WD takes 2 years to recover production. Is it fully recovered it production or partly? If it recovered fully, should we concern about it productions already start running 25% by this June, 50% by this coming Dec? Manufacturer don't waste time, even there's one Cnc line complete, they will also let it run production. Will the TP set for JCY affected, after they started part of their production?
Osk may still have small ammo left because they been short selling as well from the way the share price behaving in last 2 days. The Hands shark meant to be start fight back from today according to source but there has been delay. I expect fight to start Monday. Rumour about Someone important dying is bullshet. Like I said just relax and be patient. It will happen.
JCY International (JCYH MK, TRADING BUY, FV: RM1.80, Last Price: RM1.41). JCY's 1QFY12 results were stronger than expected, beating ours and consensus forecasts while representing 43% and 70% of the full year estimates respectively. This quarter alone saw core earnings of RM162.5m (+515% q-o-q, +2063% y-o-y) marking its best quarter since listing, mainly attributed to (i) the increase in ASP by 20%-50% (ii) the appreciation of USD against MYR by 4.2% q-o-q (+1.2% y-o-y), (iii) effective product mix concentrating on base plates and actuators production which command higher margins and (iv) efficient cost management. In sum, we revised our earnings forecast upwards by 21% and 34% for FY12 and FY13 correspondingly while raising our FV to RM1.80 based on an unchanged 8x FY12 PER.
CIMB Research's predictions. Our FY12-14 profit forecasts are raised by a substantial 41-45% to factor in our upward revision of revenue and the positive operating leverage, CIMB said. It now expects JCY to make RM714.9 million, or 35 sen a share, in FY12. The firm, however, cautioned that investors would need to keep an eye on JCY's rivals. JCY had benefited from a shortage of HDD components in the market because production from rival factories in Thailand were affected by the floods last year. A recovery in production could come as early as the third quarter of this year. "A sharper-than-expected contraction in average selling price or drop in allocation by customers would hurt JCY's bottomline," CIMB said.It has a target price of RM2.22 for JCY, but maintained its trading buy call because of the uncertainties in the market.
Try Adam Khoo's at TTDI or Chartnexus or tradethetruth's Bill Wermine/Martin Wong's courses. You'll be given some free software when u sign up & lots of follow up support.
Rephrase: you'll probably be given a free trial software along with the course. Do attend previews but not necessary to sign up on spot. Some other previews aims at US markets and options or forex. Be careful. I suggest to stick to local flavor & avoid forex or options until u have gained much expertise & had lost some money to sober u up first.
Stock trading or investing (super long term traders) requires maturity. When you're young, lots of hormone pumping and gets you super excited. After some time, you'll get old enough and things get into perspective. Same with trading, after you had tried all sorts of strategies and has lost lots of money and read a lot of other's experiences, hopefully you'll sober up and manage to catch the tide instead of the tiny ripples with some courage. "Buy at support, sell at resistance and 2% position size".
JCY is crushed by the two opposing forces - Market and CW issuer. Looks like the latter is prevailing for the time being. Do not be dismay, when the winter Feb is over, the spring March will arrive and J-C-Y will leap for J-O-Y.
Usry: I'm not stating this as if they've already done it. I'm just assuming judging from how the price is not pulled up to reflect the exercise price (since it is going to be a 5-days average)
Bomblikeme: i expect the price for JCY will go till RM1 coz as we knows JCY will pay divident 2% and the ex date is on 9 March 2012.. through my observation on stcok price, the rice will drop during ex date..by the way there are a few stoc not follow this trend.. 80% of stock price that i observe is down after they announce a divident pay out. That y i expect the JCY price will down further.. by the way this is my observation..:)
Mr.good-guy Lamken, now that I've seen the power of this Invisible hand, I've started to believe in you. The price may hv dropped due to the ruthless sharks, but I strongly believe it will soar up again once s*l*y sharks r already out of the picture!! Cheers!!!
that's why when i set my target 1.1, i won't let temporary "noise" (like that day rebound 1.3x) affect me, because that's my style...i will wait 1.1, my personal margin of safety
maybe osk even press the price till below 70 cent, then they a cent also dont have to pay. wtf man. i guess... leasson learned? don't ever listen to anyone when it come to buying stock.
Feb 13 (Reuters) - JCY International is a standout performer in Malaysia based on analysts' upgrades of its earnings estimates over the past month, data from Thomson Reuters StarMine shows.
Analysts have raised their full-year earnings per share estimates on the hard disk drive manufacturer by 47.6 percent. The data covered 140 companies tracked by at least three analysts.
JCY has a high Value-Momentum score of 98 and an Analyst Revision Model score of 100. The stock trades at 1.4 ringitt, one-third of its StarMine Intrinsic value of 4.15 ringitt.
Guys, just for your record, prior to Thailand flood, the HDD Shipment per Quarter was 177 Million Units. In the 4Q11, due to the flood, only 108 Million units were shipped yet JCY had made >20X net profit QoQ. Market estimates 1Q12 HDD unit shipment will be 135 Million units and 165 Million in 2Q12. With JCY competitors still out of the picture for 1Q12 and 2Q12, JCY's profit can only surge higher and higher.....I am with Lamken's story! Be patient and wait it out...don't panic!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
alntm
221 posts
Posted by alntm > 2012-02-17 16:42 | Report Abuse
since osk issued the warrants, they are paying, no? does osk still have ammo to press down?