CPO price still intact, so as plantation stock! a healthy correction after a price surged in d morning! actually, investors took profits reflecting d temporary ban of palm oil export in Indonesia! even plantation companies with no exposure in Indonesia took a beating due to this announcement! chance for those investors who wishes to buy at lower price !
FCPO all done above RM6500/ton from May till July! As palm oil is traded internationally by US Dollars, this is another piece of gud news as our ringgit has weaken lately against US n most foreign currencies!
FCPO future is in excess of RM6.0K/ton is extremely good for oil palm industry and the huge sway of oil palm company share prices may perhaps due to people's buying and selling of them without trying to understand they may make some money but lose the whole cow definitely.
JAKARTA/KUALA LUMPUR (April 25): Indonesian government officials told palm oil companies on Monday that an export ban announced late last week would cover shipments of refined, bleached, deodorized (RBD) palm olein but not crude palm oil, two industry sources told Reuters. Though an exemption of crude palm oil from the export curbs will be positive for global markets, the majority of Indonesia's palm exports are in the form of processed oils and remain affected by the ban. There were still concerns that crude palm oil would also be added to the list of banned products, as it is raw material for RBD palm olein. According to data from Indonesia's palm oil association (GAPKI) exports of processed CPO in 2021 stood at 25.7 million tonnes, or 75% of total exports of palm products. CPO exports were 2.74 million tonnes in 2021, or 7.98% of the shipments. ------------------------------------------------------------------ The news is too sketchy. No official details from government yet. Stay calm for clarity to emerge soon
DJ and Nasdaq collapse , but FCPO overnight UP. FCPO May $7,100, Jun $6,848, Jul $6,477 despite we are in high production season now. CPO will stay high at least until 2023.
A word of caution though. United Plantation has reported 20 % decline in profits in the last qrt. But we all know the March qtr should be the record profits for most planters somehow this cukai makmur has come to play this year so your prosperity could also be greatly reduced the fear is that it would not just stop there !
The dismal performance of UP is due to more than $150 mil hedging loss and sold too much crop forward at about $3,800 as compared to average spot price of $6,050 for Q1 2022) . It has nothing to do with cukai Makmur at all . Without the huge hedging loss , UP would have make many folds increase in Q1 2022 profit. As such , plantation that sell their produce on spot month basis will report huge yoy increase of earnings.
Hi Thomas, It's a reporting standard to declare the amount of hedges or forward contract in QR and annual report. I don't see that in Taann. Taann does not explicitly declare the realised CPO price. Taann's associate company, Swkpltn declared the average realised CPO price (FY 2021 was $4,389) which has been in line with the spot month prices. I must note that Swkplant is managed by Taann and therefore safe to take that same policy apply. Taann's qtrly profit growth for the plantation segment is in line with the CPO trend. I come to the conclusion this way.
@Golf123 Honestly you should be worried when The Star writes articles on certain stocks and companies. The Star is not the media platform to trust or get your news from
U need to understand....we already had move ahead since the covid run in 2020 loh!
Now u need to be little bit more defensive & plantations with CPO price up and huge cheap landbank to manage inflation plus a good hedge against RM depreciation are good bets to manage this risk & capitalise on opportunities loh!
Posted by nhbeen > 44 minutes ago | Report Abuse
stockraider: Inflation is good for banking whereas recession is not loh!
So if u invest in banking when recession strike....be prepare for about 2 years share price consolidation mah!
Yup. You are right. In recession, all sectors affected and their share price as well. If you intend to invest for long haul, it is also the time to buy into some good companies. Normally, equity market will move ahead first when economy starts recovering.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Johnzhang
2,955 posts
Posted by Johnzhang > 2022-04-25 18:39 | Report Abuse
Indonesia flip flop decision caused the correction!