There is still some time from release of results in November and seems that there is no more leg to push the price higher. I suppose that it is about time for some short term rest and profit taking before resuming in November. Cheers !
Dont think it will stagnant until nov qr.. this few days should able move again.. Actually the latest highest closing price compare today closing price.. few cents different only
Rehda president FD Iskandar blamed that imported steel duty causes the price to rise from rm1,700 to rm2,800. I wonder whether he is aware of what is happening around everyday. He is complaining of margin thinning to 15% from 17% and investors might ditch property construction companies. But does he know how much suffering steel companies had endured previously to the extent that some failed to survive? If steel industry in malaysia is to collapse, property developers will not be far off better. Time to wake up, Iskandar
Southern Pricing : (Morning) Maintain Y16-32=Rm2650 Y10,12,Y40 &R10 =RM2800 (Quota) 20% out of total PO R6,8,12,16,20&25=Rm2850 (No Stock)
Amsteel Pricing : (Morning) Maintain Y16-32=Rm2620 (Quota) 10% out of total PO Y10,12,Y40 &R10 =RM2770(do not have sufficient stock) R6,8,12,16,20&25=Rm2820
Steel rebar price end of 30 Mac-----> USD 436 Steel rebar price end of 30 Apr-----> USD 427 Steel rebar price end of 30 May-----> USD 430 Steel rebar price end of 30 June----> USD 427
SSteel upcoming to report Q1 ended 30 Sept
Steel rebar price end of 30 July-----> USD 458 Steel rebar price end of 1 AUG -----> USD 511 Steel rebar price end of 31 AUG -----> USD 521 Steel rebar price end of 1 Sept -----> USD 546 Steel rebar price end of 20 spet ----> USD 550
The price will b good provided China does not start the production in capacity . But I wonder how long China can stop the production, given that the price is so tempting.
China production capacity will be under tight control since last year. There will be no new license issue to setup a new plant. And the steel industry is undergoing consolidation in the coming years to meet the government target.
china rebar future drop to 3680. but stock price still on 4200. Why there are such a big different between both. suppose the price need to be very close. Is it an indicator for the future price for the rebar price in China?
Don't worry too much about future, in China future market is like a casino, fluctuation very big. It is not like Dow future where the interaction is much higher. Today future drop but if you check most of the listed steel companies in China are not dropping following the future. China itself don't care so much about future why do we in Malaysia care so much? The more important is 现货价格,esp those near southern area which could be meant for export. Mostly still above 4000. From early Sep till now price only dropped 100++, the demands still very strong, industrial players don't even worry about the demands during winter period.
And if you study steel companies in China, they are currently trading at PE>15, the whole industry there is booming to meet the government target. There will be more and more consolidation, M&A in future.
Basing on the Technical Price Indicators -Moving Averages(MA),MACD,RSI,stochastic charts as a guidance in decision making(Buy,Sell or Hold) the followings can be deduced:
1.The short term MA line(Blue) is still above the long-term MA and the line is still trending upwards.Positive chart line.; 2.MACD line is still slightly above the Signal line showing there is still buying support momentum for the stock. 3.On the RSI chart shows the stock is in overbought situation.After the weak holders have been shaken out the price will continue to trend positively if the volumes perked up.
Outcome: The stock may undergo some technical correction after the strong uptrend in the price.Barring any sudden collapse in the local steel market price the present price can be maintained.Can also benchmark with how Ann Joo price performs next week and after.Cheers:-)))
I really like ppl panic selling so I have chance to buy at lower price. The fundamental is not change, the future is not alter a lot since beginning of this year. There is no reason why selling it now at cheap price while the huge profitability is foreseeable at near/mid term. Q3 will be superb, Q4 even surprising
Southern steel and Annjoo are the two long steel companies already started dividen payout, if you study the history, this counter paid generous dividends in the past. Don't forget who is the major shareholder of this counter who holding >70% shares.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
zexon
330 posts
Posted by zexon > 2017-09-19 16:38 | Report Abuse
So Q3 revenue should more than 800 mil