I am looking at the best possible scenario of 7.21c for Q4'13. But I don't think they will beat Q4'12 EPS of 7.28c. So take care at this level. Mr market might look at it differently with everyone tryin to push it up and cash out before Q4'13 announcement tommorow
My own numbers are higher as I am ignoring the once off provision for bad debt for the last quarter. I am also optimistic that the RM will devalue. A 10% devaluation in the RM could translate to a 50% increase in Pohuat's margin. Once again my own 2 sens.
The again I do not discount the possibility of a sell down once the results are out. I am keeping check any buying till I see what happens with the results and the market reaction after that.
I do not know what the coming results will be. I do not work for Pohuat. I suspect it could be better than 7 sens but then again the company may have to provide for bonuses etc. it is after all the last quarter. Your words of caution are wise for those who entered lately. I merely want to point out that this may not be the end of the road for Pohuat. Lets wait and see how the results go.
ever wonder why all furniture stocks, Homeriz/Liihen/Latitude/Pohuat etc, trade at pathetic PE (3-8x) and BIG discount to NTA (>35%) ? 1. Fund Managers shun 2. Inventory susceptible to fraud 3. Cost too 4. Low tech with low entry barrier 5. Divided industry groups with multiple associations mean no common grounds 6. MITI unsupportive
Furniture stocks are getting a hammering followed by their leader Latitude.They are dumping Latitude with a current PE of < 10 and a potential PE of < 5 next FY. wht about lower tier furniture stocks?/
psd, I only have Homeritz and Latitude, both of them have a hugh jump in their revenue and PBT on their reported last Q. Also since their dividends are good, I did not sell, thinking that the coming Q's might be just as good.
I looked at JENNY6888 post and checked with funders. They opine careful stance on these stocks. Lock in profit at a reasonable appetite level. Of the whole lot, HOMERIZ financials r outstanding.
Careful to buy at this level. When the so called 'sifus' post in this forum.,remember u r somewhere near the fourth tier down. u r helping to push for them. They can then exit when the results r not good, and still hv a handsome gain for themselves. Nobody is so noble to make money for ppl without any returns!!
psf57, thank you very much for your advice. i think in this world there are still some good people around and it is more than the bad people. you see there so many people sharing valuable ideas here. have faith in others and must have confidence in yourself
See if the prices can stablised at....FIBO...38.2% (0.92) ...50.0% (0.86) ...61.8% (0.80) Watching closely at the above price levels....before moving in. The 4th wave starts today....(according to EW theory).
after the downtrend(4th wave)...the 5th wave is uptrend...the length of the wave is shorter than the 3rd wave n the price will close above 1.12.Last chance to take profit before the prices will go down hill...
Co always stick to their dividend policy. Revenue down by 8.68%.,but profit wise could have benefited from the foreign exchange favoring us. The upside is at most 15c. Next yr. looks bright if macro-economic fundamentals remain intact. Nothing to shout about and push up like crazy and end up like Latitud. Let the co grow organically.
The 9.88c EPS Q'413 - the unaudited quarter financials, would hv included gains on disposal of ppe and a subsidiary in the profit computation. It is not clearly mentioned in the unaudited financials. Sales r down 8.68% q on q.. Secondly, they did not pay tax for Q4'13, there was a tax refund instead. Hw then can u account for the high eps!. So we cant jump the gun. Secondly we cant annualize this and arrive at a discounted eps of 30c for CY'14. Upside, another 15c for CY'13 from the Rm1.00 closing on 31/12/'13. No need to chase the price. I like the very consistent good dividend paying policy of the co. ' BUY ON RUMOURS, SELL ON NEWS".
Invest123 . agreed , wait for PH Q1'14 financials to gauge its direction for 2014. This a good co , nevertheless, take care of shareholders every year end without fail with their dividends.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Panda
26 posts
Posted by Panda > 2013-12-30 09:50 | Report Abuse
Mr Ooi, i'm interested in your course also. My email is fandeon@gmail.com