look at Kenanga....they got 50% Rakuten...$ 4 billion in customer deposits. ...but very badly managed........I mean how can a broker......I mean, how can a stock broker has $ 70 million brokerage fees and $ 70 operating expenses for the 3 months ended 3//2020?...................................................one year $ 280 million for salaries and overheads for such a small operation?
We are cautiously optimistic of our business outlook for the year. As at end April 2020, we have reversed some of the credit provisions made in first quarter and are on track for a turnaround in the following quarters.
Bursa Transaction Volume March QR 19 - 169b March QR 20 - 219b (29.59% increase)
Brokerage Revenue March QR 19 - 37m March QR 20 - 48m
Brokerage Profit Margin - 15%
Volume forecast Bursa April - 115b (actual) March - 120b (actual) June (forecast) - 120b June QR 2020 - 355 (62% from March QR 2020)
Expected Brokerage Revenue June QR 2020 = 48 x 1.62 = 79m June QR 2019 Brokerage revenue = 38.3m Increase in brokerage revenue = 79 - 38.3 = 40.7m Increase in PBIT due to increase in brokerage = 40.7 x 15% = RM 6.1m
thing to note: Rakuten Users in May 2020 - 32,500 Rakuten Users in March 2020 - 70,000
100% increase. Brokerage income increase = 6.1m x 2 = 12.1m 12.1 x 70% (tax) = 8.4m extra per quarter or 33.6 NPAT/ year.
Stocks to invest for massive future growth (Higher growth = higher revenue = higher stock price), Semi-Conductors, Internet of things, A.I., and Industry 4.0 stocks. These companies export their products and services all over the world, they are not limited to the small Malaysian market, therefore the growth potential is enormous once the economy rebound.
✓ Growing Revenue + Growing Market + Growing Profits = Growing Stock Prices ✓ USA Vaneck Vectors Semiconductor ETF Index Fund (SMH) is breaking out and on uptrend. ✓ These companies are "Buy and hold" type, for long term capital gains, not for trading or speculating. ✓ These companies are well managed and profitable, reasonable PE for tech, low debt or net cash. ✓ CoVid has accelerated the adoption of tech. ✓ Semi-conductor and internet will be the next stock rally once the glove bubble pops. ✓ Please use dollar-cost-averaging investment strategy, don't gamble, don't use margin.
>>> FRONTKN 0128 [ Precision Cleaning Services ] >>> NOTE: 5th August 2020 - Potential share buyback announcement [ Price Will Increase! Buy Now! ] TSMC's subcontractor (Biggest chip manufacturer in the world), Frontken services their chip making machines. Apple outsource their chips to TSMC, and Apple is moving towards their own Apple Silicon chip, this means even more business in the coming future. A growth stock. Will we be using more or less chips? If the answer is more chips in everything from cars to smartphones, from TV to aircon, then invest now for long term growth!
>>> DUFU 7233 [ Cloud Hard Disks ] >>> NOTE: 3rd August 2020 - Bonus Issue, Ordinary shares 1:1 [ Price Will Increase! Buy Now! ] Hard Disk Spacer maker for Seagate, Toshiba, Western Digital. HDD is slowly being replaced by SSD, but with the super growth of cloud computing, HDD will still outsell SSD in the enterprise market because a 16TB SSD is 10X more expansive than a 16TB Enterprise HDD, and High Performance HDD for cloud servers uses 3 or 4 times more spacer components than the typical consumer PC. It is Estimated that Enterprise HDD market value will double from 2020 to 2025. Massive growth as more people get used to the internet lifestyle after lockdown, from paying bills online to scanning your location via app, everybody is forced to use the internet even if they don't want to. Will we be using more of less internet? If the answer is more and more people will use the internet daily, then invest now!
>>> PENTA 7160 [ Robotic Automation ] >>> NOTE: 4th August 2020 - Bonus Issue, Ratio 1:2 [ Price Will Increase! Buy Now! ] They are hardware makers, automation is one of their key selling point. As labour becomes more expensive, automation is the solution. They are the biggest robotic automation company in Malaysia with a global footprint. Study shows world population will decline in 2050, we are entering an aging population, this means we need more automate machines due to the lack of labours. Currently they are expanding into the medical industry by offering automated medical equipment, potential growth.
>>> FPGROUP 5277 [ 5G Networks ] They make key test components for 5G. In the next few years, we will be moving towards 5G networks, this means guaranteed growth as the entire world gradually move towards 5G. Unlike 3G or 4G, the 5G network requires even more towers, this means the demand for their product will be high. Will the world upgrade their networks to 5G or continue to use 4G forever? If the answer is we will move to 5G, then invest now!
