People, go read CBIP annual report 2016, page 170 to 180.. Effects on Profit After Taxation (2016)
United States Dollar/Ringgit Malaysia: - strengthened by 5% 3,423 - weakened by 5% (3,423)
Indonesian Rupiah/Ringgit Malaysia: - strengthened by 5% 6,864 - weakened by 5% (6,864)
Two main issues are the appreciation of ringgit vs USD and Rupiah, which means Rupiah has been weakened when compared to Ringgit. If you compare MYR/IDR on 1st of July till 1st of October (Q3), it has risen from ~3100 to 3200, which translates to about 3.2%, it is about 4.4 million Forex loss.
Similarly, USD/MYR has been weakened since July 1st (4.3) till October 1st (~4.2), which translate to about 2.4%.,it is about 1.7 million of Forex loss.
Roughly, just this quarter they have about 6 million ringgit loss due to ringgit appreciation.
In the quarterly report saying there is 17 million ringgit FOREX loss for the financial year (till now 9 months), this means first and second quarter combined, CBIP have ~11 million forex loss.
Forex loss is pretty common for a big MNC like CBIP, if you dig further into CBIP's different segments of business, it is actually doing good. I am comparing the revenue as to me it is more important. Palm oil engineering and process (revenue: 70.5 million vs last quarter 97 million) are bit slowing down compared to last quarter. This is understandable considered the palm oil price drops quite a bit. Palm oil plantation - Relatively much smaller portion since the trees are still maturing ~4 million for 9 months
Retrofitting special purpose vehicles Obviously this is the game changer, this quarter the revenue is DOUBLED (101 millions vs last quarter 50.1 million) of last quarter. I believe the company is working very hard to diversify the business from palm oil processing and switching the focus to this special purpose vehicles area.
Pros 1. The palm oil price is at one of its lowest point, I expected it shall rebound sometime. 2. CBIP's plantation's palm oil tree is maturing (See annual report in 2016) 3. The exponential growth of special purpose vehicle retrofitting
Cons 1. Ringgit continue to appreciate will further cause forex loss.
With the points above, I personally will continue to buy in CBIP's share as I am really looking forward to the SPV retrofitting and I expect the palm oil price to be coming back soon. And yes, the only risk is on the foreign exchange.
28-Nov-2017 Quarter Result Quarter Result on 30-Sep-2017[#3] QoQ - -62.87% YoY - -76.11%. QoQ dropped 62.87% YoY dropped 76.11% Thus , the corrections will not stop here ...
guess modipalm is just a step better than conventional palm sterilization process machine. it is the customer relation and competitive pricing. cbip then himself try create the brand effect. then easier for manager to propose modipalm to the bod of palm oil mill with excuse same price better machine.
There is always + or - for company/ director buy back own shares.. it just want to control the free fall . Lately ,MCA is buying back star share too finally it is ..the market forces determine
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Tanleechoo
342 posts
Posted by Tanleechoo > 2017-11-10 21:11 | Report Abuse
Let wait for Q3 result ..