480 million gross profit if there are no refinery margin derivative contracts in Q2 2022 due to higher crack spread. It is an opportunity loss for Hengyuan. If the future refinery margin derivative contracts are hedged at a higher crack spread margin, the PAT and EPS of Hengyuan will still be better due to higher sales volume and higher yield on refined products. I believe both the share prices of Hengyuan and Petronm will move up north rapidly when the Q2 2022 results are released in August 2022. The final decision to buy is always yours.
Good morning kakijudi sekalian. Arini apa macam. Green or Red. Tikam Tikam. Tikam. Will today VWAp above yesterday 4.84 or not. Later will know. Haiyoh. Correct?
qqq3: My assessment on HIBISCUS: Q4 end 30/6/2022 Revenue: RM 868,367,000 PBT: RM 296,862,000 Cumulative 12 months Revenue: RM 1,696,521,000 PBT: RM 790,698,000 TAX: RM (177,640,000) PAT: RM 613,058,000 EPS: 30.52 cents NAPS: RM1.07 NOSH: 2,012 million Operating cash flow before working capital changes: RM 856,301,000
A total of 1,428,721 bbls of crude oil were sold in the Current Quarter; 653,964 bbls from our newly acquired assets (PM3 CAA, Kinabalu, PM305 and PM314), 611,800 bbls from North Sabah and 162,957 bbls from the Anasuria Cluster. A total of 3,560 MMscf of gas was sold in the Current Quarter; 3,429 MMscf from PM3 CAA and 131 MMscf from the Anasuria Cluster
Q4 end 30/6/22 Anasuria Cluster Average realized oil price: USD 128 per barrel EBITDA Margin: About 80% North Sabah Average realized oil price: USD 120 per barrel EBITDA Margin: About 50% Recent Acquired Assets Average realized oil, cond & gas price: USD 85 per BOE EBITDA Margin: About 42%
RISK: 1. What is the oil and gas reserve on Anasuria Cluster North Sabah and newly acquired assets (PM3 CAA, Kinabalu, PM305 and PM314)? 2. Sales TAX dispute with Sabah 3. Income tax dispute with Malaysia Government 4. MM say war is over or going to over, no more war premium, oil price collapse or going to collapse. 5. Sulu heir claim HIB Sabah asset 6. Your Beloved China claims the Sabah assets is inside the 9 dash line 7. The management stingy like Insas boss kept all cash to him-self and only gave very low dividend. 8. Huge decommission cost once the oil and gas run out
So my advice, HRC is better bet and you know it. H2, 21 million barrel just need a locked in PBT margin of USD 11 per barrel to achieve H2, PBT of USD 231,000,000 = RM 4.49 X 231,000,000= RM 1,037,190,000. If you like to ride a tiger the C26 is for you, maturity date 03/04/2023 by the time Q4 result out and most likely my TP will be achieved
Since day 1, I always behave very gentlemanly in I3. I never attack any person in I3. I will not behave like a coward and use faked id to attack others.
No reason for Jerichomy to behave so low class and be a laughing stock in this forum. Jerichomy, do not dream you will do well in your investment. The sin is too great and your Jesus also will not bless you. The god is always fair to bless good behaviour person only.
Powell is doing a balance Sheet thing and Powell will not be happy until he drops shares than USD20 Trillion [nothing happened when shares dropped USD1.5 Trillion]
Every colored Rock will send money back to US Homeland to buy Cheap US shares and earn high US Interest rate around 10% pa
You suiyee auditor only leh. You ingat your are bank negara governor meh. Haiyoh. Correct?
i3lurker
Powell is doing a balance Sheet thing and Powell will not be happy until he drops shares than USD20 Trillion [nothing happened when shares dropped USD1.5 Trillion]
Every colored Rock will send money back to US Homeland to buy Cheap US shares and earn high US Interest rate around 10% pa
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
MoneyMakersDirtyPuki
8 posts
Posted by MoneyMakersDirtyPuki > 2022-09-05 23:06 | Report Abuse
Plan exit ASAP..possible huge dump down to orig price rm3 by month-end (div xdate)
Either ownself dump 1st or syndicate dump 1st..choose wisely or 4ever regret
I MoneyMakers smelly and dirty PU ki. Anyone want to jilat.