>>> TIME 5031 [ Submarine Cables / Cloud ] They own quite a number of international submarine cables around the world. As more and more people uses the internet, this means they earn even more money. They are continuously expanding their international submarine cable system around the world. They are also moving towards cloud computing, data cloud storage, online securities and more. Potential growth as more and more companies adopt the internet first policy. Will everyone be using more internet or less internet? If the answer is more, then don't wait, invest now!
Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd, a listed independent investment bank, comes in second, handling RM54bil of trades in the quarter and a trading volume of 117.44 billion units.
These, in terms of y-o-y growth, are at 99.04% and 144.16% respectively.
An analyst say it will be fair to assume that Kenanga will see stronger revenue and earnings in its second quarter results, judging by the massive volume and value that it handled.
In the last quarter, the group handled 38.3% higher volume y-o-y while the trading value came in at 25% higher, which led to a 14.41% jump in the group’s stock broking revenue to RM70.72mil.
Thanks EasyInvest123, The news further comfirmed Kenenaga will be one of the solid winner of higher trading volume/value in stock market from participation of retailers! The coming quarter results will break record high I think...Share price moving up prior results release is good hint on this!
Kenanga on 29/May/2020 announced Q1 results which fell in red due to market crashed during the period of March 2020. The unfavourable result in 1Q20 was mainly due to provision of credit loss expenses as a result of significant decline in the prices of share collaterals for margin clients.
Next week, Kenanga will announce it Q2 results, we are very optimistic about this Q2 earning will come back to record high due to below few factors:
1. Increasing of trading value & volume in Bursa due to overwhelming participaction of retailers in Stock markets during MCO period (Apr – June) and these trading value/volume continue to surge higher from July to Aug. Kenanga for sure will enjoy higher brokerage income in this coming Q2 based on figure below.
Below is the monthly trading volume & value in our Bursa stock market:
Jan 2020: 64.6 B => RM44.2 B Feb 2020: 66.2 B => RM52.8 B Mar 2020: 89.7 B => RM65.5 B Apr 2020: 115.9 B => RM58.6 B May 2020: 120.7 B => RM70.3 B Jun 2020: 160.5 B => RM98.1 B Jul 2020: 214.9 B => RM121.8 B Aug 2020 (MTD): 208.9 B => RM97.8 B
2. In Q1 quarterly report, management guided that “As at end April 2020, we have reversed some of the credit provisions made in first quarter and are ON TRACK FOR A TURNAROUND in the following quarters.”
Today (24 Aug 2020), Kenanga announced Q2 earning with net profit RM20.5 mil (EPS 2.93 sen) soared 265% YoY & 395% QoQ. This is RECORD earning in it past 10 years history! The main reason of this record earning is due to higher net income contributed by higher brokerage and trading income.
After this Q2 (Apr – Jun) excellent results, will Kenanga able to sustain or break another record high earning in next Q3 (Jul – Sep)?
Look at below monthly trading volume & value in our Bursa stock market, we will have a very good clues on this!
Jan 2020: 64.6 B => RM44.2 B Feb 2020: 66.2 B => RM52.8 B Mar 2020: 89.7 B => RM65.5 B Apr 2020: 115.9 B => RM58.6 B May 2020: 120.7 B => RM70.3 B Jun 2020: 160.5 B => RM98.1 B Jul 2020: 214.9 B => RM121.8 B Aug 2020 (MTD): 216.7 B => RM102.9 B
So, we can conclude Next Q3 will be another RECORD BREAKING EARNING quarter for Kenanga!
As Q3 quarter will be another record earning based on bursa monthly trading data, thus Q3 EPS will be greater than Q2, forecast of 25% increase of net profit, EPS will be ~3.7 sen. Annualize EPS will be 13 sen. With PE of 10, Kenanag worth RM1.30 at least. This is one of the super cycle for stockbroker houses from the past 10 years history as participation of retailers in stock market continue to raise!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
qqq33333333
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Posted by qqq33333333 > 2020-06-01 15:57 | Report Abuse
look at Kenanga....they got 50% Rakuten...$ 4 billion in customer deposits. ...but very badly managed........I mean how can a broker......I mean, how can a stock broker has $ 70 million brokerage fees and $ 70 operating expenses for the 3 months ended 3//2020?...................................................one year $ 280 million for salaries and overheads for such a small operation?