Method 1 EPS 0.13 g, % 10.00 Y 7.00 IV= (EPS*(8.5+1.5g)*4.4)/Y 1.93 Current price 0.86 Margin of Safety 55.45% Potential gain 124.49%
Method 2 Discounted Cash Flows Calculator Discount rate 12.00% EPS 0.13 Earning expected to grow (annually) 5.00 for the next (? Years) 3.0 before leveling off to an annual growth 3.00 Calculate Stock Value per share 1.79 Current price 0.86 Margin of Safety 51.96% Potential gain 108.14%
Method 3 ROE 9.54% Rr, % 8.00% NTA 1.37 IV= ROE/ Rr*NTA 1.63 Target price Current Price 0.86 Margin of Safety 47.36% Potential gain 89.97%
Method 4 (22.5*EPS*Book value per share)^0.5 EPS 0.13 Total equity 147271 Number of shares 113387 (22.5*EPS*Total Equity/share)^0.5 1.95 Current price 0.86 Margin of Safety 56.00% Potential gain 127.25%
Checklist Goal Actual Remarks 10 Years Average Turn Over - any growth ? > 10% 8% Excellent 10 Years Average Net Profit - any growth ? > 10% 64% Excellent PE Ratio < = 15 7 Excellent ROE > 10% 10% Ok Price CAGR % (Buy and Hold 3 years) > 10% 24% Excellent Dividend 3.0 sen 2.00 Ok Free cash flow Positive Yes Ok Operating activities - any growth ? >10% 77% Excellent
My strategy is to buy and hold. Price cannot be changed within one or 2 days. I had said many times, I want to win big, I will not buy on contra. I expect result to be good. If result is not good, I will sell after announcement. No point to ask me everyday. Thank you.
The coming result could be a good one. Pohuat recently paid a special dividend of 2 sens. This is something the company has never ever done before. Their doing it now shows the directors confidence in the company's performance. 1 thing I have learned about the market is that there are no certainties. I really cannot say that the price will rise if the result is good. I think the odds of it rising is better than it falling. To me the stock market is about balancing odds/risk with returns.
Posted by Yeap Chin Poh > Dec 27, 2013 02:30 PM | Report Abuse
The coming result could be a good one. Pohuat recently paid a special dividend of 2 sens. This is something the company has never ever done before. Their doing it now shows the directors confidence in the company's performance. 1 thing I have learned about the market is that there are no certainties. I really cannot say that the price will rise if the result is good. I think the odds of it rising is better than it falling. To me the stock market is about balancing odds/risk with returns.
Ans : You are very good. This is the way to think correctly. Thank you.
Thanks Mr. Ooi, previously you recommend Hapseng WA around 50sen..really 100% gain in less than 6 months. Buy and hold for good counter will be the best strategy.
Mr Ooi may I know when is your coming ShareXPert class. Where can I obtain the info. Thanks.
Ans : It is fixed tentatively on 15-16 March 2014. Please call me 603-21482111 (office hours) to find out more details or please give me your email. Thank you.
Noted that Mr. Lim Pei Tiam, a substantial shareholder is still acquiring Pohuat shares. The disclosure dated 27th December states that he bought a further 90,000 shares. The quantity is not substantial but he now owns > 10% of the issued shares. A important point to take away here is that he is still buying and not selling. LPT is a ex bank manager now turn investor. I do not think he would continue buying unless he thinks Pohuat has a future. Just my 2 sens worth.
cakap betul betul : banyak bahaya sekarang bila bila boleh pusing balik 0.90/0.80 . hati hati di jalan raya , mau tenggok betul betul . memang high risk sekarang .
more risk than reward unless the stock able to clear the 1.30 psychology resistance with high volume next week.
otb already presented the FA, the uptrend and the target price. why keep on asking? if you are so scare, don't follow , keep your money in the FD. I bought 20000 at RM1.25 If it drops to 1.00 ,i just stop loss, sell everything. so simple. that is the risk we have to bear. nobody should be blamed. that is our choice.
@skyhawk, thank you very much for your kind reminder. with all the excellent FA and TA plus the majao shareholders are buying in heavily, we still cannot make money within 1 month. then better dump all the money in hai-0 or pie to collect divident
I am familiar with candlesticks and they do point to a top but I do not see distribution yet. I think if Pohuat could sustain price tomorrow 30/12/2013 we could all be pleasantly surprised when results do come out.
I have checked the chart just now. the up trend is still intact. next result won't be disappointing. why worry??? if it is worst than the previous quarter, then i will sell at all cost
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
KY Lau
58 posts
Posted by KY Lau > 2013-12-26 20:44 | Report Abuse
buy in 995