Wishing all my friends a Happy and Prosperous New Year 2016. May the brand new year augurs well for the world with peace, happiness, luck, prosperity and good health. Huat ahh!
Expensive is not a good word to measure value. Rm8 will be expensive for a bowl of noodle or chicken rice. Rm8 will be cheap for a bowl of bird nest soup. Latitude is like bird nest-good value- more bangs for your buck.
Management has spoken-they are not going to dilute the shares with bonus or share split. Management will spend their time on how to grow the company thru expansion and merger. The share price will take care of itself when the company profits are increase year-after-year.
Like that can you advise management to acquire SHH or giving more div if no bonus....actually bonus will not affect the share but just giving more chances to enter at lower price and increase the liquidity....also to increase the market cap then only big funds managers only can go in with some minimum entry requirements.
Like I said no need to bonus or split share for affordability. The bursa allows u to buy 100 shares. So buying 100 shares instead of 1000 shares is just only 10% of its value. Be patient abt dividend. Management need a war chest of cash to make expansion. If share price moves abv Rm10, then acquisition using share issue to pay for is the best option. The higher the price, the less share needs to be issued for acquisition. Otherwise huge dilution.
KLSE. aldy bottom...nothing to worry....just buy in export counters to maintain ur RM value as USD will not go down for 2016 perhaps high chance may goes up....
Bonus issue will further increase the cost of capital for Latitude. I'm satisfy with the management decision not to make bonus issue.
I wish to have share split to bring down the price and increase the stock liquidity and marketability. unfortunately the management reluctant to do so.
Anyway, I'm exciting wait for quarter 2 result for latitude as these will hit the highest among all quarter. Do remember the management in exploiting the opportunity to increase the earning as much as possible.
1. Favoring in USD - I don't need to explain these, i guess all of you are smart enough to understand the situation
2. Economy of Scale thru automation. - Latitude is invested heavily on the machinery to replace the labour cost via a machinery in Malaysia and Vietnam section . These allow the company to control and reduce the operational cost further.
3. Expanding Malaysia segment - Latitude is expanding the Malaysia segment to improve the supply to Vietnam segment as well as sourcing opportunity to diversify it's product portfolio. in order to improve sales margin.
In view of above points. I'm very conservative to say that. For Latitude to hit EPS of 35cents. It's easy job. I don't know how fast it can go but i do understand how far Latitude can go.
Bonus issue is considered as a scrip dividend where transferring the distributable profits from retain earning to share capital and there is no actual payment made to shareholder.Bonus issue(BI) take place will increase the number of share held.
I believe the perception of a significant number of investor think that BI will improve liquidity of stock and diluted EPS.Unfortune they miss understand intension of proposing a BI for the company. BI is a form dividend allow investor to reinvest their earning (where suppose to be dividend) into the company finance the company instead of using debts financing for future investment.
Latitude is having a very rational capital structure (The major investment recently used debts financing to purchase machinery [enjoy tax savings & profit maximisation]) and their cash position is very healthy. No point to increase number of share held in the company. Again i would like to give a trumph to the management of Latitude.
Cost of capital increased to latitude. - 1. BI reduced the distributable profits which can be declare as dividend if current favoring situation no longer exist.
Before - S.Cap 97,208 RE 297,664
E.g 1 to 1 Bonus issue
After - S.Cap 194,416 RE 200,456
2. Costly to maintain same amount of dividend payment (unless) if BI take place. 3. Once BI issue, will be difficult for latitude to perform share buy back from market. When you issue BI, you transfer RM1 from RE to S.Cap. for every existing shareheld. When apply share buy back the cost surely more than RM1.
If management wish to improve the stock performance in Bursa they simply do a share split of 1 to 4,5 will do. I believe if share split take place. Latitude probably will soar RM 12 - RM14. (assuming my perdiction of 35 cents next qtr and industry PE of 13 is correct.)
All fanatic FA fellows said that there is zero organic value to split n bonus issue in the long term. To a certain extend, I agree with them but not on the speed of price increase in immediate term.
i. A very good case study to do is that done and operated very well by the AIG before the deadly sub-prime crisis. Hank Greenberg, a clever Jew engineered an explosive rise of AIG in its hay days. Imagine this, AIG was rated 3 big A, AAA. Msia as a country garnered a mere Bcc, I guess. I learned that AIG's scripts count only doubled in 5 yrs as the earnings increased in tandem. AIG had a superb CF advice who had market knowledge learned from study done by Harvard biz school, i.e. 3 small bonus issue in 5 yrs. Each time AIG stock price went above USD$100-150, a bonus issue was announced. After ex the lower price will gradually moved up n up to above 100 to 150 range. When this was achieved, a small faction of bonus issue was again announced. I remembered reading AIG's announcements on the 3 bonus issues. The letters written were almost the same word by word and line by line. The only difference was the # or ratio of bonus issue. Seems to be run mechanically. This simple and sure way to wealth creation is set in motion. Simply incredible, IF LATITUD wants to follow this amazing duplication plan.
ii. We want funds to hold LATITUD forever. Many funds in Msia are not allowed to buy stocks below Rm2. So stocks with prices below rm2 after over size generous split n bonus issues, beware. The funds might begin to get out when the going gets tough or is questionable. New funds are very unlikely to come in. So there goes the demand for their scripts and stocks out-performance going forward. Free Warrant issue provides immediate 'steroid' effect to fast reward but the earnings dilution is forever. Unless the earning growth is super fast enough, the valuation has to come down.
I dont mind whether it is Bonus or Split share or even free warrant....my point of view the management must do something to attract more big funds to invest to their share.....then only the share price will shoot up!!!
its still 8x PE. revenue is constantly growing. management is focused on growing the business and not shooting the share price up for short-term gain. In my opinion it is a good long-term hold. Final decision is up to you.
The management is resolute in not yielding to the investors who want a bonus or share split. Now that the investing public is subdue or accept their decisions, the next focus is 2nd qtr earnings ending 31 Dec 2015. Poh Huat announced higher earnings. Next is Liihen. If Liihen also announces very good upside, than Latitude likewise shld be able to get $0.35per share per qtr. Then a price of $10 or even $12 shld not be surprising.
Should expect some downward pressure till we're closer to the earnings release. However, with industry average of 11x PE and with Latitude being only 8x despite superior margins, cash conversion cycles, and net cash. This is the one to hold for the long-term. Final decision is up to you.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
RosmahMansur
2,870 posts
Posted by RosmahMansur > 2015-12-30 11:08 | Report Abuse
Buy when ppl are panic, sell when ppl are awake