If you care to study the fundamentals of Zhulian then, it has all the potential to reach the present price. In my opinion, it can go higher than the present looking at its fundamentals now. Compared with Rsawit, heck, there is no comparison.
kcchongnz, what inwest88 has commented is absolutely right becos I'm a short-term trader & immediately fell in love with the stock for helping me to make hugh profit n I'm still waiting for major consolidation to take positon again. inwest88 u r truly great for being able to read my mind.
Hi KC Chong: I were about to go out for jogging at Pattaya beach, you comment just make me “beh tahan” and stay back to write.
I spent tonne of time and effort in studying companies’ biz and shares for many years. Yes, I bought Zhulian at low price, but he bought too and with lower entry price than me. I bought many other good counters at good prices such as Tanjong, LPI, GTronic, Batu Kawan, Maybank etc. But you guess what ? He bought too and almost each time at the lower prices than me. Why ? Because he is more patient and luckier than me and have more fund to average cost down. Till today, he made much more profit than me, and can be classified as one of the successful winner in Bursa whereas I am still a loser. Why? Because the counter with lower winning probability which I bought i.e. JTiasa, Notion, I would not recommend to him. Only those with quite certain good counters were recommended to protect his money.
So, in conclusion, let us think about it, “homework+valuation” OR “luck, network, timing, money” make you a winner? In my friend’s case, it is the later.
p/s : I am still feeding him with good recommendation, as the money won by him is not my money anyway and I feel great that my friend is continuously winning money from Bursa.
I am a bit frustrated and psychologically unbalance in ths case, my dear friend.
Ok, now go for jogging and look at sexy "gui moi and thai moi" to release my frustration. Bye
I have been recording the FFB and CPO production of plantation companies for some time and the following are some findings:- Period recorded:-6/2011 to date Co Av production Compare previous year corresponding period THPlant 0.81T/Hec +29% JTIasa 0.99T/Hec +29% Riverview 1.90T/Hec +1% PLS 0.09T/Hec +103%
I take Riverview as the bench mark of a mature plantation, yielding 1.9T/hect per month and the yield is not increasing. From this I believe Jtiasa and THPlant has got a lot of room for growth.
hiddengem, it's not that I can read your mind but I do know this is a common phenomenon amongst most retail players. But just some friendly advice from an elderly man :- 1) one should not fall in love with any stock as there is no guarantee that it will bring you profits when you enter the next time 2) of course if you are patient enough and wait for it to drop to a very low level, you can make some purchases and make a quick exit. But it all depends on luck
Having said that I have to agree with kcchongnz that based on its current financial standings, this is not a stock to invest.
Hiddengem : Relief that you have a great heart to accept advice from others. You are better than another one who refuses to give up until all hope is gone on KNM.
But put it in another perspective, since you LOVES RSawit so much, you can continue to follow up RSawit and collect A BIT at comfortable price for fun, experience and also to test your own judgment. Else life will be very bore. I said A BIT.
As said, it is not a good counter fundamentally, but once CPO rises back to says RM2800, the whole story will be different. There is no absolute thing in Bursa, everything is relative and progressive.
If I were you, I will buy JTiasa instead of RSawit just b'cos I believe in Mr Koon's rationale and judgment.
do not have any shares in rsawit, but just so happen to read some of bsngpg, kcchongz and inwest88 comments. good sharing and appreciate the insights :)
hiddengem : Sawadee Krup. For Palm Oil related stocks , I have JTiasa(in jail) and Kfima(winner) while watching MKH. I do not see fate chemistry between myself and plantation stocks, except making good profit once from BKawan few yr back. Khru Phun Much Krup
bsngpg Is there any link btw JTiasa & Rsawit, is it the same boss? How much u bought for JTiasa? Is it the right time to accumulate? Sawadee Krup. Arigato gozaimas.
Posted by fatinvest > Sep 8, 2013 07:42 PM | Report Abuse I have been recording the FFB and CPO production of plantation companies for some time and the following are some findings:- Period recorded:-6/2011 to date Co Av production Compare previous year corresponding period THPlant 0.81T/Hec +29% JTIasa 0.99T/Hec +29% Riverview 1.90T/Hec +1% PLS 0.09T/Hec +103% I take Riverview as the bench mark of a mature plantation, yielding 1.9T/hect per month and the yield is not increasing. From this I believe Jtiasa and THPlant has got a lot of room for growth.
fatinvest, good way to check if a plantation company is efficient. Should use together with other things like hectare planted, age profile etc. These will provide an indication of the value of the company.
But one thing I find few people check is the price, in particular the enterprise value. Some plantation companies are cash rich but some have heavy debt. Surely they cannot be the same price if their values are approximately the same. But you probably find that the reverse is true in the market where those plantation companies having heavy debts are priced higher than an equivalent cash rich plantation company.
For plantation company, one good way to compare price is the enterprise value over Ebitda. For many plantation companies have high depreciation of PPE and amortization of biological assets which are non cash.
Hi, could any one please help me understand this, I checked the history earnings of this counter, it was doing very good. but how come started losing money in 2012 and until now have not recovered? If the blame was to the low cpo price, then why other planters are not losing so much, and some are continue making profit. Is this poor management? or over expanded?
I quote from their Annual Report: " ... This was mainly due to the decline in the Group’s overall selling price of Crude Palm Oil (“CPO”) and Palm Kernel (“PK”). In fact, the average selling price per metric ton of CPO and PK had dropped from RM3,283 and RM2,300 respectively in 2011 to RM2,862 and RM1,615 respectively in 2012. This uninspiring pricing which impacted the industry as a whole was mainly due to various global factors (eg. foreign country’s policies, weather) which were beyond the control of the Company... "
because current foreign funds is retreating from Malaysia...
Even thou due to the weather condition that Indonesia palm oil will be under estimation where Malaysia palm oil will increase production and output, the result will only take few months to see the profit.
however, mainly is the foreign funds that retreat that makes the whole KLCI index falls below 1800...
This whole week will be the bad despite gains in US market.
RSAWIT has a huge area of young plantations and is not making much profit compapred to other palm oil counters. if you buy it now, you are actually buying its future, not so much of its current profit.
erm act plantation companies report mainly due to world wide palm crude oil futures prices so if it is up trend in whole world market wat do u think it's coming soon result?so i will give it a BUY based on current plantation stocks movement eg KLK/IOI/Kretam etc (all boost more than 15%)..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
kcchongnz
6,684 posts
Posted by kcchongnz > 2013-09-08 17:50 | Report Abuse
If you care to study the fundamentals of Zhulian then, it has all the potential to reach the present price. In my opinion, it can go higher than the present looking at its fundamentals now. Compared with Rsawit, heck, there is no comparison.